White House 2000 Trial Heat Trends

Polling Report ^

[neutrality]

Average of last 100 polls (10/22 - 11/6) (Bush minus Gore) : 4,52% Gore was ahead only 7 times out of 100

98 polls used likely and 2 registered voters

Average of last 30 Gallup polls (10/8 - 11/6) (Bush minus Gore): 4.8% Gore ahead only 2 times out of 30

Biggest gap: 13%

[neutrality]

Considering how close the elections actually turned out to be, this is why we have to keep fighting until the end. Polls are entertaining and good numbers uplifting, but do not seem to be accurate enough. I do not know if this is due to often mentioned "Democratic fraud" or wrong likely voter patterns.

I did these calculations manually so there might be some mistakes.

[MEG33]

I know this...Complacency loses elections...Get out the vote and be sure you are registered to vote.

[MEG33]

Remember the DUI story came out and probably hurt...but still, don't get comfortable.

[DrDeb]

It wasn't the DUI; it was the early call in Florida!

By suppressing voter turnout in the panhandle of Florida AND the West/SouthWest, this early call cost the President both the popular vote and an easy win in the electoral college!!

**The early call in Florida so skewed final vote tallies (EC and popular) that it's REALLY difficult to determine which pollsters in 2000 were accurate and which were not!!!**