Posted on 09/28/2004 1:34:36 PM PDT by jern
The ad text:
WHY DOES AMERICA’S TOP POLLSTER KEEP GETTING IT WRONG?
If John Kerry believed in the Gallup poll, he might as well give up. A couple of weeks ago,a highly publicized Gallup poll of “likely voters” showed President Bush with a staggering 14-point lead.
But wait a minute. Seven other polls of likely voters were released that same week. On average, they showed Bush with just a three-point lead. No one else came close to Gallup’s figures. And this isn’t the first time the prestigious Gallup survey has been out on a limb with pro-Bush findings.
What’s going on here? It’s not exactly that Gallup’s cooking the books. Rather, they are refusing to fix a longstanding problem with their likely voter methodology.
Simply put, Gallup’s methodology has predicted lately that Republican turnout on Election Day is likely to exceed Democrats’ by six to eight percentage point. But exit polls show otherwise: in each of the last two Presidential elections, Democratic turnout exceeded Republican by four to five points. That discrepancy alone can account for nearly all of Bush’s phantom 14-point lead.
This is more than just a numbers game. Poll results profoundly affect a campaign’s news coverage as well as the public’s perception of the candidates.
Two media outlets, CNN and USA Today, bear special responsibility for this problem. They pay for many of Gallup’s surveys, in exchange for the right to add their names to the polls and trumpet the results first. They wind up acting as unquestioning promotional partners, rather than as critical journalists. The public would be better served if journalists asked some tough questions, beginning with the Gallup Organization, which has been asked to select the audience for the Bush-Kerry “town meeting” debate on October 8.
George Gallup Jr., son of the poll’s founder, was the longtime head of the company and now directs its non-profit research center. Why hasn’t he pushed for an update of the company’s likely voter modeling, which his own father pioneered in the 1950s?
Gallup, who is a devout evangelical Christian, has been quoted as calling his polling “a kind of ministry.” And a few months ago, he said “the most profound purpose of polls is to see how people are responding to God.”
We thought the purpose is to faithfully and factually report public opinion.
Wonder what kind of bigoted comment they will have when Zogby puts out his next poll?
Please FReepmail me if you want on or off my infrequent ‘miscellaneous’ ping list.
Well, they're setting up their voter fraud alibi too.
You can convince people of, say, the intellectual magnitude of O'Reilly by planting a fake story and later point to it as fact.
They're running psy-ops.
Remember when that guy I never heard of before and still don't know anything about, really, came back from Iraq and declaired "No WMD!" and everyone except dummies like me believed it and brain trusts, such as O'Reilly, apologized...for something, I was never clear on what.
Perfect example of psy-ops.
Luckily, I'm not as bright as most people, so psy-ops doesn't work very well on me.
Leftists really have a difficult time coping. It seems that they can't seem to accept it when things don't go their way.
They lose elections, the voting machines were rigged.
The perform poorly in polls, the polls are rigged.
Their campaign flounders, and it's everyone else's fault.
They get fired, it's because they were discriminated against.
Someone gets selected over them, it's because they were treated unfairly.
They perform poorly on an exam or test, it's because the test was unfair.
For a bunch of folks evidently convinced of their invincibility, they sure don't seem to do very well.
Every day and every way, I thank God I am not a democrat.
They sure know how to use all that money! Keep it up, MoveOn!
Can't they just "move on" go away, shut up, leave us all alone, anything? I hope Bush beats Kerry by 10 points because that will hopefully shut these fools up for a while.
at the same time, USA TODAY, pulled the ad RightMarch.com paid for demanding *accountability* from Dan Rather
and CBS News..
very telling on who runs the MSM in America
they actually turned down MONEY
They are trying to discredit the polls because it will a) keep their people home on election day and b) will be harder to steal with an 8 point lead than a 1 or 2 point lead.
She always looks like that...
http://www.moveon.org/content/pdfs/Final-Gallup-Ad.pdf
PDF file showing the ad
how they will react when Bush wins by 10 points...IT GOES SOMETHING LIKE THIS : SHOCK-DENIAL-ANGER-SUICIDE...WOOHOO!
Just think what their ad will say the day or so after the election. It won't be an apology.
far, far away - BUMP
Well we all know that PEW is a shill for the VRWC.
/sarcasm
Thanks for the ping!
MoveBowel.org
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