Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/30

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/30/04 | Rasmussen

[conservative in nyc]

Rasmussen 3 day National tracking poll has Bush at 47.9% to Kerry at 47.1%. This is a 1.4% Kerry gain from yesterday. With leaners included, Kerry trails by 48.8% to 48.3%. In the 16 state battleground poll, Kerry leads by 48.9% to 46.3%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

In the Rasmussen 7 day rolling averages of 5 key states, the numbers are:

Florida, Bush 48%-47% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Michigan, Kerry 50%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 49%-48% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Bush 48%-47% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 48%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

In the Rasmussen weekly updates:

Wisconsin, Kerry 48%-46% (This is unchanged from 10/20)

Iowa, Tie 48% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from 10/23)

[conservative in nyc]

Past days:

Rasmussen Battleground polls for 10/29

Rasmussen Battleground polls for 10/28

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/27

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/26

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/25

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/24

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/22

Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states 

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/20

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/17

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/16

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/14

Rasmussen Battleground Polls Update (10/13)

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/12

Rasmussen Battleground polls - updated 10/9

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/8

  And archived under keyword thanksDUmmies.

[shawngf]

Statistical fuzz. No change at all.

[sono]

It's still Bush 55 Kerry 45 on both Iowa Futures and Tradesports.

[Question Liberal Authority]

This is horrible news, even though Rasmussen's numbers are randomly generated by a monkey on crack flinging pooh at the numbers 47, 48, and 49.

[KoRn]

This is what I see happening.

FL is key, NH and HI put us over the top. This is a conservative senario for our side too, and it's very much doable.

[Illinois Rep]

wouldn't want to have to count on Hawaii being the critical state...would you?

[Perdogg]

Bush wins OH, IA, MN, WI possibly MI.

[KoRn]

No, but NH or HI could do it. I think NH could be a sleeper for us, and HI has shown us to be ahead in every recent poll. Skerry has a totally negative message, and I don't think that will play well out there and I don't care what the history of the state is.

[Darth Gill]

That sure is cutting it close.. Just think - we lose HI and something worse than Clinton will be the President!

[Archie Bunker on steroids]

We want to ignore poll we don't like. Remember, there are lots of valueless, God hating, America hating, intellectually vulnerable parasites who vote in our country.

Lot of numbers to overcome as the other side knows how to get these morons to the polls.

[KoRn]

I hope you are righ, under my senario we can win without them though. Having said that we should fight like hell to win them though. That picture just shows what kind of trouble Skerry is in with the college, I don't care what the polls say!

[Illinois Rep]

I agree--I don't think America is going to reward hate and anger. That is all the Dems have offered since Daschle obstructed this president to Howard Dean, Dick Gephardt, John Edwards and John Kerry offering nothing except horrible words for Bush..an otherwise very good and decent man.

Will America award them for this? I hope not!

Will America give in to the terrorists and elect Kerry? I hope not!

I think America is still smarter and wiser than that. Kerry has offered us nothing but hate for Bush. If America accepts that and choses that as President....well then you get what you pay for as the old tale goes.

[MichaelTN04]

You all aren't looking at this correctly.

Trends.

What's happening in Ohio? Bush has regained the lead in Zogby (up by 5) and the Cleveland Plain Dealer Poll has him up by 3.

LOOK where Kerry is at. He's TIED in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Hawaii, Michigan, and New Hampshire.

Essentially, Kerry needs to SWEEP all of those to win. C'mon folks!

[technomage]

These pollsters want us to believe that people are leaning towards sKerry after the OBL tape?

What did they put in their pipe?

[Ingtar]

My minimal scenario is similar, but the four electoral votes come from Delaware and one from Maine. I think that Delaware or New Jersey might be a big surprise. Hawaii would be surprising, except the pollsters have lowered expectations there now.

[ConservativeGreek]

Lots of sKerry signs and enthusiasm here in NH. I hope you are right. I don't want to live in a blue state for four long years! Even though Bush will win I would struggle knowing that my State went Blue!

[ProudVet77]

Yeah, but this is the absolute minimilists projection. We are bound to win at least one of MN, WI or OH which would make HI a moot point.
On a national vote I expect W to win handily. There is not much motivation for a big Demo turnout in MA, CA and NY. That's a lot of poorly motivated voters. While I expect Kerry will win MA, he won't win by much. Pubs here are motivated (we have candidates for a change!!) and the Dems don't really love Kerry. Expect heavy turnout by pubs and a less motivated turnout by dems.

[San Jacinto]

Same crack head monkey as Zog, or a different one?

[bushisdamanin04]

Fred and Mort are picking Bush to win 286 (I think it was).

[Question Liberal Authority]

Zogby's methods aren't quite so scientific.