Posted on 10/11/2004 6:33:29 AM PDT by big time major leaguer
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic challenger John Kerry expanded his slight lead over President Bush to three points in a tight race for the White House, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Monday.
The Massachusetts senator held a 47-44 percent lead over Bush in the latest three-day tracking poll, up two points from Sunday. Bush's support dropped one point and Kerry's support rose one point in the new poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
Also note that WP has 97 percent decided, Zogby only 91 percent decided.
I'd like to think that Zogby is wrong but I remember his accuracy in 2000.
Was he that accurate in 2000? I thought it was '96 where he was the most accurate?
He was way off in 2002. I believe he changed his methodology.
"I remember his accuracy in 2000."
Don't Texans say that even a blind hog sometimes finds an acorn?
Is this the online poll he sends out via email?
Zogby sways leftist until just before election day, then releases his most accurate work. He's just a dem shill.
Traitor 47
Bush 44 ???
Zogby is either wishin' or whistlin' by the graveyard! LOL
Zogby also includes fudging for massive voter fraud supporting the dems.
He's the outlier here.
The only reason he had any "accuracy" in 2000 was that he was the only one to poll the effects of the DWI charge. Otherwise, he got everything else wrong.
He was also the MOST way off pollster in 2002.
Pay it no mind.
Polls can be diversions. Where the candidates are {and are not} spending time and money are virtually infallibe indicators of the true state of the race. Kerry and Bush are both spending time in states Kerry has to have! Kerry's playing defense on an ever more pro-Bush battlefield. Trust your instincts everybody. It is utterly preosterous to contend that Kerry gained support after his disasterous Friday debate perfomance {rodent-contaminated stem cells?}!
I think Zogby has the inside scoop from the RATS on the % of fraud and where it will be committed and he tailors his results accordingly so he is the most accurate when the actual election takes place.
Accurate poll if the voter fraud from the DEMS is to be considered.. however.. .it will narrow much after wednesday.. The President will tie in John Kerry with a failure to learn the lessons of 911 and it will be through.
Zogby predicted in his last pre-election poll that Gore would win 48-46. The actual race was a virtual 48-48 tie. Most pollsters, not just Zogby, had the race virtually tied or within the margin of error.
But the real problems with his current poll are that (1) he is using the 2000 turnout model (D39, R35, I26), which seems unrealistic after 9/11 and the following elections and (2) no one else is finding similar results. Right now they point to a Bush lead, although it is only 3-4 points.
Moral of the story: don't believe any poll in isolation. The best approach is to do what realclearpolitics.com does, which is to use an average of all the major polls.
Yes, he picked a side.
Zogby is an Arab-American. Make sense now!
Yes, I remember his accuracy in 2000 after so many had doubted him. Gore sweeping the South was a huge shock on election night, and Bush winning California was equally so.
Thank God his prediction was right on Lazio winning in New York -- I couldn't have stomached Hillary making it to the Senate.
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