Posted on 10/25/2004 10:33:48 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK
Believe what you like. We had none other than Bob Beckworth on Fox this morning admitting that Kerry has a lot to do to coax the black vote. A recent poll showed it very much up for Bush, too, from 9% in 2000 to around 18%. Even if he increases it a couple points from 2000!! HE's also closed the women vote gap, and obviously he is holding strong as ever with men. W is for winner!
If their own campaign is admitting it...
I remember the same things being said about Gore in 2000.
Great news. I heard this on Fox this morning. This should prevent quite a bit of Rat fraud in those states.
The writing is on the wall. Read it.
So, why is sKerry spending tons of $$ in Mass. on TV and radio ads? That's a sign that buoys GOP hopes.
I read on the Kerry Spot that the latest Rassmussen poll was a push poll with the first question asking if the person supported the draft.
Great article!
Are you talking about the 8% on this Web site that think Kerry will win?
I agree, per the last Rasmussen FL poll on Oct 15 Bush had a 56% favorable opinion rating. He will win big in FL just like Jeb who has an 81% favorable.
I thought it was that provisional ballots in OH--and last week for FL--could not be used in districts other than the one in which the voter resided. That in itself is a major victory. I had not heard about Michigan. Good news.
Yep....
W did have good numbers in 2002, and yes, I agree that played a factor in Jeb's winning re-election. But by a landslide?
The Dems spent a ton of money trying to get him out.
We'll need at least 2-3% just to overcome voter fraud.
Tack on another percent or two just to show that litigation is NOT the freakin' answer, or that it won't have an effect.
If it is close again and Kerry sues, the MSM will be screaming "You see, Bush is trying to steal the election AGAIN! And look who is going to 'pick' it again!"
I'm hoping for him to pull away, but even if he does, DON'T GET COMPLACENT. Not until November 3rd.
And I still say, let's shock 'em all on Election Night and give New Jersey to Bush!! (not gonna happen unless we try to make it happen!)
TS
thanks for the post. your concern is well founded. there is a margin of error in the election process, which those involved in systems theory call noise, which runs from about .25% to .5% if memory serves me correctly. some democrats i know and republicans i know (these are elected officials or those supporting their parties) feel that the system is skewed toward democrats by .5% to 1.5%, for a variety of reasons, some involved cheating, and some involving the skewing of noise toward the democrats.
personally, i think the tables against the republicans has been skewed by less than 1%, but this year things seem to be ugly. my greatest hope is that there are enough people out there in charge of voting that are professionals that things will not get out of hand.
i have not personally studied this, but do have degrees in math and have significantly studied statistics, so i am capable of looking at data and drawing second hand conclusions.
Has anyone noticed that Bush is kicking A$$ in Hawaii? Hmm, weren't they the first state to enact a DOMA bill? Is Gay Marriage an issue? Just imagine "Chief Justice Margaret Marshall".
YES...Bush is winning Hawaii.....heck there might more surprises by the election days...I am hoping for a Bush landslide....if you're gonna dream, dream BIG!!!
Hawaii ( 4 Electoral Votes)
>> Results from 2000 Election: Bush 37.5, Gore 55.8, Nader 5.9 (Gore +18.3)
Poll | Date Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader Spread
RCP Average | 10/13 - 10/20 - - 44.7 43.8 - Bush +0.9
SMS Research | 10/17-20 612 LV 4.0 46 45 - Bush +1
Honolulu Advertiser| 10/13-18 600 LV 4.0 43.3 42.6 - Bush +0.7
All Hawaii Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot - In Court
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