Posted on 10/08/2004 2:21:20 PM PDT by RWR8189
Election 2004 Reuters/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Presidential Race Narrows to Less Than One Percent – Bush 46%, Kerry 45%; Candidates Statistically Tied in Race for the White House; Debate May Cause Tie-Break, New Reuters/Zogby Poll Reveal
As the candidates prepare for the second presidential debate, President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry are locked in a statistical dead heat (46%-45%), according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1216 likely voters was conducted from Tuesday through Thursday (October 5-7,2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.
|
Presidential Candidates % |
Oct 5-Oct 7 |
Oct 4-Oct6 |
|
Republican - George W. Bush |
46 |
46 |
|
Democrat - John Kerry |
45 |
44 |
|
Independent - Ralph Nader |
1.9 |
1.8 |
|
Libertarian - Michael Badnarik |
- |
- |
|
Constitution - Michael Peroutka |
.2 |
.2 |
|
Green - David Cobb |
.1 |
- |
|
Other |
.4 |
.3 |
|
Undecided |
7 |
8 |
Pollster John Zogby: "Yesterday a major national newspaper ran a column suggesting that the debates are not important. Just look at these numbers and it is hard to draw that conclusion. In today’s figures Kerry is reaching 80% support among democrats, though he will still need more support. The president polls 89% of republicans but independents are almost evenly split (with Kerry barely leading, 44%-41%).
Zogby International conducted interviews of 1216 likely voters chosen at random nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from 10/5/04 thru 10/7/04. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
In 1996, John Zogby came within one-tenth of 1 percent of the presidential result. Since 1996, Zogby has polled for Reuters News Agency, the largest news agency in the world. The latest results and analysis of the Zogby polls, and exclusive interviews with John Zogby are available on Reuters.com. The site provides comprehensive coverage of the campaigns, including a special video service, which compares the position of both candidates on key policy issues.
DO NOT TRUST ANY POLL UNLESS YOU SEE THE INTERNALS.
The MSM is manipulating the polls. Especially never trust a Zogby poll.
~snicker
I actually trust the Washington Post (!) more than Zogby. It's easy: I don't trust Zogby at all.
ping
A broken clock has more honesty.
why would the leftists want to show it so close ?
Would it not be an advantage to show they are behind to try and build a fire under the constituents ?
Zogby used to be the most accurate pollster. Then 9/11 happened. Zogby has been 100% against the war on terror and has made that clear on his website. He also was showing the Dems winning in 2002 and we all know how that turned out. He is the least reliable pollster when it comes to President Bush and the War on Terror.
just on cnbc
kudlow asked zogby whose going to win and he said it's still kerry's to lose
BTTT!
Zogby ever being the most accurate pollster is a myth.
He got a good number in 1996 and did no better than any other major pollster in 2000.
And like you said he blew 2002 and the Dem primaries horribly.
Zogby also has put out ridiculous polls implying that Americans are against supporting Israel and are against the Patriot Act. He's totally unreliable. Also note that Half of his polls are taken exclusively of Muslim or Arab Americans.
"The MSM is manipulating the polls. Especially never trust a Zogby poll."
Do you think all of the members of the "MSM" have a daily conference call, to plot and conspire?
Do you think Zogby was wrong, in 2000? (Zogby was closest in 2000)
Do you like Rassmussen? (It was wrong for 2000)
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