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The Great American Job Sellout
google groups ^ | feb 2005 | Paul Craig Roberts

Posted on 02/15/2005 6:44:11 AM PST by dennisw

"The Great American Job Sellout By Paul Craig Roberts

Americans are being sold out on the jobs front. Americans' employment opportunities are declining as a result of corporate outsourcing of US jobs, H-1B visas that import foreigners to displace Americans in their own country, and federal guest worker programs

President Bush and his Republican majority intend to legalize the aliens who hold down wages for construction companies and cleaning services. In order to stretch budgets, state and local governments bring in lower paid foreign nurses and school teachers. To reduce costs, US corporations outsource jobs abroad and use work visa programs to import foreign engineers and programmers. The American job give away is explained by a "shortage" of Americans to take the jobs.

There are not too many Americans willing to accept the pay and working conditions of migrant farm workers. However, the US is bursting at the seams with unemployed computer engineers and well-educated professionals who are displaced by outsourcing and H-1B visas. During Bush's entire first term, there was a net loss of American private sector jobs. Today there are 760,000 fewer private sector jobs in the US economy than when Bush was first inaugurated in January 2001.

For years the hallmark of the European economy was its inability to create any jobs other than government jobs. America has caught up with Europe. During Bush's first term, state and local government created 879,000 new government jobs. Offsetting these government jobs against the net loss in private sector jobs gives Bush a four-year jobs growth of 119,000 government jobs. Comparing this pathetic result to normal performance produces a shortage of 8 million US jobs. What happened to these jobs?

Over these same four years the composition of US jobs has changed from higher-paid manufacturing and information technology jobs to lower-paid domestic services. Why?

During this extraordinary breakdown in the American employment machine, politicians, government officials, corporate spokespersons, and "free trade" economists gave assurances that America was benefitting greatly from the work visa programs and outsourcing.

The mindless chatter continues. Just the other day Ambassador David Gross, US Coordinator for International Communications and Information Policy in the State Department, declared outsourcing to be an economic efficiency that works to America's benefit. There is no sign of this alleged benefit in US jobs statistics or the US balance of trade.

Repeatedly and incorrectly, US corporations state that outsourcing creates more US jobs. They even convinced a New York Times columnist that this was the case.

The problem is, no one can identify where the US jobs are that outsourcing allegedly creates. They are certainly not to be found in the BLS jobs statistics. However, the Indian and Chinese jobs created by US outsourcing are highly visible.

On February 13, the Dayton (Ohio) Daily News reported that jobs outsourcing is transforming Indian "cities like Bangalore from sleepy little backwaters into the New York Cities of Asia." In a very short period outsourcing has helped to raise India from one of the world's poorest countries to its seventh largest economy.

Outsourcing proponents claim that US job loss is being exaggerated, that outsourcing is really just a small thing involving a few call centers. If that is the case, how is it transforming sleepy Indian cities into "the New York Cities of Asia"? If outsourcing is no big deal, why are Bangalore hotel rooms "packed with foreigners paying rates higher than in Tokyo or London," as the Dayton Daily News reports?

If outsourcing is of no real consequence, why are American lawyers or their clients paying $2,900 in fees plus hotel and travel expenses and two days' billings to attend the Fourth National Conference on Outsourcing in Financial Services in Washington DC (April 20-21)?

On the jobs front, as on the war front, the social security front and every other front, Americans are not being given the truth. Americans' news comes from people allied with the Bush administration or dependent on revenues from corporate advertisers. Displease the government or advertisers and your media empire is in trouble. The news most Americans get is filtered. It is the permitted news. Many "free trade" advocates also are dependent on the corporate money that funds their salaries, research and think tanks.

Another clear indication that outsourcing of US jobs is no small thing comes from the reported earnings of the leading Indian corporations that provide American firms with outsourced IT employees and engineers. During the recent quarter, Infosys' revenues increased by 53%, TCS grew by 38%, and Wipro was up 34%.

On January 1, 2001, Cincinnati-based Convergys Corp had one Indian employee. Today it has 10,000. Why? Because it can hire Indian university graduates for $240 a month, a sum that is a small fraction of the US poverty level income.

Many Americans think that an outsourced job is an existing job that is moved offshore. But many outsourced jobs are created offshore in the first place. On February 11, USA Today told the story of OfficeTiger, "the sort of young technology company that once created thousands of high-paying jobs in the USA, fueling sizzling economic growth." The five-year old startup business employs 200 Americans and ten times that number of Indians. The company has plans for hiring many more Indians to perform "tech-heavy financial services."

Under pressure from venture capitalists who fund new companies, American startup firms are starting up abroad. Thus, the new ventures, which "free trade" economists assured us would create new jobs to take the place of the ones moved offshore by mature firms, are in fact creating jobs for foreigners.

As a consequence, tech jobs in the US are falling as a percentage of the total. Clearly, tax breaks for venture capitalists are self-defeating when the result is to create jobs for foreigners, not for Americans. Why should the American taxpayer subsidize employment in India and China?

These developments have obvious adverse implications for engineering and professional education in America. The BLS jobs forecast for the next ten years says the vast majority of US jobs will not require a college education. University enrollments will decline and so will the production of PhDs as fewer professors are needed.

As India and China rise to first world status, the US falls to third world status where the only jobs are in domestic services.

This has enormous implications for the US balance of payments. Americans' consumption of manufactured goods is heavily dependent on foreign manufacture, whether that of foreign firms or that of US multinational firms that supply their American customers from offshore. How does an economy in which employment growth is concentrated in nontradable domestic services pay for its imports with exports?

Since 1990 the US has been paying for its imports by giving foreigners ownership of its assets. In the last 15 years foreigners have accumulated $3.6 trillion of America's wealth.

America has been able to pay for its consumption by giving up its wealth because the dollar is the world's reserve currency. As America's high-tech and manufacturing capabilities decline and its red ink rises, the dollar's role as reserve currency must end.

When the dollar loses its reserve currency role, America will not be able to pay for the imports on which it has become dependent. Shopping in Wal-Mart will be like shopping at Neiman Marcus.

Until recent years, US companies employed Americans to produce the goods that Americans consumed. Employment supported sales, and sales supported employment. No more. By their shortsighted policy of moving US jobs abroad, our corporations are destroying their American markets.

Economists give assurances that the dollar's decline and fall will bring jobs and industry back to the US. Once Americans are as poor as Indians and Chinese are today, the process will reverse. Multinational corporations will locate in America to take advantage of cheap labor and unserved markets. By becoming poor, the US can become rich again.

You might want to ask the economists and our "leaders" in Washington why we should put ourselves and our descendants through such a wrenching process."

--Jerry Leslie Note: les...@jrlvax.houston.rr.com is invalid for email


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aliens; bs; china; freetrade; globalism; loserblog; trade
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To: Havoc
I wonder how history will treat us if it turns out that China is doing a 21st Century "New Economic Program" on us.
421 posted on 02/15/2005 3:13:57 PM PST by investigateworld (Babies= A sure sign He hasn't given up on mankind!)
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To: Havoc
"What Washington, Jefferson, et al did up to the time that you free traders changed it wasn't collectivism and doesn't even enter the same realm."

No it was Protectionism, until the Socialist movement got going in the 1800s then they latched onto the government intervention in Markets and really bollixed it all up.

Give us a good example of Tariffs working they way you profess them to but I want the Hawley-Smoot Tariff Act explained first.

422 posted on 02/15/2005 3:15:58 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: investigateworld
I wonder how history will treat us if it turns out that China is doing a 21st Century "New Economic Program" on us.

As long as they don't try their own version of the "Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere" back on Japan... :-(

Cheers!

423 posted on 02/15/2005 3:16:28 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Havoc
"One, don't put words in my mouth because it is utterly dishonest. Two, I didn't say that. Three, it isn't even implied and does not logically follow..."

One: I asked a question

Two: one of your definitions posted is someone who works for low wages. Who defines what a low wage is? Apparenlty whomever does so, you agree with.

Three: Implied? it seems painfully obvious.

424 posted on 02/15/2005 3:20:53 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: Mad Dawgg

Jpsb is capable, apparently, of noting the good done by something that he may or may not fully agree with. See, that's the nature of HONTESTLY persuing the right course for this nation. Unions once served a purpose - to give the workers some measure of equity against the slavemasters of business at the time.

The problem is - to the extent that the unions helped, that has been largely supplanted with a union structure today that is as abusive as the businesspeople they were a protest against. Not all unions are bad; but, when looking at some glowing examples, we find the UAW which has largely come to be as abusive to the employee as to the employer and seems to fail both - begging their real worth in the midst of the abuse.

Contracting for labor individually or collectively is the right of the people and such has been written into law in this country. So, whatever your opinion of it its irrelevant to the discussion. It's legal and has been for quite some time. But, I doubt very much that unions, given their track record, will survive the next century. If they can't be useful without being abusive to business and the worker, then they are fated to die out just as they were fated to exist.

You're beef seems to be, and you can correct me if I'm wrong, that you think unions are communistic and have no place her. Is that true, and if so, why? Do you think workers have no rights? If so, do you believe business has rights? Given that both are people, how is it that you suppose one may have rights where the other has none?.. if indeed you do believe that. Not trying to put words in your mouth here, just trying to ask the obvious questions and perhaps get some thinking going here instead of flip reactions.


425 posted on 02/15/2005 3:23:41 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
"Objection, your honor, Leading the witness, mistating the record, etc. No, I didn't say that either."

Are you stating for the record that Tariffs will not have an effect on the Free Market?

426 posted on 02/15/2005 3:24:03 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: investigateworld

History will treat our society poorly and our leaders as morons.


427 posted on 02/15/2005 3:25:34 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
You know Unions get bashed a lot here, but I wonder how many FReepers would turn down one of those $100,000 a year jobs at the Port of Long Beach?
(BTW our beloved Ronnie Reagan was a union President)
428 posted on 02/15/2005 3:27:09 PM PST by investigateworld (Babies= A sure sign He hasn't given up on mankind!)
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To: Mad Dawgg
No it was Protectionism, until the Socialist movement got going in the 1800s

What do you think Protectionism was?! Do you think at all or just throw words? The whold idea of protectionism was to protect our economy from subversion. It's called ensuring that our nation survived. No economy means no military. No military means anyone who wants to subjugate us can walk in and do so at will. You throw the word like it's an epithet without having any sense about what our forefathers did. And Hawley-Smoot is self explanatory - diddling beyond protection from subversion caused a trade war. Any idiot on either side of this debate knows that and can tell you that. That doesn't mean that we pull down the one defense we have against subversion and pretend we're safe.

If you want good examples of tariffs working, it's our history up till Nafta. It isn't like we have to search long and far for an example - tariffs are the reason our economy has been able to thrive since this nation was born. You got the onus on the wrong example, bud. You guys destroyed what worked in order to experiment with an unproven theory that is at best dangerous while it predicts revolution because of anticipated happenstances that have been playing out since the experiment began - as if on queue.

We don't owe it to you to show you what worked about tariffs. That is long and well established in the history of this nation. You owe us proof of your untested theory which seems impossible given the damage it's doing even now. It's like the border. But, when put to you, you have nothing but the theory to fall on and a pretense that we're doing great while all of us out here are being sacked and our jobs handed to foriegners in other lands so that you can hire there and get profits here.

429 posted on 02/15/2005 3:45:20 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
"You're beef seems to be, and you can correct me if I'm wrong, that you think unions are communistic and have no place her. Is that true, and if so, why?"

Trade Unions (the modern incarnations) were transformed in the Socialist/Communist movement circa 1805 by Robert Owen (an Englishman) check out his history and you will see how it all began.

Here is what I believe on labor prices If I deem a job is worth 5.00 an hour then that is what I want to pay, if you deem it is not enough then you don't have to work for me.

If I decide my loaf of bread needs to sell for $2.00 than that is what I want to charge. If you want to pay $1.00 per loaf then you don't have to buy my bread.

If I hire you and Bill Gates to make bread for me and Bill manages to make me 10 more loaves a day than you do and I give him a raise for his increased output it doesn't mean you get a raise.

Unions screw up every bit of the above and increase costs that only get passed on to the end user anyhow it is just a power grab by a few elites using populist BS to get a "us vs. them" war going so they can profit off of it.

430 posted on 02/15/2005 3:47:12 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: Mad Dawgg

I am stating for the record, in retort to you putting words in my mouth, that I didn't say the words you attempted to ascribe to me. If you're here to dialogue, then dialogue. If you're here to shadowbox yourself and claim to win an argument with yourself, then I'd direct you to a nuthouse for apraisal of your capacities. I can debate myself all day long - real easy..

"is he an idiot"
"nope, he just thinks all of us are"

See how that works. I'll leave it to you to tell us how accurate that is by your tactics. So far, it seems true.
And it's the same mindset America is sick to the teeth of from the Dims. And we aren't any more inclined to put up with it from our own. If you can't be honest, don't expect that we're so dumb as to not see through the tactics and dishonesty.


431 posted on 02/15/2005 3:54:08 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
"If you want good examples of tariffs working, it's our history up till Nafta.."

Tariff Wars have been going on since this country was formed. BTW How well did them Steel Tariffs work in the early 70s how about those Auto Tariffs?

Yeah, all our auto manufacturers did so well even with the heavy Tariffs we used to have on Auto imports and our Automakers got all fat and happy and boom now most of our autos are foreign made (as in foregin companies making them, even the dometic ones) because we tried to "protect" our auto market. We made our auto industry week and we paid a heavy price for it.

"But, when put to you, you have nothing but the theory to fall on and a pretense that we're doing great while all of us out here are being sacked and our jobs handed to foriegners in other lands so that you can hire there and get profits here."

OK so if this is all so damaging and all of us/you(sic) are out of work as you say then why are we almost 12% above the normal employment rate as averaged by the BLS over the last 40 years?

432 posted on 02/15/2005 3:57:23 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: investigateworld

Yep, that is kinda lost on these people trying to shape the arguments with mistatements of fact, half truths and the like.
They've already overplayed their hand and are well beyond abusiveness. And I don't think they have the first clue as to how much they've po'd the nation or that it might have the severest of consequences. If they press it as far as I think it will go, there won't be any walking between rain-drops for them.. and what's done on their graves by history won't pass for flowers either.


433 posted on 02/15/2005 4:00:45 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
Ok we will try again with out quotations just direct questions:

Will you go on record and state that Tariffs will not have an effect on the Free Market?

THere now that should be easy enough to answer.

434 posted on 02/15/2005 4:01:17 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: Mad Dawgg

What you are arguing is what unions turned in to in some instances - not what they are to begin with. And your view of pricing is unrealistic. The market is supposed to decide those things, not you alone. You may think a job is worth 5.00 an hour to you. If the market says it's worth 7.00 an hour, then you either pay that, or don't do business. It may mean you have to raise your price; but, that's in your power to do within reason.. the market shapes that too. You may want 2.00 a loaf; but, that doesn't mean anyone is going to buy it at that. That is the reality. If you want cheap labor, you'll end up with cheap labor. You know it as well as I do - you get what you pay for.

You'll get no argument from me on your other example. If I work harder than the next guy, he doesn't deserve the raise I get. Nor should I be disowned by the union for working harder to help my boss produce more. And that does happen regularly in the UAW. I could probably list more abusive things than you have and in greater volume. I've seen it.
I know a guy that was docked a week's pay for picking up a monitor and moving it across a line less than 2 feet away.
The job of moving it was going to be held up by a full day because an electrician wasn't willing to come and move it, thus killing production at that station for a day. That is abuse.. any way you cut it.

That said, you are a third of the equation. You're workforce is a third and your client is the remaining third.
Each plays a role in you producing any product or service.
All have rights and expectations. Your take seems to be that only you have any rights in the matter. That isn't how this country works. Many things you say I can agree with. If you have someone who won't do the job, can them. Many businesses won't do that; but, then want to pay good workers nothing on the basis that the bad workers do nothing. Somehow, the good worker is supposed to suffer and make up for the loss of the work the bad worker isn't doing; but, the bad worker continues getting paid. And this isn't a rare happenstance.

Business does not have to be a war between employer and employee. But, it ends up being a war because there's always someone that thinks themselves more worthy of
consideration than the other - whether it is the worker or the employer. Both need to understand that neither is going anywhere without the other and then act accordingly. But that's what we're on about here, profit margin is more worthy of consideration than the defense of this country against attempts to subvert the economy.. that cannot stand.
If it takes a war to undo, the price paid will be a result of the greed of a few. Whatever one imagines the result will be to those few physically, their story for history will be one of Nero fiddling blindly.


435 posted on 02/15/2005 4:37:33 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Mad Dawgg

Tariff wars do happen. What's new. It isn't an argument. You're trying to say that because a random shell takes out one abrams while it's still the best tank platform on the planet, we should scrap the tank and stand our guys in the field with rpgs and hope for the best. That is where your logic takes us. Trade wars happen when people go too far. And nobody is ruling out trade with other nations. Amazingly we grew to an immensly prosperous nation over hundreds of years because of tariffs. So where you think you're taking us here isn't tracking.

You use the example of the automakers and admit "heavy" tariffs. Equitable tariffs should have been enough; but, someone got greedy.. I think that was the example of Hawley-Smoot, was it not. And even your side is failing to learn from it in getting greedy but not caring about the outcome of that, save that you'll get yours before it hits the fan.

And 12 percent. Try saying it right.. Nineteen MILLION people. Nineteen million people are irrelevant to you and undeserving of consideration, their jobs, their rights, etc.
Nineteen million that are unemployed based on current figures who haven't fallen off the unemployment roles and gotten lost in the shuffle - no longer to count. We had better numbers than that before ya'll started throwing Americans out on the street in a bad economy during wartime - not because you couldn't afford to pay them; but, because you wanted more money. There are some people that lost their jobs due to the burst of the tech bubble as it's called - we ain't talkin about them. We're talking about the people you guys hamstrung during wartime for more profit. That's history, It'll only get worse in the textbooks.


436 posted on 02/15/2005 4:52:01 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
"The market is supposed to decide those things, not you alone."

You misunderstand, I was speaking in the context of me deciding based on the needs to operate my business at a profit (market factors being included) My point was to illustrate I want to decide to set prices free of union and government tampering.

The point illustrates the Free market of labor and goods.

If I want to pay 5.00 bucks and you don't want to work there for that then you exercised your rights under free market laws. If I can't get anyone worth a damn to do the work at that price I have three choices raise the offer, do away with the job or do it myself. That same free market exists in the price of goods.

However whenever something is introduced to upset that Free market be it Minimum wages, government regulation, or tariffs/taxes then the market will seek to rebalance.

This is what has happend with outsourcing. We have weighed down business with unions, government regulation, etc. that we have literally made it cheaper to make some products on the opposite side of the world and still be able to ship them back here and make a profit.

More government regulation to fix what was caused by government regulation in the first place is the very definition of digging deeper in the hole you find yourself in.

437 posted on 02/15/2005 4:53:32 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: Mad Dawgg
Will you go on record and state that Tariffs will not have an effect on the Free Market?

Why would I? Show me a period when tariffs haven't had an effect on the market. Calling it the "free" market doesn't change the reality. Tariffs protected this market from being subverted. There now is Nothing protecting the market from subversion - zip. And as a result, you're turning third world nations into trade empires while stripping that status from your own country. How do you suppose that's gonna look in the history books - not good, unless you're aim is to look at it from the point of view of the countries you built up while destroying your own. And the Chinese are more then happy to oblige. Thus the entry of the word treason to the conversation.

438 posted on 02/15/2005 4:56:01 PM PST by Havoc (Reagan was right and so was McKinley. Down with free trade. Hang the traitors high)
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To: Havoc
"And 12 percent. Try saying it right.. Nineteen MILLION people. Nineteen million people are irrelevant to you and undeserving of consideration, their jobs, their rights, etc."

What was that rant awhile back where you said I put words in YOUR mouth?

We are 12% above the average employment figures as averaged by the BLS for the last 40 years. Yet you tell me that all is lost because of Reagan's Free Markets these last 20 or so years

Seems to me if your theory is correct we should be way up in unemployment, yet all evidence is to the contrary.

Would you care to explain why or am I misconsturing your assertion.

439 posted on 02/15/2005 5:04:03 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: churchillbuff
He says that the private-sector job market is not growing, only the government-sector job market.

Dr. Roberts is correct on this point, as you might imagine, since he is an honest observer. (Although I find that his excoriation of President Bush is far too personally harsh.)

However, on a positive note, the current trend in private employment is indeed upward, and we can all hope that it soon does cross both the numbers from its peak in 2000 and, even better, it also catches up for five years of population growth.

From the Bureau of Labor Statistics:


Series Id:     CES0500000001
Seasonally Adjusted
Super Sector:  Total private
Industry:      Total private
NAICS Code:    N/A
Data Type:     ALL EMPLOYEES, THOUSANDS
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
1995 96980 97181 97381 97537 97544 97744 97823 98109 98347 98462 98607 98744  
1996 98742 99142 99350 99532 99847 100119 100328 100574 100729 100980 101261 101432  
1997 101639 101928 102235 102531 102795 102982 103232 103294 103738 104018 104302 104595  
1998 104859 105028 105170 105424 105766 105967 106037 106363 106558 106734 106976 107285  
1999 107393 107729 107829 108142 108364 108578 108806 108963 109121 109490 109746 109996  
2000 110210 110302 110644 110860 110735 110952 111148 111167 111387 111367 111566 111680  
2001 111622 111644 111565 111219 111156 110916 110763 110579 110301 109896 109551 109352  
2002 109206 109077 109003 108887 108790 108831 108765 108724 108693 108735 108733 108559  
2003 108614 108492 108296 108258 108252 108250 108250 108279 108432 108525 108617 108701  
2004 108839 108915 109204 109516 109787 109908 109976 110105 110203 110462 110588 110728(p)  
2005 110862(p)                        
p : preliminary




Series Id:     CES9000000001
Seasonally Adjusted
Super Sector:  Government
Industry:      Government
NAICS Code:    N/A
Data Type:     ALL EMPLOYEES, THOUSANDS
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
1995 19397 19407 19427 19434 19418 19445 19437 19429 19430 19464 19463 19466  
1996 19450 19485 19532 19515 19529 19528 19547 19504 19567 19554 19565 19571  
1997 19593 19598 19608 19603 19601 19660 19686 19617 19679 19738 19761 19766  
1998 19770 19786 19792 19816 19875 19879 19930 19959 19985 20001 20044 20079  
1999 20084 20144 20168 20237 20229 20272 20339 20375 20404 20457 20496 20540  
2000 20571 20599 20733 20802 21147 20887 20867 20837 20735 20743 20760 20804  
2001 20832 20902 20946 20995 21031 21113 21178 21224 21248 21276 21328 21353  
2002 21375 21401 21438 21448 21536 21546 21512 21571 21557 21574 21582 21602  
2003 21633 21633 21611 21595 21575 21604 21607 21580 21521 21551 21555 21554  
2004 21533 21551 21582 21607 21586 21571 21586 21645 21677 21700 21706 21699(p)  
2005 21711(p)                        
p : preliminary

440 posted on 02/15/2005 5:14:55 PM PST by snowsislander
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