Posted on 09/06/2004 12:31:30 PM PDT by MrChips
Just announced on CNN.
Just a reminder, it's the states that matter.
And the Battleground should look favorable when we see those post-Labor Day polls later in the week.
Good. Now with the barrage of Bush bashing coming up, let's not let our guard down.
"That rather silly and unlikely example is not mine.'
Never said it was.
I was just using this as a model for comparison only.
I also say that you were basically right.
It was my OWN rationalization as to where the missing '7%' of voters had gone.
Nobody but the looney left would believe it. It's political season dont you know?
That said, dont count on Bush suing. If he does, he has to give deposition like Clinton and they can ask a lot of questions. If Bush's sister was the source he cant win because she can show she based her story on what she was told by family member.
Hooray, so glad you feel the same way I do.....lol. Everytime I mention that....the rest go balistic....
**2 point bounce, according to Gallup.**
But had Kerry been ahead? Maybe it is more than that.......
bttt
This is likely voters. Bush leads by one among registered voters. I think it was 48-47.... Judy Woodruff just showed the graphic on Inside Politics.
A few more of the younger Hollywood type Dems will move to the Bush column. It might cut into the Kerry lead in California by a point or two. Other than that I don't see much of an impact. Certainly not the one envisioned by the author.
Someone recently posted historical data from Gallup going all the way back to 1948, which bears out this point very well. It seems that most Americans make up their minds by Labor Day, especially in races involving an incumbent President. Even in 1980, the one election that was essentially tied on Labor day, the tie was 39% all. Even then, Carter polled 41 percent on election day, but the electorate did not finally settle on Reagan until later. In every other election year, the final tally was very close to the Labor Day poll.
Other historical trends also favor President Bush. For example, no candidate who led in their poll after the second convention, as Bush does now, has ever lost. Likewise, no candidate who led his opponent after his opponent's convention, as Bush did this year in the Gallup poll, has ever lost. These trends go back all the way to FDR, when Gallup began polling.
BUMP!
That's a 4 pointb by gallup
Before convention Bush was up 50-47
"I think the scrambling by the Kerry team is one evidence that the polls showed a significant bounce of some kind."
Yup. The Dems must have some internal numbers that are even worse than what we're seeing.
Never said you said it was.
You said he said what he said so don't say you did not say it.
Ya get what I am saying! Or are you saying that I know not what I say?
And they are replacing them with rats that ran the dukakis campaign? didn't he get creamed? They are really making wise executive decisions aren't they? keep it up rats, keep it up. hahahaha
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