Posted on 10/24/2004 9:46:31 PM PDT by Happy2BMe
The latest Zogby tracking poll out Sunday -- with just ten days until Election Day -- shows President Bush and Senator Kerry still locked in a two-point standoff -- 48% to 46%.
But Zogby notes the President has turned in a second day of strong polling.
Pollster John Zogby: "Another good single day of polling for President Bush.
In today's sample alone, he leads 50% to 43% - the first time we've seen either candidate hit 50%.
Each candidate continues to tighten his own constituency, and Undecided voters are now at only 4%."
The telephone poll of 1207 likely voters was conducted from Thursday through Saturday (October 21-23, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.
And Tony Soprano will have John Kerry by the b@lls.
I got me a defective calendar!
Be right back.
That doesn't mean Bush will be up 50 to 43 tomorrow. It all depends on how strong or weak of a day he had today (Sunday).
Perhaps one of the last elections in America where one can say they trust the US populace to not be stupid as a whole.
But then again, as Dennis Miller reminds us all, I may be wrong.
I wonder if alZogby will "reevaluate" the numbers for Monday to help Kerry. Remember, there is weekend polling to take into account
I assume this is a three-day tracking poll, so the next result should show Bush pulling away.
My mistake...that number is from today!
I like the "trend"...GO W!
Monday is going to be one of those déjà vu days.
___________________________________________________
As we go down to the wire and watch the daily tracking polls, NewsMax thought we should take a look back at 2000 and review the "final" polls.
In almost every case save one, national polls had George W. Bush winning the popular vote.
Which pollster had it right?
As Dick Morris summed up the 2000 polling fiasco, "All the polls were wrong except Zogby."
Compare the final polls with the actual results below.
Actual Final Vote
Bush 47.87%
Gore 48.38%
Nader 2.74%
Final Polls
Zogby/Reuters Poll
Gore 48%
Bush 46%
Nader 4%
Gallup/USA Today/CNN
Bush 48%
Gore 46%
Nader 4%
Buchanan 1%
NBC/Wall Street Journal
Bush 47%
Gore 44%
Nader 3%
Buchanan 2%
Washington Post
Bush 48%
Gore 45%
Nader 3%
Battleground Poll
Bush 46%
Gore 41%
Nader 4%
Buchanan 1%
ABC News
Bush 48%
Gore 45%
Nader 3%
Buchanan 1%
CBS News
Bush 46%
Gore 42%
Nader 5%
Buchanan 1%
Rasmussen
Bush 49%
Gore 40%
Nader 4%
Pew Research
Bush 45%
Gore 43%
Nader 4%
ICR Poll
Bush 46%
Gore 44%
Nader 7%
Buchanan 2%
Investor’s Business Daily/TIPP
Bush 48%
Gore 42%
Nader 3%
Buchanan 1%
Have you seen the post tonight showing Bush up 1 in the state of Conn.? It's supposedly from a reputable polling firm in Conn.
Imagine the numbers if they didn't have a generous mop of the Zogby secret sauce...it must pain him to report Bush ahead.
I heard this on Drudge's Radio Show about an hour ago. Good stuff.
The same thing happened with Rasmussen. He compiles the polls over a 4 day period. He had one outlier day with Kerry doing well. That's why Rasmussen looked so close today. Hopefully tomorrow there should be a big shift. Zogby knows half the population no longer trusts him. If he doesn't get in line with what is going on now, his reputation will be zero after this election.
They left off the Harris poll. It showed them tied.
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