Ohio Poll Has Bush, Kerry Virtually Tied

http://www.channelcincinnati.com/politics/3878712/detail.html ^ | November 1, 2004

[ConservativeStatement]

The final Ohio Poll for Tuesday's election finds President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry in a statistical dead heat for Ohio’s 20 electoral votes.

After allocation of undecided voters to the candidates they are most likely to support, the presidential race stands at Bush 50.1 percent, Kerry 49.2 percent, and others less than one percent. Kerry led Bush, 48 percent to 46 percent, in the October poll.

[dead]

I hope Osama puts out another Kerry commercial!

[jwalsh07]

More movement toward Bush. From what I've seen the polls are moving in our direction.

[pabianice]

TURNOUT!

[WoodstockCat]

The "Ohio" poll is bs.

Trust Columbus Dispatch, larger sample, best history of calling Ohio historically.

Bush +5.

[saveliberty]

Weekends underrepresent R's and overrepresent D's. Example FNC poll that had more men supporting Kerry than W.

[Bahbah]

"I hope Osama puts out another Kerry commercial!"

I hope he remembers to wear his "Vote Kerry" button this time.

[moose2004]

The Ohio Poll by the University of Cincinnati is another very accurate poll, and the best news is this same poll had Bush down 4 points 1 week ago.

[fortheDeclaration]

After allocation of undecided voters to the candidates they are most likely to support

So the pollester now can figure out who the undecideds are going to vote for when they don't even know!

Ohio is going Bush, you are seeing the cracks in the MSM starting to show.

[conservativebabe]

It's crap.

[joesnuffy]

take away all the vote fraud and lying polls out of Marxist media and it isnt even close

[dwilli]

RAIN, SNOW, INCLEMENT WEATHER.....heavy
turnout will kill us.

[ProudVet77]

"After allocation of undecided voters" AKA the fudge factor.

[bad company]

The Ohio Poll is conducted by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati. The latest poll was conducted between Oct. 27 and Oct. 31.

With two weekend days in there, this looks pretty good.

[KJacob]

Trust Columbus Dispatch, larger sample, best history of calling Ohio historically.

Didn't their recent poll have a 50-50 split?

[ConservativeStatement]

Johnny Bench, Carl Lindner, Adam Dunn, Marty Brennaman. At least the Reds are behind our President.

[traderrob6]

RCP has the Columbus Dispatch poll "Tie"

[zebrahead]

Ohio will be won by Bush. He will win by 100,000 votes or less.

[whershey]

They don't say how the undecided were allocated. Assuming their playing the same game as Gallup these numbers are good for Bush.

[Straight Vermonter]

Ohio  ( 20 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 50.0, Gore 46.5, Nader 2.5  (Bush +3.5)
Poll | Date	Sample	MoE	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Spread
RCP Average | 10/20-10/31	-	-	47.6	48.0	Off Ballot	Kerry +0.4
Zogby | 10/28-10/31	601 LV	4.1	48	44	-	Bush +4
CNN/USAT/Gallup | 10/28-31	1111 LV	4.0	46	50	-	Kerry +4
Mason-Dixon | 10/27-29	625 LV	4.0	48	46	-	Bush +2
Rasmussen | 10/24-10/30	537 LV	4.0	50	48	-	Bush +2
Plain Dealer | 10/26-28	1500 LV	2.6	48	45	-	Bush +3
Colmbus Dispatch | 10/20-29	2880 LV	2.0	50	50	-	TIE
LA Times | 10/22-10/26	585 LV	4.0	44	50	-	Kerry +6
Survey USA| 10/23-10/25	831 LV	3.5	47	50	-	Kerry +3
ARG | 10/23-10/25	600 LV	4.0	47	49	-	Kerry +2
All Ohio Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot