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Fox News U.S. Poll: Bush 50%, Kerry 45% [with "complete Poll" file link!]
Center for Public Opinion and Democracy ^ | 29OCT04 | Center for Public Opinion and Democracy

Posted on 10/29/2004 5:13:43 PM PDT by familyop

(CPOD) Oct. 29, 2004 - George W. Bush is the top contender in the 2004 United States presidential race, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the election, while 45 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

Five per cent of respondents are undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for Bush increased by one per cent since mid-October, while backing for Kerry went up by three per cent. In early October, the Republican held a two per cent lead over the Democrat.

Polling Data

If the election for president of the United States were held today, would you vote for:

 

Oct. 27-28

Oct. 17-18

Oct. 1-3

George W. Bush (R)

50%

49%

47%

John Kerry (D)

45%

42%

45%

Ralph Nader (I)

--

2%

1%

Undecided

5%

7%

7%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,200 likely American voters, conducted on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Other poll highlights: Bush approval at 49 per cent. Terrorism/homeland security and the economy are the main issues for voters. Bush better for war on terrorism, the situation in Iraq, appointing Supreme Court justices and protecting families; Kerry better for the economy, health care, education and creating jobs.

Complete Poll (PDF)


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; election; fox; foxnews; foxnewspolls; gop; gwb2004; kewl; news; poll; polls; president; report; win
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If you want the numbers, follow the "Complete Poll" link (PDF).
1 posted on 10/29/2004 5:13:43 PM PDT by familyop
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To: familyop

this isnt news....


2 posted on 10/29/2004 5:14:59 PM PDT by Fallstaff
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To: familyop

The guys over at DU are not talking this pole up much. They are all excited about a phone call from some Democrat bigwhigs declaring PA, OH and FLA are all in Kerry's column.


3 posted on 10/29/2004 5:17:05 PM PDT by DOGEY
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To: DOGEY

in their dreams DUmmies


4 posted on 10/29/2004 5:18:20 PM PDT by LegalEagle61
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To: DOGEY
You are calling the DU crowd "guys"?

They and their friends at CPUSA.COM are at the bottom of pieces of dog kerry at best.

Best/

5 posted on 10/29/2004 5:22:50 PM PDT by oldtimer
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To: DOGEY

And they think President Bush is living in a fantasy world. HAHaHAha!!!


6 posted on 10/29/2004 5:24:59 PM PDT by nelibeli (you are who you are when you are alone........)
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To: Fallstaff
"this isnt news...."

Oh? Show me an earlier post with the complete poll file linked as we see above. Then regarding posting rules, show me a previously posted copy of the CPOD poll report above.

President Bush will win the Election. Democrats should take a few days off to rest. They shouldn't tire themselves with a struggle against our winning GOP. They're damaging their health with so much stress for nothing.

We do like to rub this Election win in.
7 posted on 10/29/2004 5:27:21 PM PDT by familyop (Receive, adhere, listen, dissolve, entice and launch.)
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To: oldtimer

I agree that the DU "males" (their feminist term--alludes to their part in the animal kingdom) are "guys."

Republican men are men.


8 posted on 10/29/2004 5:29:50 PM PDT by familyop (Receive, adhere, listen, dissolve, entice and launch.)
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To: familyop

I'm really worried about the battleground state polls on RealClearPolitics, particularly Ohio, Penna., Michigan, etc. I'm hoping all those Kerry leads are mirages for some reason or another.


9 posted on 10/29/2004 5:35:10 PM PDT by Unam Sanctam
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To: DOGEY

I just took a look over at DUh. The phone call was a conference call between a DUH administrator, aTadtooDivine, Joe Lockhart, and some other Democrat hack. The call was obviously a "lets energize the base" thing, because its so full of holes. For instance, that Bush peaks at 47% in polls, and that is his ceiling. Have these guys seen all of the polls where Bush is at 50%? The candidate who can never seem to get past 45-47% is Kerry.

They are losing, and they know it.


10 posted on 10/29/2004 5:35:18 PM PDT by KerryWillBeCrushed
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To: DOGEY
"a phone call from some Democrat bigwhigs declaring PA, OH and FLA are all in Kerry's column."

I bet the call actually happened, but that the assessment isn't predicated on real analysis. The last thing the Kerry campaign wants going into next week is a "Bush is surging" environment.
11 posted on 10/29/2004 5:44:12 PM PDT by Warlord
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To: KerryWillBeCrushed

I am so glad that for the last couple of weeks Bush has been mostly ahead even if only by a hair. It sure has saved me a lot of fretting and sleepless nights. If I was rooting for Kerry who just can't seem to quite get there, I would be almost sick by now.


12 posted on 10/29/2004 5:51:58 PM PDT by DestroytheDemocrats
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To: familyop
We do like to rub this Election win in.

I have already registered at DU so that I can post there and rub it in their faces after Bush wins.

They really ticked me off when they posted my pic from the FR gallery (along with others) and made insulting personal remarks about us.

Watching their suicidal meltdown after Bush's victory will be sweet, sweet, sweet.

13 posted on 10/29/2004 6:13:59 PM PDT by Maceman (Too nuanced for a bumper sticker)
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To: DOGEY
Yea, the folks at DU are so happy about their "tele pep talk" today. Talking up the Democracy Corps poll, which is a democratic polling firm (Carville is one of the leaders). That'd be like us taking comfort in some internal Republican polling firm. Let the DU folks have their last happy and hopeful weekend. Because the next four years aren't going to be their happiest. Maybe the poll from the democratic polling firm is right, and the other 50+ showing Bush ahead are wrong. But I'll take my chances. Would any of swap the polls right now and be any happier? NO WAY! If polls were showing Kerry up in NC, LA, MO, KY, TN, we'd be talking about who would be running against president Kerry in 2008.

To me, the polls are tracking as was predicted about a week ago by one of the Bush campaign insiders (from NRO Kerry Spot). He said it would tighten earlier this week, and it did. Then late week into the weekend, it would start breaking big for Bush. From the latest national and state polls, seems to be trending Bush. Tony Snow and another source on Thursday shared some internal polling information. They said within the last 48 hours, it had started breaking big towards Bush. Said undecideds were breaking 2-1 for Bush.

14 posted on 10/29/2004 6:14:15 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: familyop

This is good news, but these polls are driving me crazy!

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ shows results of several polls, each with a different outcome.


15 posted on 10/29/2004 6:20:41 PM PDT by rdl6989
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To: Maceman

...good work! Hmmm. That's something we should all do, IMO. Humble those mouthy witches during their most hysterical moments. Maybe it'll push 'em over the edge.


16 posted on 10/29/2004 6:41:18 PM PDT by familyop (Receive, adhere, listen, dissolve, entice and launch.)
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To: Maceman
They really ticked me off when they posted my pic from the FR gallery (along with others) and made insulting personal remarks about us.

There's a FR gallery? I didn't know that.

17 posted on 10/29/2004 6:42:11 PM PDT by gop_gene
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To: Warlord
"a phone call from some Democrat bigwhigs declaring PA, OH and FLA are all in Kerry's column."

I bet the call actually happened, but that the assessment isn't predicated on real analysis. The last thing the Kerry campaign wants going into next week is a "Bush is surging" environment.

Now THAT makes me feel a whole lot better! 'Cause if the dems had in their column PA (most certainly), OH (slightly behind to at best a little ahead) and FL (not likely), then why would the Kerry camp be spending valuable time and money sending their surrogates to HI for 4 measly EV that they won't need?

OTOH, the same could be said about W, that he's desperate and scrambling for the crumbs HI might possibly offer, but if he truly were losing, it's doubtful those 4 EV from a state that will likely "come home" to the democrats at the end could save him, don't you think? Now, more and more I'm starting to think we might, just might, have the beginnings of a landslide and W is going for everything he can possibly get, not just what he needs.

18 posted on 10/29/2004 6:46:53 PM PDT by gop_gene
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To: gop_gene
Now, more and more I'm starting to think we might, just might, have the beginnings of a landslide and W is going for everything he can possibly get, not just what he needs.

What President Bush is looking for, isn't just re-election, but an honest, true, mandate from the people, the likes of which we haven't seen since the Reagan Administration. What he is looking for is the same thing I'm looking for, a complete, utter, and indisputable repudiation, at the ballot box, of "Clintonism", in all its forms.

The left has been saying for far too long, that in 50/50 America, getting a mere plurality of votes equals a "mandate" for sweeping change to the left. President Bush wants to end that nonsense, and end it now. I do as well...

the infowarrior

19 posted on 10/30/2004 12:01:23 AM PDT by infowarrior (TANSTAAFL)
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To: familyop

I was hoping someone would post what I just saw on Fox, their business show and each of the business talking heads gave their prediction. It was either split between the 6 people or it was 3 predicting Kerry, 2 predicting Bush. I was hoping as I said, someone else had the details of this.


20 posted on 10/30/2004 7:37:21 AM PDT by roadrunner96 (Don't Freepload! Make a monthly contribution for this service!)
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