Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/7

Rasmussen ^ | 10/7

[ambrose]

The 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states are:

Florida, Bush 52%-45% (This is a 1 point Bush gain, and has placed Florida in the "Leans Bush" column by Rasmussen for his EV count)

Michigan, Kerry 49%-46% (This breaks a week long tie, and is a 3 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 50%-45% (This is a 3 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Kerry 48%-45% (This in unchanged from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Bush 47%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

[Petronski]

FL and OH are a relief, PA an encouragement, MI? Dunno.

[MikefromOhio]

Ohio makes me feel better!!!

[Meldrim]

Hopefully MI will see the same higher turnout to protect marriage that MO did. I harbor a remote hope that OR will see this happen too.

[willk]

All polling days post 9/30 debate?

[conservativepoet]

Appreciate your post. Sounds good.

[plushaye]

We need to keep FL and OH, and it's looking good for this -especially FL this year. PA would be really nice. MI is not going to happen IMHO, and probably not Maine (except 1 EV) or NJ. NM would be a good small pickup to back up a NH loss, which is not so likely any more. Would love to get the WI+IO combo to offset a possible OH loss. Very do-able.

Less than 4 weeks before the election, and Kerry is running around shoring up Gore states without making much inroads into Bush states. There's the current status of the election right there.

[demlosers]

Again, it;s good to see Bush ahead in FL and OH. I expect the President is gonna take some those Gore states like NM, PA, MN, ME, and IA.

[an amused spectator]

We need to issue a warning to the Demis that we're going to be all over voter fraud in real time, like we were all over Dan Rather.

And if we catch them at it, we ain't going to wait for the Pubbies to do something about it, and it ain't gonna be pretty...

[gop_gene]

Again, it;s good to see Bush ahead in FL and OH. I expect the President is gonna take some those Gore states like NM, PA, MN, ME, and IA.

I really hope we take NM this time, it was so close in 2000. It's annoying seeing that one blue state in a sea of red (of course, I'm sure the dems feel the same about NH!)

[WoodstockCat]

Gallup on Wisconsin coming at 8 PM on CNN..hope we don't see a negative reason why W went there today. Hoping for at least +5 bush.

[DHerion]

It all revolves around the 2 remaining debates now. Kerry is a horrible campaigner. Expect him to come out swinging Friday with everything he has. He swung some undecided voters after the last debate. If he can pull it off again he'll pull some more over and try to close the deal at the last debate. I read he's not campaigning at all today and tomorrow. Bush has to bring his 'A' game tomorrow - if he looks bad again Kerry could get himself to that 50% plateau.

[Tennessean4Bush]

Still has one the night of the debate, but it is sufficiently weighted at this point with 6 post debate polling nights. This is good news. The only weird poll I have seen is the AP/Ipsos poll showing Kerry with a 4 point lead. All the others show Bush with a 2-7 point lead.

[Catie]

What exactly do you suggest we do to deal with dead voters for Kerry, double-voting in NY and Fla. (by absentee), etc.? Seriously, I'm open to any good suggestions.

[Guard Dog]

The way I count it Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio will be the deciding states , W needs any two to seal the deal. If he only gets one we may still pull it out but it would take some real reversals elsewhere

[Catie]

It's an absolute outrage that the last debate is being "moderated" by CBS's Bob Schieffer. Heck, I saw him on Larry King just the other night saying that Bush's Iraq arguments are not credible. Very disappointing that the party's negotiations didn't result in at least 1 of the 4 debates being moderated by Britt Hume or the like.

[freethinkingman]

ditto ohio, saw talking heads say tonight that ohio is the FL of 2004!!

[ubaldus]

The problem is that W has no A game for the debate - he is an excellent campaigner, but in debates he can do one thing only - stay on message, stay on message, stay on message... I don't think he can do anything different, compared to the first debate.

So, he is not going to look good tomorrow. I hope he is at least prepared to bring uo Kerry's dismal senate record and "global test" stuff, but the MSM is going to award round 2 to Kerry, in any case.

Be prepared for W to be tied or down in OH, WI, IA, NV after the debates. Fortunately, there will be 20 days left after that.

[AndyTheBear]

What exactly do you suggest we do to deal with dead voters for Kerry

Not much we can do, the dead are the most loyal Democratic voting block that ever existed. Just encourage people to vote Republican while they are still alive.