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Live Thread - Update: First in 2005 Tropical Storm Arlene Public Advisory 1
National Hurricane Center ^ | 5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005

Posted on 06/08/2005 3:59:21 PM PDT by Lonely Bull

000 WTNT31 KNHC 082059 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES... 375 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 315 MILES... 510 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS IT ORGANIZES...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

$$


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; tropicalstorm
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To: NautiNurse

It looks a little worse this year!

ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2005


Issue Date Issue Date Issue Date
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 3 December 1 April 31 May
Climatology (in parentheses) 2004 2005 2005




Named Storms (NS) (9.6) 11 13 15
Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1) 55 65 75
Hurricanes (H)(5.9) 6 7 8
Hurricane Days (HD)(24.5) 25 35 45
Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3) 3 3 4
Intense Hurricane Days (IHD)(5.0) 6 7 11
Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC)(100%) 115 135 170


http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2005/june2005/


41 posted on 06/08/2005 4:38:40 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: JellyJam

yep, live in the Tampa Bay area.


42 posted on 06/08/2005 4:39:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Lonely Bull
This is why I just sold my waterfront house here on the Florida central gulf coast (that reason plus the unreal local real estate boom, LOL).

Now, for the first time in two decades I can look down on water from my eagle's nest on the third floor of a great condo......instead of sweating out water coming over a seawall.

Don't have to continually lug that heavy lawn furniture, etc. into the garage all summer.

It's always the water and flooding that's worrisome in my part of the palm woods. The wind is less of a worry.

Leni

43 posted on 06/08/2005 4:40:28 PM PDT by MinuteGal (I Feel Like I'm Diagonally Parked in a Parallel Universe)
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To: NautiNurse

It's gonna be a long summer. :-)


44 posted on 06/08/2005 4:40:41 PM PDT by JellyJam (Headline of the year: "The Painful Truth: All the World Terrorists Are Muslims!")
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To: dawn53; onyx

It also looks like it's heading right toward Onyx's NEW house........LOL.


45 posted on 06/08/2005 4:41:03 PM PDT by Howlin (Up or down on Janice Brown!)
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To: JellyJam

Jelly,

We live in south Pinellas, almost to the Skyway.

I can hear those thunderstorms you were talking about, they must be heading our way.

I always know there's a storm coming because our dog gets nervous and parks herself at my feet, (normally) she'd be with my husband, but during a thunderstorm I'm the one she seeks out.

We've had rain almost every day, but it's been light. Today we didn't and our teenager wasn't happy because it meant he didn't have an excuse not to mow the lawn.


46 posted on 06/08/2005 4:42:24 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Howlin

Hey Howlin'

Not a good way for Onyx to start the season!


47 posted on 06/08/2005 4:43:54 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Howlin

LOL..not till Labor Day.


48 posted on 06/08/2005 4:44:56 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: TheLion
Have you read any forecasts about the up coming hurricane season?

Have tried to ignore the season forecasts. OTOH, individual storms threatening GOM and Florida get my immediate attention.

;o)

49 posted on 06/08/2005 4:45:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: CedarDave
I'm not familar with that technology. Is it solar powered? ;>)

It's guaranteed to go out within 10 seconds if a hurricane knocks it over :o)

50 posted on 06/08/2005 4:50:48 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

I only heard abut it a few minutes ago and that's why I turned on the puter!!!!!

I was hoping we weren't going to be using this list...........


51 posted on 06/08/2005 4:51:01 PM PDT by Gabz (My give-a-damn is busted.)
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse
NautiNurse

I sure ain't looking forward to it..............

52 posted on 06/08/2005 4:52:59 PM PDT by Gabz (My give-a-damn is busted.)
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To: dawn53
I know the area well ... used to live in St. Pete (in Old Northeast); my in-laws live on Venetian Isle.

This storm is still going through our area ... it's a big soaker. Nice relief from today's mugginess. Heat index hit 97 degrees this afternoon. Ugh.

53 posted on 06/08/2005 4:53:03 PM PDT by JellyJam (Headline of the year: "The Painful Truth: All the World Terrorists Are Muslims!")
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To: Lonely Bull
The 8 PM EDT update (advisory 1A) is up. It's similar to the first one.
54 posted on 06/08/2005 4:54:11 PM PDT by Lonely Bull
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To: dawn53

55 posted on 06/08/2005 4:54:55 PM PDT by JellyJam (Headline of the year: "The Painful Truth: All the World Terrorists Are Muslims!")
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To: Gabz

ZZZZZ
UUUUU
0906050034Z
FOUO
COMMENCE OPERATION EARLY WARNING
1. ACTIVATE PING LIST NOW. SAY AGAIN, ACTIVATE PING LIST NOW.
2. NOTHING FOLLOWS.
UUUUU
ZZZZZ


56 posted on 06/08/2005 4:56:08 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: dawn53
$2.25 a can!

Wolfgang Puck introduced a new line of lattes this month. That the Los Angeles chef has stamped his name on yet another product isn't surprising. But the container is. It heats itself.

It took a California company named OnTech seven years and $24 million to create the self-heating cans, which are activated by pushing a plastic button on the bottom. Water flows into a sealed inner cone filled with quicklime, which is mostly calcium oxide. A chemical reaction heats the coffee to a pleasant 145 degrees in six to eight minutes, the amount of time it might take to order, pay for and receive a latte from a barista. 

I'd buy a case of this stuff!

57 posted on 06/08/2005 5:00:07 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: JellyJam; dawn53

Let's just keep hoping the weather continues to move East-->West, keeping TD #1 well off our shoreline.


58 posted on 06/08/2005 5:04:43 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: JellyJam

Venetian Isle, do they flood out there because of all the canals?

I think Nautinurse lives on the water, but I don't think she had any flooding last year.

We're high and dry. Not far from the water, but Evac zone E. In fact in 16 years we've been here, never had street flooding.

BTW, we're having hard rain now.


59 posted on 06/08/2005 5:05:19 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: spectre

Thanks for the heads up. At 2.25 a can that's cheaper than Starbucks, LOL...I'm going to check it out.


60 posted on 06/08/2005 5:07:15 PM PDT by dawn53
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