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Electoral College Update-Commentary from RealClearPolitics.com (Great news for Bush)
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/25/2004 | J. McIntyre

Posted on 10/25/2004 10:33:48 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK

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To: Coop

I know theoretically it is possible: and I do think Bush is going to win WI, NM, and IA, but I don't see Bush winning without either FL or OH, nor do I think that will be necessary. I haven't seen anything to suggest that we aren't looking at a 320 EV Bush victory.


21 posted on 10/25/2004 10:52:39 AM PDT by LS
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To: The_Republican

Balderdash to all you gloom and doomers.

Florida is not going to go to Kerry. Remember how Terry McAuliffe vowed to send a message to W. by promising Jeb would voted out as governor in 2002? He sent a message alright, but it wasn't the kind that should inspire confidence in Democrats.

Look at the rally in Jacksonville over the weekend - Bush spoke before an estimated 50,000 at Alltel Stadium. John Edwards was in town the night before, and spoke to a whopping 2,500 in Metropolitan Park.

One more thing: God forgive me for saying anything nice about Al Gore, but he was a much stronger candidate than John Kerry ever was. Voters knew where Gore stood. Kerry has left them unclear on many issues. That in itself is bad, but during a war, it's fatal.

All this said, get yourself and every W. supporter you know to the polls and vote.


22 posted on 10/25/2004 10:53:16 AM PDT by GeorgiaMike
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To: snarkytart
Well I am not there yet".
Yet!!!
HUH?


I think he means ..he is not to the point yet of saying...either way...either way...not a good answer...but rather that than boasting he is the winner...when he knows the polls are close.
23 posted on 10/25/2004 10:53:19 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK (Native American pleading for Truth!)
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To: gop_gene; The_Republican
Don't worry..........latest Ohio poll has President Bush up by 5, and the grassroots, 72 hour, election day campaign is on TOP of things.

President Bush will WIN Ohio.

24 posted on 10/25/2004 10:53:30 AM PDT by ohioWfan (BUSH 2004 - PRAY for our PRESIDENT!)
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To: Sleeping Freeper
I still remember 2000, when almost all the pre-election polls had Bush ahead with a week to go.

That's because he was up, and comfortably, with a week to go. The DWI revelation and premature FL call changed all that.

25 posted on 10/25/2004 10:54:27 AM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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To: The_Republican
Kerry is doing much better at this point, then Gore was doing.

Bullhockey. Back that assertion up with some facts.

26 posted on 10/25/2004 10:55:25 AM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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To: GeorgiaMike

Look at the rally in Jacksonville over the weekend - Bush spoke before an estimated 50,000 at Alltel Stadium. John Edwards was in town the night before, and spoke to a whopping 2,500 in Metropolitan Park.



YEAH, and Rosie and Cher have a "handful" at their speeches.....Florida, I feel will go Bush...they are tired of the Dems rhetoric and Bush has done a great job in their state!!!


27 posted on 10/25/2004 10:55:25 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK (Native American pleading for Truth!)
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To: The_Republican

Are you ALWAYS completely pessimistic in the face of good news?


28 posted on 10/25/2004 10:55:32 AM PDT by ohioWfan (BUSH 2004 - PRAY for our PRESIDENT!)
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To: IndianPrincessOK; RogerWilko
I hope this gets tighter and Bush is ahead by this weekend 8-10 pts!!!

But are you and others prepared emotionally for when the lamestream media tells you Kerry has closed the gap and it's a dead heat?

29 posted on 10/25/2004 10:56:54 AM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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To: Coop

I'd rather have them tell us it's a dead heat and then BLOW their socks off next Tuesday by winning 8-10 pts!


30 posted on 10/25/2004 10:59:13 AM PDT by RogerWilko
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To: IndianPrincessOK
Did I hear that there were only 38 at one of those Kerry events?

50,000 in Jax, 25,000 in Melbourne on the same day for the President, right??

FL will go for President Bush.

31 posted on 10/25/2004 10:59:55 AM PDT by ohioWfan (BUSH 2004 - PRAY for our PRESIDENT!)
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To: ohioWfan
Only 36 to see Rosie and a couple hundred to see Cher also.lol!

(both in FL)

32 posted on 10/25/2004 11:08:37 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: mlocher; RebelBanker

I just called the superintendent of elections in my county in northern NJ to check that my registration was received. She said yes, I'm all set. But what she then volunteered bothered me a bit: 1) they accepted faxed applicatons this year because 2) the volume of registrants was so high.

I am suspicious--normally the rats are involved in election fraud to some degree (see 1960 Illinois presidential race) but this year it is wholesale.


33 posted on 10/25/2004 11:11:00 AM PDT by Pharmboy (History's greatest agent for freedom: The US Armed Forces)
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To: No Blue States

Those numbers make me VERY happy! :o)


34 posted on 10/25/2004 11:11:07 AM PDT by ohioWfan (BUSH 2004 - PRAY for our PRESIDENT!)
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To: GeorgiaMike

Completely agreed. When will the doom and gloom folks stop. Some of these people have been posting for years...

I went to the Jax rally on Saturday and let me tell you with a base like that BUSH IS NOT LOSING FLORIDA -- GET OVER IT. I just talked to a jazz college professor who said he voted for Gore in 2000 but now he is for W. (This is in FL). Another dem for Bush. There, FL is for W.

Haven't you people been listening anyway? The race has tightened in Hawaii! Kerry's losing. We have the momentum, we have the lead in WI, IA, NM, maybe even MN - FL is for W, and I think OH is, too. Who cares about the Dow indicators -- hasn't anyone realized this is an election like no other. But maybe we'll start blaming Bush for the high gas prices, too. I'll give you an indicator --

Kerry is losing ground and defending Gore states.
Bush is fighting for Gore states.
Florida is energized.
No incumbent has ever lost after the debates with a lead.
Bush has doubled the black vote from 2000.
Bush has closed the gap on the women vote from 2000.
Bush has a fired up conservative Christian/Catholic base that will be out in arms like they weren't in 2000.

W IS FOR WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!

So keep working hard for W, get out the vote, cast your vote either by early voting, absentee, or on Nov 2, and relax as you watch Dan Rather implode on the election night when he announces that W has won by a much larger margin than thought possible!!!


35 posted on 10/25/2004 11:12:42 AM PDT by Mister Mellow (They misunderestimated Bush. Again.)
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To: GeorgiaMike

Jeb was lucky though that his opponent pretty much flubbed one of their last debates. He sank after that. Still the Dem was well financed and the Dems threw everything they could at Jeb.

Repubs also did well in '02 though because GWB's approval ratings were very high. So it is tough to see many parallels between then and now. We just have to hope the American people show good sense.


36 posted on 10/25/2004 11:14:09 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: ohioWfan
Yeah, me too. low audience should equal low votes for their agenda and candidate.


37 posted on 10/25/2004 11:14:13 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: Mister Mellow
Bush has doubled the black vote from 2000.

I'll believe this when it actually happens.

38 posted on 10/25/2004 11:14:58 AM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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To: Mister Mellow
Awesome post. Thanks for spelling out the reality for the pessimists.
39 posted on 10/25/2004 11:16:40 AM PDT by No Blue States
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To: RebelBanker
Unfortunately, I believe Kerry's backup plan for Florida and Ohio is to steal them. A small army of lawyers, provisional ballots, massive voter fraud and so forth appear to be the Democrats' insurance policies.

The 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals has overturned the rulings by Clinton appointed judges forcing Ohio and Michigan to use provisional ballots.

40 posted on 10/25/2004 11:16:42 AM PDT by COEXERJ145 (The price of freedom is eternal vigilance)
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