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1 posted on 06/22/2005 6:26:41 PM PDT by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

That's some excellent reading...thanks for the post!


2 posted on 06/22/2005 6:34:50 PM PDT by sierrahome (Colfax, CA; "A Small Drinking Town With A Rail Road Problem.")
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To: RWR8189

If things look so bad for the GOP, then how come 3 of 5 seats most likely to turn over are currently held by Democrats?


3 posted on 06/22/2005 6:36:58 PM PDT by nj26
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To: RWR8189
James Jeffords (I) is retiring

Jumping Jim is giving up his shingle

Good riddance

4 posted on 06/22/2005 6:38:55 PM PDT by Popman (In politics, ideas are more important than individuals.)
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To: RWR8189
I'm surprised they left off Torricelli from N.J. making a run for the seat.

Jersey politics are so corrupt he will probably win even if he was in jail.

If a dead guy, Lautenberg can win, the Torch can pull it off.

5 posted on 06/22/2005 6:43:01 PM PDT by Popman (In politics, ideas are more important than individuals.)
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To: RWR8189
the uneven economy

The economy is chugging along nicely.

By election day next year the Dow will be at or above 12000 and the Nasdaq 2600.

Unemployment will be at 4.6% and Iraq will not be an issue.

New oil and gas discoveries off the east and west coasts will drive down fuel costs and plans for several new nuclear power plants will be approved.

And don't forget Karl Rove.

He has something devilish up his sleeves.

Just wait and see!!

9 posted on 06/22/2005 7:24:45 PM PDT by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
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To: RWR8189
Anyone from Vermont care to run as a democrat? You won't have to do much , the D next to your name on the ballot would automatically get the vote of a bunch of RATS and might therefore split the vote enough to have a real republican win the seat for six years.
10 posted on 06/22/2005 7:36:00 PM PDT by Nateman (Morality 180 degrees out of phase with reality: welcome to the left side!)
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To: RWR8189
Kay Bailey Hutchison (D) (Last Ranking: 11)

Kay Bailey Hutchison is a Demonrat?????

He must really know what he is talking about!!!!!

11 posted on 06/22/2005 7:42:43 PM PDT by democrats_nightmare
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To: RWR8189
They lucked out in 2004, but 2006 is a whole new ballgame

And since the Republicans have demonstrated that they have no balls, even with a solid majority in both houses, obviously they cannot, and do not derserve to, win. It will serve them right to lose control. They don't know what to do with it when they have it anyway.

12 posted on 06/22/2005 7:43:58 PM PDT by Chuckster (Neca eos omnes. Deus suos agnoset)
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To: RWR8189
Without an heir apparent candidate for the White House in 2008, Republican Senators and Congressmen are scrambling for the position. As a result, they don't want to cooperate on anything coming before Congress lest a potential rival receive credit.
13 posted on 06/22/2005 7:52:27 PM PDT by fso301
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To: RWR8189

I never understood why Bush made Johanns Ag Secretary. I wonder if Johanns had no interest in the Senate all along?

I am a bit worried about this Ohio thing now.


14 posted on 06/22/2005 7:59:10 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: RWR8189
Of all the races, I'd really like to see us unseat Kent Conrad. Simply put, the Dakotas should have this many democrats NOT representing their interests.

Maryland's democratic senate primary should be quite interesting...at this point it's Kweisi Mfume's to win, unless they "allow" Chris van Hollen (who beat RINO Connie Morrella for congress) to run. I say "allow", because he's white and I don't think they want to see a racial race in their primary. Chris would ultimately win over Mfume. Primarily because Mfume makes alot of people (mostly white democrats) uncomfortable. Michael Steele the black republican lieutenant Governor could have a strong position in the senate race running against the whiter than white bread Chris V. Hollen.

16 posted on 06/22/2005 8:17:39 PM PDT by Katya (Homo Nosce Te Ipsum)
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To: RWR8189

The way I see it, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island quite possibly Democratic pickups. Actually, the only debate is whether to consider Chafee's defeat a "Hold" or a "Pick-up" for the Demonrats. Montana is in play. I can't see the Demonrats gaining a seat in a southern state that the Democrats couldn't pick up for its own native son. And it ain't gonna be Harold Ford! Meanwhile, if DeWine is in trouble, it's from his own party; and Talent is quite safe.

DEMOCRATS GROSS TWO PICKUP SEATS

Meanwhile: Minnesota is nearly a lock for a Republican pick-up. North Dakota and Florida look very weak for Demonrats. Lt. Gov Steele could carry Republican-slipping Maryland, where even the crabs aren't as blue as they should be. Byrd is in deep doo-doo. And Stabenow (MI) and Cantwell (WA) are leading very blue states where the locals are feeling very let down by their ruling parties, particularly in Washington where the mood is that Demonrats stole the statehouse. And the big shocker could be in Hawaii, where Akaka is seemingly medically and financially challenged, and the Republicans are in ascendency, capturing the statehouse for the first time since colonialism. True, the supposed shocking Republican challenge in the '04 Presidential race fizzled, but that could've been affected by false media reports saying Kerry had wrapped up the national contest.

New Jersey and New York should be safe, but those two states may have to siphon huge bucks away from other contests. And there are NINE endangered races.

REPUBLICANS GROSS TWO TO SEVEN SEATS

Overall prediction:
REPUBLICANS NET TWO TO THREE SEATS.


20 posted on 06/22/2005 8:40:39 PM PDT by dangus
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To: RWR8189

The way I see it, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island quite possibly Democratic pickups. Actually, the only debate is whether to consider Chafee's defeat a "Hold" or a "Pick-up" for the Demonrats. Montana is in play. I can't see the Demonrats gaining a seat in a southern state that the Democrats couldn't pick up for its own native son. And it ain't gonna be Harold Ford! Meanwhile, if DeWine is in trouble, it's from his own party; and Talent is quite safe.

DEMOCRATS GROSS TWO PICKUP SEATS

Meanwhile: Minnesota is nearly a lock for a Republican pick-up. North Dakota and Florida look very weak for Demonrats. Lt. Gov Steele could carry Republican-slipping Maryland, where even the crabs aren't as blue as they should be. Byrd is in deep doo-doo. And Stabenow (MI) and Cantwell (WA) are leading very blue states where the locals are feeling very let down by their ruling parties, particularly in Washington where the mood is that Demonrats stole the statehouse. And the big shocker could be in Hawaii, where Akaka is seemingly medically and financially challenged, and the Republicans are in ascendency, capturing the statehouse for the first time since colonialism. True, the supposed shocking Republican challenge in the '04 Presidential race fizzled, but that could've been affected by false media reports saying Kerry had wrapped up the national contest.

New Jersey and New York should be safe, but those two states may have to siphon huge bucks away from other contests. And there are NINE endangered races.

REPUBLICANS GROSS TWO TO SEVEN SEATS

Overall prediction:
REPUBLICANS NET TWO TO THREE SEATS.


21 posted on 06/22/2005 8:40:41 PM PDT by dangus
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To: RWR8189

The skinny on Vermont:

The two most popular liberals are both non-Democrats: Sen. James Jeffords, and Rep. Bernie Sanders. I hadn't realized this: They formed a party together, the preposterously named "Veterans Party of America."

The candidates:
DEMOCRATS:
Rep. Bernie Sanders. I'm not sure I expect him to run. The communist would have to call himself a Democrat. Would the Democrats be shy of that? As a maverick/radical, he has high approval ratings, but that might not be so appealling to Vermonters in the Senate.
Atty. Gen. William Sorrell. Sorrell was Dean's unelected bagman when Vermont legalized homsexual "marriages." Since then, he's been re-elected three times, with little opposition.

REPUBLICANS:
Gov. James Douglas has excellent approval ratings (60-27). Might want to keep his job though.
Lt. Gov. Brian Dubey could catch his wind, though.


25 posted on 06/22/2005 9:17:08 PM PDT by dangus
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To: RWR8189
Thanks for posting that excellent analysis. However, I am highly skeptical that Democrats can regain the majority.. this election sounds a lot like 2004. Democrats had no chance at retaking the majority a year and a half out until the MSM started pumping up their candidates and then the doomsayers said Republicans were in for a tough election. However, in the end we ended up gaining a couple of seats... and I think we will in 2006, as well.

With that said, though, the 2008 Senate elections scare me, because we have 21 seats up for reelection and the Dims have only 12.

26 posted on 06/22/2005 9:41:29 PM PDT by okstate
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To: RWR8189

I suppose if you had the national media repeating your propaganda on a daily basis, trashing the President, lying about the war, and making republican's appear more evil than Hitler, you'd be climbing in the polls too!


32 posted on 06/22/2005 10:38:36 PM PDT by ladyinred
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To: RWR8189

You see gang, ole chuckie KNOWS more than the rats in the senate who are running out the door.corzine was the rat in charge of getting more rats elected to the Senate. Maybe he knows more about this than chuckie does.
Memo to chuckie todd: The rats won't get back the Senate or the House or the White House in your lifetime.


34 posted on 06/23/2005 5:17:12 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Dealing with liberals? Remember: when you wrestle with a pig, you both get dirty and he loves it.)
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