Posted on 10/31/2004 7:12:30 PM PST by Josh in PA
CAMEC PROJECTION - 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
........Bush Kerry Nader Others Bush % Kerry % BUSH EV KERRY EVAL 1,081,230 671,538 14,250 14,250 60.7% 37.7% 9 AK 214,668 128,358 17,705 8,115 58.2% 34.8% 3 AZ 984,376 828,949 N/A 37,007 53.2% 44.8% 10 AR 604,025 521,502 10,315 10,315 52.7% 45.5% 6 CA 5,340,714 6,342,098 N/A 238,425 44.8% 53.2% 55 CO 1,098,165 975,669 45,130 30,087 51.1% 45.4% 9 CT 705,326 881,658 28,705 24,604 43.0% 53.8% 7 DE 178,960 219,633 5,084 3,050 44.0% 54.0% 3 DC 33,531 216,664 5,159 2,579 13.0% 84.0% 3 FL 3,508,207 3,202,259 54,391 33,994 51.6% 47.1% 27 GA 1,606,182 1,179,187 N/A 42,417 56.8% 41.7% 15 HI 247,879 244,345 N/A 12,621 49.1% 48.4% 4 ID 362,351 166,987 N/A 16,371 66.4% 30.6% 4 IL 2,323,137 2,833,602 N/A 52,088 44.6% 54.4% 21 IN 1,540,899 1,103,327 N/A 40,267 57.4% 41.1% 11 IA 840,978 807,271 20,224 16,853 49.9% 47.9% 7 KS 749,881 481,248 22,917 19,097 58.9% 37.8% 6 KY 1,086,136 742,069 16,738 14,879 58.4% 39.9% 8 LA 1,117,209 887,256 14,245 16,280 54.9% 43.6% 9 ME 364,288 393,337 19,628 7,851 46.4% 50.1% 1 3 MD 990,427 1,261,588 27,576 18,384 43.1% 54.9% 10 MA 1,136,961 1,780,242 N/A 74,800 38.0% 59.5% 12 MI 2,302,668 2,354,679 37,826 33,098 48.7% 49.8% 17 MN 1,343,268 1,323,920 55,279 41,459 48.6% 47.9% 10 MS 693,712 470,733 7,079 8,258 58.8% 39.9% 6 MO 1,394,513 1,270,676 N/A 26,921 51.8% 47.2% 11 MT 313,797 184,004 13,031 10,425 60.2% 35.3% 3 NE 524,723 278,425 12,356 8,237 63.7% 33.8% 5 NV 405,026 367,773 11,889 7,926 51.1% 46.4% 5 NH 302,590 308,228 9,397 6,265 48.3% 49.2% 4 NJ 1,584,417 1,751,378 44,296 27,259 46.5% 51.4% 15 NM 397,722 367,128 11,767 7,845 50.7% 46.8% 5 NY 3,072,429 4,198,490 111,860 74,574 41.2% 56.3% 31 NC 1,860,069 1,575,506 N/A 34,703 53.6% 45.4% 15 ND 211,063 119,914 6,931 8,664 60.9% 34.6% 3 OH 2,904,354 2,743,956 N/A 80,199 50.7% 47.9% 20 OK 869,148 512,002 N/A 13,951 62.3% 36.7% 7 OR 800,537 854,582 N/A 33,778 47.4% 50.6% 7 PA 2,636,463 2,679,419 N/A 53,696 49.1% 49.9% 21 RI 209,236 307,165 13,378 5,351 39.1% 57.4% 4 SC 958,439 660,879 13,152 11,508 58.3% 40.2% 8 SD 217,057 147,183 4,460 2,973 58.4% 39.6% 3 TN 1,327,809 1,004,126 16,539 14,176 56.2% 42.5% 11 TX 4,569,221 2,822,166 N/A 74,660 61.2% 37.8% 34 UT 614,659 255,056 18,025 13,519 68.2% 28.3% 5 VT 135,032 174,215 9,715 4,857 41.7% 53.8% 3 VA 1,693,700 1,481,988 N/A 32,078 52.8% 46.2% 13 WA 1,258,821 1,399,302 41,318 55,091 45.7% 50.8% 11 WV 394,177 342,568 6,732 4,488 52.7% 45.8% 5 WI 1,500,290 1,431,138 45,099 30,066 49.9% 47.6% 10 WY 129,249 67,079 3,068 5,113 63.2% 32.8% 3TOTAL 60,739,725 57,322,464 795k 1465k 50.5% 47.7% 311 227
50.48% 47.64% 0.66% 1.22%
Mining space?
Earlier this month, sKerry's original plan was to camp out in OH and FL for the rest of the election cycle. However Bush's campaign swings into OR, NJ, HI, MI, MN, NM, and IA must have melted down sKerry's support in those states. Thus creating a very fickle electorate. 2004 will be remembered as being the year of the fickle voter.
LOL
How is it possible Gallup could have Mr Bush up by 8 in FL just 6 days ago while today they say he is down by 3?? I just don't believe it. Gallup's national poll also shows Bush way ahead among men while the Fox poll says he is trailing. Makes me think none of these things is accurate.
Give us a little backround about this. I love the results and I definitely will looking to see if Presidnt Bush gets 60 million votes or greater. That would be fine by me.
Embarrassing and painful here, ain't it?!
Now we'll see if I'm as good as the computer. :)
Yikes, I spent 20 minutes formatting that to fit my screen.. It must not be fitting all the screens..
If I find time tomorrow I'll fire up a free website somewhere and put it on. Right now I'm pretty beat and heading to bed.
My son is 26, NEVER cared about politics at all, neither has my husband...they always said it didn't matter. THIS YEAR THEY ARE VOTING FOR THE FIRST TIME!!! Along with my 2 daughters who can for the first time....I've never missed a vote...so I have 4 new voters in my house alone!!
Humph. Pessimist. :)
vote mining
http://www.camec-plc.com/
God they grow em great in Indiana!! Geez I may pick up and move there.
Add Michigan + 17
Add Pennsylvania + 21
Total BUSH = 349
Kerry = 189
I saved it into Excel. We shall see. Personally, I hope you are dead on.
Don't worry about Gallup. Their wide swings in voter sentiment in FL and OH are NOT believable. I'm thinking they got the attributions for OH and PA reversed. They probably meant to show Bush up in OH and Kerry up in PA. Anyway, don't worry about it and just GOTV. That's all any one can do right now. I would say in passing that this computer model sounds right about where it will break down in the final results Tuesday night.
I believe he said it was his personal program.
bump
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