Posted on 10/31/2004 7:12:30 PM PST by Josh in PA
CAMEC PROJECTION - 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
........Bush Kerry Nader Others Bush % Kerry % BUSH EV KERRY EVAL 1,081,230 671,538 14,250 14,250 60.7% 37.7% 9 AK 214,668 128,358 17,705 8,115 58.2% 34.8% 3 AZ 984,376 828,949 N/A 37,007 53.2% 44.8% 10 AR 604,025 521,502 10,315 10,315 52.7% 45.5% 6 CA 5,340,714 6,342,098 N/A 238,425 44.8% 53.2% 55 CO 1,098,165 975,669 45,130 30,087 51.1% 45.4% 9 CT 705,326 881,658 28,705 24,604 43.0% 53.8% 7 DE 178,960 219,633 5,084 3,050 44.0% 54.0% 3 DC 33,531 216,664 5,159 2,579 13.0% 84.0% 3 FL 3,508,207 3,202,259 54,391 33,994 51.6% 47.1% 27 GA 1,606,182 1,179,187 N/A 42,417 56.8% 41.7% 15 HI 247,879 244,345 N/A 12,621 49.1% 48.4% 4 ID 362,351 166,987 N/A 16,371 66.4% 30.6% 4 IL 2,323,137 2,833,602 N/A 52,088 44.6% 54.4% 21 IN 1,540,899 1,103,327 N/A 40,267 57.4% 41.1% 11 IA 840,978 807,271 20,224 16,853 49.9% 47.9% 7 KS 749,881 481,248 22,917 19,097 58.9% 37.8% 6 KY 1,086,136 742,069 16,738 14,879 58.4% 39.9% 8 LA 1,117,209 887,256 14,245 16,280 54.9% 43.6% 9 ME 364,288 393,337 19,628 7,851 46.4% 50.1% 1 3 MD 990,427 1,261,588 27,576 18,384 43.1% 54.9% 10 MA 1,136,961 1,780,242 N/A 74,800 38.0% 59.5% 12 MI 2,302,668 2,354,679 37,826 33,098 48.7% 49.8% 17 MN 1,343,268 1,323,920 55,279 41,459 48.6% 47.9% 10 MS 693,712 470,733 7,079 8,258 58.8% 39.9% 6 MO 1,394,513 1,270,676 N/A 26,921 51.8% 47.2% 11 MT 313,797 184,004 13,031 10,425 60.2% 35.3% 3 NE 524,723 278,425 12,356 8,237 63.7% 33.8% 5 NV 405,026 367,773 11,889 7,926 51.1% 46.4% 5 NH 302,590 308,228 9,397 6,265 48.3% 49.2% 4 NJ 1,584,417 1,751,378 44,296 27,259 46.5% 51.4% 15 NM 397,722 367,128 11,767 7,845 50.7% 46.8% 5 NY 3,072,429 4,198,490 111,860 74,574 41.2% 56.3% 31 NC 1,860,069 1,575,506 N/A 34,703 53.6% 45.4% 15 ND 211,063 119,914 6,931 8,664 60.9% 34.6% 3 OH 2,904,354 2,743,956 N/A 80,199 50.7% 47.9% 20 OK 869,148 512,002 N/A 13,951 62.3% 36.7% 7 OR 800,537 854,582 N/A 33,778 47.4% 50.6% 7 PA 2,636,463 2,679,419 N/A 53,696 49.1% 49.9% 21 RI 209,236 307,165 13,378 5,351 39.1% 57.4% 4 SC 958,439 660,879 13,152 11,508 58.3% 40.2% 8 SD 217,057 147,183 4,460 2,973 58.4% 39.6% 3 TN 1,327,809 1,004,126 16,539 14,176 56.2% 42.5% 11 TX 4,569,221 2,822,166 N/A 74,660 61.2% 37.8% 34 UT 614,659 255,056 18,025 13,519 68.2% 28.3% 5 VT 135,032 174,215 9,715 4,857 41.7% 53.8% 3 VA 1,693,700 1,481,988 N/A 32,078 52.8% 46.2% 13 WA 1,258,821 1,399,302 41,318 55,091 45.7% 50.8% 11 WV 394,177 342,568 6,732 4,488 52.7% 45.8% 5 WI 1,500,290 1,431,138 45,099 30,066 49.9% 47.6% 10 WY 129,249 67,079 3,068 5,113 63.2% 32.8% 3TOTAL 60,739,725 57,322,464 795k 1465k 50.5% 47.7% 311 227
50.48% 47.64% 0.66% 1.22%
Its small consolation. I'd rather face Hitlery
in 2008 if you catch my drift.
MV
I do think that when we really get organized, some of us...a few thousand...should move away from our despicably Rat states where our votes do no good, to some state that could use a few thousand more conservative votes, such as New Mexico or Iowa...we could get more conservative Senators in too......
There was also a snowstorm in rural New Mexico that was said to hurt turnout there.. and Nader support fell off in both New Mexico and Wisconsin.
then we'll see how tough our guys are.....
bumping for later.
We'll just have to show him what happens in a Republican Senate to a Democrat president who stole the election.
I could not look at Bill Clinton on TV in his
2 terms. I cannot look at JFnK either. He
makes me ill.
OTOH, I don't see how the repubs can go +3-4
seats if Bush loses.
What's really griping my cookies is that how
can half of the electorate be so stupid/gullible?
Bush should be ahead by 60:40.
MV
Not to bug you for more details, but...was CAMEC around in 2000, and if so, how'd he do?
That's the same question I keep asking myself about half of our countrymen/women.
Your tagline...is that a real statement she made? Please tell me no one is that stupid.
ping
ME is shown going for Kerry, BUT THE EV IS IN BUSHES COLUMN!
Based on the info I'm getting from Ohio, there is no way Bush loses there. I'd expect Florida's the same. Plus, remeber that estimates of the Panhandle votes Bush missed in 2000 range from 10,000 to 50,000. Those people will NOT be staying home this time out.
ME has a split EV--3 to the winner of the
STATE popular vote and 1 based
on a congressional district.
MV
Sorry , my bad, I see now that ME splits their EVs
Bill
Maine splits there EV's.
2 goes to the winner of the state. 1 goes to the winner of each congressional district.
Right now, I believe BUsh is going to win CD #2 to get 1 EV out of Maine.
Nebraska also does the same thing, but Kerry is no where close to grabbing one there.
Now this is a projection I agree with. Almost exactly what I was expecting myself. Have saved a copy to compare with on Tueday evening.
Thanks
Also, did you notice that the popular vote totaled
140mill? That's got to be nearly 75% of the total
eligible adult population!
Unheard of!
MV
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