BULLETIN: HURRICANE ADRIAN (Expected to cross into the Caribbean)

NOAA ^ | May 19, 2005 | National Hurricane Center

[varina davis]

BULLETIN

HURRICANE ADRIAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU MAY 19 2005

...AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATES THAT ADRIAN IS A HURRICANE...

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR HAVE UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO BORDER.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ADRIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR.

ADRIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ADRIAN WILL BE VERY NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADRIAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF NEAR 20 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADRIAN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...12.6 N... 90.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

[varina davis]

Adrian looking like a classic hurricane now. If it's speedy enough, it could regenerate after it reaches the Caribban in a day or so. Extremely rare for a Pacific-generated system to cross easterly into the Caribbean.

[ken5050]

Have you seen the NAME list for hurricanes for this year?

[Melpomene]

Oh good grief. Not already. We just finished hurricaine season; yesterday, I think.

[hflynn]

YO ROCKY, LOOOOOOKKKKKKOOOOOOUUUUUTTTTT!

[fatnotlazy]

I'm not in hurricane country, but we often get the remnants...like last year -- Hurricane Ivan flooded out my area.

We still haven't recovered from last season. I'm not looking forward to this one.

Anyway, thanks for the heads-up.

[Dog Gone]

Quite strange. Hurricane season isn't even officially open, nor do storms move into the Carribean from the Pacific.

Except for this one.

[beltfed308]

Life in the trenches of FL.

[varina davis]

Very rare for a west to east movement. It will definitely be considerably weaker when it hits the Caribbean, but given that it's almost June, conditions may be favorable for regeneration.

[GalaxieFiveHundred]

[ErnBatavia]

Have you seen the NAME list for hurricanes for this year?

I'm sure Sheila Lee is working on it...

[southernnorthcarolina]

Extremely rare for a Pacific-generated system to cross easterly into the Caribbean.

That is rare. Extraordinarily early, too. I suppose it would get a new name if it made it across to the Caribbean?

[Trust but Verify]

My sister and her husband are in Akumal, MX for the next week. They went now instead of in the fall to avoid hurricane season!

[LadyJMayo]

So my question is...when it gets into the gulf and becomes an "Atlantic" hurricane, does Adrian then become "Arlene"?

[ARCADIA]

Oh well, nature's bowling season has started early this year; let's hope they all turn out to be gutter balls.

[VeniVidiVici]

That is rare. Extraordinarily early, too. I suppose it would get a new name if it made it across to the Caribbean?

I believe they said on the Orlando news this morning it would be Arlene

Also said it would pass way south.

I better go buy plywood ;-)

[YouPosting2Me]

BRING IT ON!!! (whoops, go away...)

[standingfirm]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

All hurricane info is at this site including names

Very familiar site to me as I lived thru 4 hurricanes last year here in FLA!! Yes it's way early for this. Usually doesn't start until August

[ken5050]

We're gonna get a NEW Panama Canal?

[ken5050]

ah, a "switch" hitter?

[ken5050]

That's "Sheila Jackson-Lee" to you, please..(G)