Posted on 07/14/2005 2:49:38 PM PDT by rhema
More likely that the children will take on the culture, not change it.
Don't get too excited. This could be bad news. If libs are moving from the blue cr*p-holes to red states, they will eventually turn the red states blue. Look at New Hampshire, screwed up with Mass'ites.
A way overblown story. Demographics will not do our job for us. We need to hold the voters we have and bring more to our side.
Things are not going fine when Hitlery is doing as well in the polls as she is, or when a geek like Kerry gets 48 percent of the vote.
I tend to agree with the skeptics. What reason is there to believe that left-of-center types fleeing California and the Northeast will leave their ideology behind? Just look at northern Virginia, Florida, and New Hampshire. And of course much of the population growth in the Red States comes from pro-Democrat immigration.
If there was something in the water, soil, or air in the South and SunBelt that magically makes one more conservative then I might see this as reason to rejoice, but since there isn't, I don't.
This has opportunities and risks. The opportunities are that they leave the liberalism behind and the Republicans permanently take over the White House and Congress. On the other hand, if they keep their liberal values in the South and West, marginal red states such as Florida and Nevada could easily swing back to the Democrats...but adding more electoral votes to states like Texas is a GOP bonanza.
This sounds like it was written by head-in-the-sand types like Michael Barone or the WSJ editorial page.
I wouldn't be surprised if Texas becomes a battleground state sometime in the next decade.
To some extent. For states like Florida and Nevada (fast-growing marginal red states) and, to a lesser extent, Colorado and Arizona (moderate red), that could play a role.
However, for states like Texas, that is not an issue...it would take a catastrophic collapse for Texas to go blue.
This sounds good, as long as the Republicans don't forget to dance with the guy what brung 'em.
After all, the South was solidly Democratic 30-40 years ago as the end of the segregationist era. Today, it is solidly Republican. Who knows what will happen in the next 30 years?
I doubt that. There are enough strong Republicans to overcome any swing vote there...only a devastating scandal by a future GOP President could turn Texas blue (and it would be a near-sweep for the Democrats in that case).
Don't buy into this. Libs don't leave their beliefs behind.Also, don't forget the mushrooming immigrant population along the border states---they'll tend to vote dem.
Texas was blue at the end of the segregationist era 30-40 years ago. It could be blue in 30-40 years.
We know that voters are more liberal when they are young and become more conservative after paying taxes and having children of their own. The hipi & Pro Choice generation is either getting to the conservative stage or they aborted their young, leaving conservatives to populate. It is simple math that the conservative population will continue to expand.
Bush had 44% of the Hispanic vote in the last election though...and illegal immigrants cannot vote (obviously)...so that is not as much of an issue as you think.
I don't think so. I think when they leave the northeast, they also leave behind the grossly unbalanced democratic hold on the media. With alternative information with a conservative slant in these southern and western locations, the NE migrants will be absorbed into the conservative south.
Control of the media (TV, radio, print, web, church, etc.) is the key.
In other words, most of the people moving to the red states from the blue should only help to strengthen the GOP hold on those states. But that also means that the blue states become more blue, which dooms them to further decline.
So why assume that the majority of migrants are blue state libs? Why would true blue kool-aid drinkers leave their paradise to live in the swamps and dank river valleys of the South?
I think it's probably more likely that northern conservatives are bailing. That's the case here in California where conservative coastal dwellers are leaving the blue cities and resettling in the red interior of the state.
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