Posted on 11/01/2004 11:27:23 AM PST by gab1279
...If you believe Zogby, Bush is going to win Ohio but get thumped in Pennsylvania.
If you follow the CNN/Gallup polls, Kerry breezes to victory in Ohio but loses to the Prez in Pennsylvania.
Florida and the five or six other states that will decide this election remain deadlocked according to most recent polls.
So what's it all about, Alfie?
It means the 2004 race for the White House comes down to little more at this point than which side is best prepared to get their people out to the polls...
...Two political insights on reading all these final polls:
1) Except in the last days of presidential races, polls are usually not taken on the weekend because weekend polls always trend Democratic. Every pollster I ever met while in Congress told me the same thing. So I am not paying too much attention to tracking polls that take Friday and Saturday surveys into account.
This would include every tracking poll in America.
2) Pollsters like John Zogby believe that young voters are preparing to swarm to America's voting booths to boot Bush out of the White House. All I know as a guy who started his run for Congress as a 29 year old maverick is that my greatest political frustration then— and now—was how hard it was to get people under 30 years old to the polls.
Unless John Kerry has some magic pixie dust that I don't know about, I seriously doubt the granite-faced senator from Blandsville will be the one candidate who unlocks the mystery of pushing millions of new young voters to the polls...
At the end he says his current prediction is Bush 279-Kerry 259.
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...
All my friends seem to be excited about voting this year, our bus. law prof. asked us who had voted yet last week and 2/3 the class raised their hands. I'm glad too, the weather in my side of TX is very rainy and supposed to stay that way.
Boy Zogby has gone to the dogs, huh? But I think everybody has already written him off...he's pretty obvious. He must be the talk of DU.
Joe should sort through his own bipolarism. One day he is kissing up to Ronnie Reagan & now he is giddy for Bush. What gives Joe?
He predicted 269 269 the other night.
Please remove me from your ping list. Thanks.
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