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Poll: Bush ahead in 'red' swing states (MO 48-41, NV 50-45, AZ 50-39, NH 49-40, WV 45-44, OH 49-42)
Knight Ridder ^ | 9/18/04

Posted on 09/18/2004 7:28:48 PM PDT by ambrose

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To: JLAGRAYFOX
...we need to act like we are ten points behind. We must get every single vote we can this year...

Don’t worry, JLAGRAYFOX, no letting up here. I’m a “broken-glass” Republican and converting all my friends………

We are fighting the good fight, my friend.

21 posted on 09/18/2004 7:48:27 PM PDT by Lurking in Kansas (--Your message could post here--)
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To: Lurking in Kansas

Everyboy hide the shoelaces and razor blades from the DUmba$$es...on second thought....


22 posted on 09/18/2004 8:03:27 PM PDT by libs_kma (If J effin K doesn't support your position now...just talk to him and he will...in a nuanced way)
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To: ambrose

Yet Kerry is in MA today at a fund raiser.
He seems to spend a lot of time in MA. And a lot of time doing fundraising. With all the 527 money on his side, I suspect he is feathering his nest for when Lovey leaves him after the election.


23 posted on 09/18/2004 8:05:46 PM PDT by ProudVet77 (Bathrobe Bombardier)
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To: jwalsh07
New Hampshire by 49-40

Ping

24 posted on 09/18/2004 8:08:09 PM PDT by deadhead (God Bless Our Troops and Veterans Bush/Cheney '04)
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To: ambrose
A few weeks ago, I predicted a 55-43 victory in the popular vote by President Bush. Obviously, I was being a dour pessimist.

I see nothing but good in the second term. Finally, President Bush will enact a strong conservative agenda of free trade (and yes, America as a post-industrial power can farm out all its manufacturing to Asia).

Since we will control both Congress and the Presidency, we can also roll back creeping socialism (i.e. unemployment insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, outlandish veteran benefits, the absurdly hight minimum wage, farm subsidies, overtime rules, etc.) while staying the course in Iraq.

In terms of the courts, President Bush will appoint constitutionalist judges intent on rolling back abortion "rights", gay "rights", and the right to privacy, (which as Anthony Scalia points out is NOT mentioned in the Constitution).

This is class warfare. And guess what? Our class is winning.

25 posted on 09/18/2004 8:09:47 PM PDT by Teplukin
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To: nsc68
as voters get a look at the pretentious empty suit known as John Kerry.

I think Karl Rove ought to spend some $$ and buy an hour a night for a week during prime time.

Then give Kerry a microphone and step back.

26 posted on 09/18/2004 8:11:12 PM PDT by Howlin (What's the Font Spacing, Kenneth?)
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To: Teplukin

The courts are the most important part of this.


27 posted on 09/18/2004 8:11:39 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: ambrose
Is it too late to buy Prozac stock???

Pray for W and Our Troops

28 posted on 09/18/2004 8:13:22 PM PDT by bray (Nam Vets Rock!!)
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To: ambrose

The New Hampshire poll numbers are great. I'm wondering how Bush is doing in smaller eastern states such as Maine and Delaware. Nothing would be better than to see Kerry still campaigning in the northeast in late October because he hasn't nailed down his base. I think we're beginning to see signs of this. It's apparent that a growing number of people don't trust putting in an unsure person like Kerry in the White House in these turbulent times.


29 posted on 09/18/2004 8:25:25 PM PDT by midftfan
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To: Lurking in Kansas

I don't smell a landslide, sorry.

I never thought that Bush would lose any of his 2000 states, which gives him 278 EVs in 2004, I think.

The question for me has consistently been which Gore states would he pick up?

He never had (and in my book still doesn't have) much of a chance in Hawaii, Cali, Washington, Illinois, Michigan, NY, VT, Maine, Maryland, Delaware, NJ, CT, Mass, RI, and DC.

I never though he would win Minn or Oregon but I think he might be able to pull one of the two out now, though I still consider it unlikely.

I consistently felt he would win all Iowa, Wisconsis, Pennsylvania, and New Mexico.

If he wins everything I expect but Minnesota and Oregon, that's a comfy win for Bush with 321 EVs, to 217 for Kerry.

MN would make that 331, OR would make that 328, both would make that 338.

Of the 14 states & DC that I list for Kerry, I realistically don't see any going for Bush on election day (small shot to NJ which has polled well lately but remember, people from NJ live there so count them out!)
So is 338-200 margin at best, down to a 321-217 margin a landslide? Not in my book, though it is a commanding and solid win.


30 posted on 09/18/2004 8:27:15 PM PDT by HitmanLV (I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.)
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To: midftfan

I read soemwhere very recently that Bush has a decent shot of winning one of Maine's 4 EVs, though its unlikely that he will win the state. Not shabby,


31 posted on 09/18/2004 8:28:54 PM PDT by HitmanLV (I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.)
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To: Senator Goldwater
Anyone got anything on Maryland?

Latest poll that was released this week has MD at nine points... Kerry 52%, Bush 43%. The source is ARG, so it's more like five points with their pro-Dim bias. Still leaning Kerry.

32 posted on 09/18/2004 8:55:52 PM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: HitmanNY

Sadly, it looks like he will not be able to beat the 379 electoral votes Bubba won in 1996, although Bush will very likely beat BJ's 49.23 popular vote percentage from the same year.


33 posted on 09/18/2004 9:05:09 PM PDT by nsc68
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To: All
I don't care what the "polls" say, the "rumors" etc.
MAKE SURE YOUR YOU ARE CURRENTLY REGISTERED
AND ACTUALLY VOTE
DOUBLE CHECK YOUR VOTER CARD TODAY!

34 posted on 09/18/2004 9:05:57 PM PDT by 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub (MAKE SURE YOU ARE CURRENTLY REGISTERED AND VOTE Nov 2nd!)
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To: deadhead

Last I heard, Kerry was doing well in NH. This is really big news. Vey series.


35 posted on 09/18/2004 9:06:39 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: ambrose
"Bush is firm," said Evelyn Martindale, 80 an artist from Akron, Ohio. "Kerry is too wishy-washy."

At least there's someone from my town besides me with some common sense! And an artist nonetheless!

36 posted on 09/18/2004 9:29:44 PM PDT by RockinRight (W stands for whoop-a**!!!)
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To: ambrose
But all national polls include large samples of voters from states such as California, New York and Texas that can swing poll numbers disproportionately

Knight-Ridder says this? Sounds like landslide time.

37 posted on 09/18/2004 9:31:18 PM PDT by RockinRight (W stands for whoop-a**!!!)
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To: ambrose

Looks like the swing states are re-alligning their loyalties.

BTW, I think the Republicans get blue on this year's map!


38 posted on 09/18/2004 9:32:54 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Archie Bunker on steroids
IMO...the New Hampshire and West Virginia numbers should be switched. New Hampshire is becoming more and more Massholeized and WV is more aliigned with SE Ohio, SW PA and eastern KY...these areas are rapidly trending Republican.

Agreed.

39 posted on 09/18/2004 9:33:08 PM PDT by RockinRight (W stands for whoop-a**!!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Well, in Wisconsin and PA, looks like so far they are W's this time around. That's 30-some more electoral votes right there.


40 posted on 09/18/2004 9:34:25 PM PDT by RockinRight (W stands for whoop-a**!!!)
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