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To: MeekOneGOP; PhilDragoo; devolve; potlatch; JohnHuang2; Mia T; Smartass; Prime Choice
2000 Final Polls All Wrong - Except Zogby

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As we go down to the wire and watch the daily tracking polls, NewsMax thought we should take a look back at 2000 and review the "final" polls.

In almost every case save one, national polls had George W. Bush winning the popular vote.

Which pollster had it right?

As Dick Morris summed up the 2000 polling fiasco, "All the polls were wrong except Zogby."

Compare the final polls with the actual results below.

Actual Final Vote

Bush 47.87%

Gore 48.38%

Nader 2.74%

Final Polls

Zogby/Reuters Poll

Gore 48%

Bush 46%

Nader 4%

Gallup/USA Today/CNN

Bush 48%

Gore 46%

Nader 4%

Buchanan 1%

NBC/Wall Street Journal

Bush 47%

Gore 44%

Nader 3%

Buchanan 2%

Washington Post

Bush 48%

Gore 45%

Nader 3%

Battleground Poll

Bush 46%

Gore 41%

Nader 4%

Buchanan 1%

ABC News

Bush 48%

Gore 45%

Nader 3%

Buchanan 1%

CBS News

Bush 46%

Gore 42%

Nader 5%

Buchanan 1%

Rasmussen

Bush 49%

Gore 40%

Nader 4%

Pew Research

Bush 45%

Gore 43%

Nader 4%

ICR Poll

Bush 46%

Gore 44%

Nader 7%

Buchanan 2%

Investor’s Business Daily/TIPP

Bush 48%

Gore 42%

Nader 3%

Buchanan 1%

13 posted on 10/24/2004 9:52:00 PM PDT by Happy2BMe (Just 9 Days Until November 2nd, 2004 - DOWN TO THE WIRE!)
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To: Happy2BMe
I am working on my "posting" for DU. I only get one shot at it because they will ban me, so I am writing the most BITING posting I can, to be posted on November 3rd when Bush is announced the winner by a large margin.
19 posted on 10/24/2004 9:54:40 PM PDT by Viet-Boat-Rider (((KERRY IS A NARCISSISTIC LIAR, GOLDBRICKER, AND TRAITOR!)))
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To: Happy2BMe

They left off the Harris poll. It showed them tied.


20 posted on 10/24/2004 9:55:08 PM PDT by Ingtar (Understanding is a three-edged sword : your side, my side, and the truth in between ." -- Kosh)
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To: Happy2BMe
Some good points in the olde polls... it predicted the electoral Vote; it showed the pollsters use the third party candidate as the fudge factor to favor one candidate one way or another; and they were basically WRONG.
21 posted on 10/24/2004 9:55:41 PM PDT by Henchman (Who gave KERRY entré to the VC @ Paris? T.Kennedy? McGovern? ...some"high" low D'rat probably)
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To: Happy2BMe

one problem happy.. they were ALL within the margin of error and zogby did NOT get bush right.. bush is down almost a full 2 points.


29 posted on 10/24/2004 10:00:45 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: Happy2BMe

Why isn't Gallup just as close? Also, Harris was right on I believe stating 46 to 46. Zogby was worst in 2002


47 posted on 10/24/2004 10:13:50 PM PDT by madison46 (Are there kerry Republicans or only Bush Democrats?)
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To: Happy2BMe

Your list is missing Harris who called it a 48/48 tie.


56 posted on 10/24/2004 10:23:29 PM PDT by jps098
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To: Happy2BMe

And the final results were polled when? Before or after
the DUI against Bush? Did any poll ask any one after friday?

E


57 posted on 10/24/2004 10:26:05 PM PDT by Eric Pendragon
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To: Happy2BMe

The only reason it was close in 2000 was the DUI media conspiracy a few days prior.


86 posted on 10/25/2004 12:07:19 AM PDT by Enduring Freedom (How do you ask a man to be the last man to VOTE for a mistake?)
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To: Happy2BMe

The pollsters were wrong in 2000 because they didn't account for the corruption and fraud the 'Rats perpetrated, with multiple voting, registering dead people, etc., etc. In Minnesota, you don't need photo ID to vote if another registered voter will vouch for you, so you can vote multiple times, so long as you have accomplices at each polling station.

What pollster asks "Are you planning to vote multiple times in the election?" or "Does the Motor Voter Act give you the Constitutional Right to game the American political system?"


87 posted on 10/25/2004 12:23:30 AM PDT by opocno (France, the other dead meat)
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To: Happy2BMe


So, the polls now look pretty much as they did just before the 2000 elections. That's not too encouraging at all.


89 posted on 10/25/2004 2:03:36 AM PDT by TwilightDog (("The world is a stage, but the play is badly cast"--Oscar Wilde))
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To: Happy2BMe

In today's sample alone, he leads 50% to 43% - the first time we've seen either candidate hit 50%.

Each candidate continues to tighten his own constituency, and Undecided voters are now at only 4%."

Go, Dubya, GO !!!!


96 posted on 10/25/2004 6:10:38 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP (There is only one GOOD 'RAT: one that has been voted OUT of POWER !! Straight ticket GOP!)
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To: Happy2BMe

Note in your polls that they all got Bush right. If results are consistent and W is up to 50% in four or five pols and at 49 in two or three others, he should win the election.


98 posted on 10/25/2004 6:26:45 AM PDT by xkaydet65
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