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Strange results, considering how Washington Post poll shows Bush up 51-46.

Also note that WP has 97 percent decided, Zogby only 91 percent decided.

I'd like to think that Zogby is wrong but I remember his accuracy in 2000.

1 posted on 10/11/2004 6:33:29 AM PDT by big time major leaguer
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To: big time major leaguer

Was he that accurate in 2000? I thought it was '96 where he was the most accurate?


2 posted on 10/11/2004 6:34:43 AM PDT by MarkeyD (<a href="http:\\www.michaelmoore.com>Maggot</a>)
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To: big time major leaguer

He was way off in 2002. I believe he changed his methodology.


3 posted on 10/11/2004 6:35:18 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo ("Armed with what? Spitballs?")
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To: big time major leaguer

"I remember his accuracy in 2000."

Don't Texans say that even a blind hog sometimes finds an acorn?


4 posted on 10/11/2004 6:35:29 AM PDT by labard1
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To: big time major leaguer

Is this the online poll he sends out via email?


5 posted on 10/11/2004 6:35:53 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: big time major leaguer
Put some of this sauce on it instead of the Zogby standard secret sauce. The results will change.


6 posted on 10/11/2004 6:36:12 AM PDT by Tarpon
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To: big time major leaguer

Zogby sways leftist until just before election day, then releases his most accurate work. He's just a dem shill.


7 posted on 10/11/2004 6:36:44 AM PDT by Petronski (I"m not always cranky.)
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To: big time major leaguer

Traitor 47
Bush 44 ???

Zogby is either wishin' or whistlin' by the graveyard! LOL


8 posted on 10/11/2004 6:37:05 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1/5 1st Mar Div. Nam 69&70 Semper Fi http://www.vietnamveteransagainstjohnkerry.com)
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To: big time major leaguer

Zogby also includes fudging for massive voter fraud supporting the dems.


9 posted on 10/11/2004 6:37:17 AM PDT by PigRigger (Send donations to http://www.AdoptAPlatoon.org)
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To: big time major leaguer

He's the outlier here.

The only reason he had any "accuracy" in 2000 was that he was the only one to poll the effects of the DWI charge. Otherwise, he got everything else wrong.

He was also the MOST way off pollster in 2002.

Pay it no mind.


10 posted on 10/11/2004 6:38:49 AM PDT by jmstein7 (A Judge not bound by the original meaning of the Constitution interprets nothing but his own mind.)
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To: big time major leaguer

Polls can be diversions. Where the candidates are {and are not} spending time and money are virtually infallibe indicators of the true state of the race. Kerry and Bush are both spending time in states Kerry has to have! Kerry's playing defense on an ever more pro-Bush battlefield. Trust your instincts everybody. It is utterly preosterous to contend that Kerry gained support after his disasterous Friday debate perfomance {rodent-contaminated stem cells?}!



11 posted on 10/11/2004 6:38:53 AM PDT by Cedric
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To: big time major leaguer

I think Zogby has the inside scoop from the RATS on the % of fraud and where it will be committed and he tailors his results accordingly so he is the most accurate when the actual election takes place.


12 posted on 10/11/2004 6:38:58 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Advantages are taken, not handed out)
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To: big time major leaguer
"...And looking around here, at this group here, I suspect there are only three people here who are going to be affected: the president, me, and, Charlie, I'm sorry, you too."-John Kerry
13 posted on 10/11/2004 6:39:14 AM PDT by Hatteras
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To: big time major leaguer
Posted Here.
14 posted on 10/11/2004 6:40:00 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (-- I only believe polls that look bad for Democrats. --)
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To: big time major leaguer

Accurate poll if the voter fraud from the DEMS is to be considered.. however.. .it will narrow much after wednesday.. The President will tie in John Kerry with a failure to learn the lessons of 911 and it will be through.


15 posted on 10/11/2004 6:40:47 AM PDT by tomnbeverly (The Plan to Win the Peace was subverted by the liberals and this isn't the first time.)
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To: big time major leaguer

Zogby predicted in his last pre-election poll that Gore would win 48-46. The actual race was a virtual 48-48 tie. Most pollsters, not just Zogby, had the race virtually tied or within the margin of error.

But the real problems with his current poll are that (1) he is using the 2000 turnout model (D39, R35, I26), which seems unrealistic after 9/11 and the following elections and (2) no one else is finding similar results. Right now they point to a Bush lead, although it is only 3-4 points.

Moral of the story: don't believe any poll in isolation. The best approach is to do what realclearpolitics.com does, which is to use an average of all the major polls.


16 posted on 10/11/2004 6:41:11 AM PDT by kesg
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To: big time major leaguer

Zogby is an Arab-American. Make sense now!


18 posted on 10/11/2004 6:41:23 AM PDT by jslade (People who are easily offended......OFFEND ME!)
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To: big time major leaguer
I'd like to think that Zogby is wrong but I remember his accuracy in 2000.

Yes, I remember his accuracy in 2000 after so many had doubted him. Gore sweeping the South was a huge shock on election night, and Bush winning California was equally so.

Thank God his prediction was right on Lazio winning in New York -- I couldn't have stomached Hillary making it to the Senate.

19 posted on 10/11/2004 6:42:30 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: big time major leaguer
   

 

 

 

Election 2004

National Political Tracking Data

Updated daily by Noon Eastern

Last Update Sunday

Click on Topic for Details

Presidential Tracking             Bush   50  Kerry 46
Congress                              Dem   44  GOP    42
President Bush Job Approval                  54
Electoral College               Bush 240 - Kerry 179
Updated Weekly
Bush                   Favorable 52 Unfavorable 47
Kerry                 Favorable 51 Unfavorable 47
Battleground States               Bush  47  Kerry 47
Right Track?                         Right 43 Wrong 54
Who is a Better Leader?         Bush 50   Kerry 40
Trust on Nat'l Defense?          Bush 52   Kerry 44
Trust to Manage Economy?   Bush 49   Kerry 45
Winning the War on Terror US 52  Terrorists 27
How is Bush handling Iraq  Ex/Good 42 Poor 45
How is Bush handling Econ Ex/Good 41 Poor 42


20 posted on 10/11/2004 6:42:38 AM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Member of the PajamaNati for 1/6th of a year)
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To: big time major leaguer

Polls are NOT a reflection of how the voters are thinking.
Polls are meant to DRIVE the vote.


The polls said Howard Dean was a runaway with the DemocRATic ticket.


21 posted on 10/11/2004 6:43:33 AM PDT by chicagolady (Mexican Elite say: EXPORT Poverty Let the American Taxpayer foot the bill !)
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To: big time major leaguer

I remember Zogby showing McBride beating Jeb Bush in 2002 a couple of days before Jeb pulled off a landslide victory.


22 posted on 10/11/2004 6:43:49 AM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Member of the PajamaNati for 1/6th of a year)
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