PA silently supports Kerry in US election
Palestinian officials are quietly pinning their hopes on Democratic candidate John Kerry winning the US presidential election.
Former US Middle East envoy Denis Ross is likely to be reappointed should Kerry win the American elections, a Palestinian Authority source said.
Ross has contacted with Palestinian Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei and other Palestinian officials during recent visits to the region. He unofficially briefed the Palestinians on the potential new administration's Middle East plans, the source said.
Palestinians expect Kerry's Middle East policy to be closer to that of former US president Bill Clinton.
During the presidential election, senior Palestinian officials openly endorsed George W. Bush against Al Gore. The same PA officials who were outraged when Clinton placed the blame for the failure of the Camp David peace talks on PA Chairman Yasser Arafat now admit they have been disappointed and say any other administration "can only serve their interests better."
"We don't want to repeat the same mistake so let's wait and see who will win the elections and how they will deal with the Middle East," a PA Foreign Ministry official said. "I do not believe Kerry wants to publicize any plans for the Middle East or any contacts with the Palestinians so as not to hurt his election campaign," the official added.
He did not think Kerry's outlook will be very different from Bush's policies. Kerry might appoint former national security adviser Sandy Berger as secretary of state, in which case Ross is likely to be appointed Middle East envoy, another PA source confirmed.
"We believe the [pro-Palestinian Authority] State Department will play the major role again, instead of the national security adviser and secretary of defense," another source reported.
Qurei is trying to convince the American administration and Democrats of his proposal to deploy armed policemen in Palestinian cities in the West Bank to enforce law and order and enable an IDF withdrawal.
Israel has not yet responded to a PA demand for a senior security meeting to coordinate the deployment of PA policemen and agree on the type of weapons they would be allowed to carry and their numbers.
disregard this poll. My brother in law is the barometer. He voted for Gore in 2000 despite my pleadings. This time he is Bush. He is the Jewish swing vote. Where he goes so goes Florida and the election. On top of that my mother is now hardcore Bush. Although I made her vote for Bush 2000. She is now eager to vote Bush, loves Fox news and is spreading the word to her Jewish friends. I know my brother in law can't be by himself.
| Year | Candidate | % of Jewish Vote |
| 1916 | ||
| Hughes (R) | 45 | |
| Wilson (D) | 55 | |
| 1920 | ||
| Harding (R) | 43 | |
| Cox (D) | 19 | |
| Debs (Soc) | 38 | |
| 1924 | ||
| Coolidge (R) | 27 | |
| Davis (D) | 51 | |
| La Folette (Progressive) | 22 | |
| 1928 | ||
| Hoover (R) | 28 | |
| Smith (D) | 72 | |
| 1932 | ||
| Hoover (R) | 18 | |
| Roosevelt (D) | 82 | |
| 1936 | ||
| Landon (R) | 15 | |
| Roosevelt (D) | 85 | |
| 1940 | ||
| Wilkie (R) | 10 | |
| Roosevelt (D) | 90 | |
| 1944 | ||
| Dewey (R) | 10 | |
| Roosevelt (D) | 90 | |
| 1948 | ||
| Dewey (R) | 10 | |
| Truman (D) | 75 | |
| Wallace (Progressive) | 15 | |
| 1952 | ||
| Eisenhower (R) | 36 | |
| Stevenson (D) | 64 | |
| 1956 | ||
| Eisenhower (R) | 40 | |
| Stevenson (D) | 60 | |
| 1960 | ||
| Nixon (R) | 18 | |
| Kennedy (D) | 82 | |
| 1964 | ||
| Goldwater (R) | 10 | |
| Johnson (D) | 90 | |
| 1968 | ||
| Nixon (R) | 17 | |
| Humphrey (D) | 81 | |
| Wallace (I) | 2 | |
| 1972 | ||
| Nixon (R) | 35 | |
| McGovern (D) | 65 | |
| 1976 | ||
| Ford (R) | 27 | |
| Carter (D) | 71 | |
| McCarthy (I) | 2 | |
| 1980 | ||
| Reagan (R) | 39 | |
| Carter (D) | 45 | |
| Anderson (I) | 14 | |
| 1984 | ||
| Reagan (R) | 31 | |
| Mondale (D) | 67 | |
| 1988 | ||
| Bush (R) | 35 | |
| Dukakis (D) | 64 | |
| 1992 | ||
| Bush (R) | 11 | |
| Clinton (D) | 80 | |
| Perot (I) | 9 | |
| 1996 | ||
| Dole (R) | 16 | |
| Clinton (D) | 78 | |
| Perot (I) | 3 | |
| 2000 | ||
| Bush (R) | 19 | |
| Gore (D) | 79 | |
| Nader (G) | 1 |
George W. Bush will be reelected by a margin of at least ten per cent
What percentage of the Jew vote did Gore get?
More? Less? The same?
The subtext is that Bush has gained support among Jewish voters. Gore won 79%. Kerry can expect 75%. That means a shift toward Bush. In a tight, 50-50 election, that means a Bush win.
Suggested headline:
- "American Jewish community solidly behind Yassar Arafat."
The vast, vast, vast majority of Jews in the United States are "non-praticing" Jews, and are very anti religion. They support "land for peace", they want a Palestinian State, most of them believe in abortion on demand even partial birth abortions, they are homosexual advocates, they embrace political correctness, and most think that the "walls" should come down in step with Palestinian demands even though these walls have decreased terrorist invasion and bombings in Israel. They believe that Israelis should leave the West Bank and Gaza because it was "illegally taken from the Palestinians" even though it was the Arabs who attacked Israel, and they took over the land so that there would be a buffer zone between them and their enemies. In other words, they don't want to be reminded that they are the "Chosen People" of God, and are required to obey the laws, statutes, commandments, covenants, and Feasts that El Shaddai gave to them and commanded them to obey. He even told them what would happen when they obeyed his laws and what would happen if they didn't. They don't want to held accountable for their actions and words, and so they do this by pretending there is no God, and the Torah & Tenach are just stories, fables, exaggerations of history. So it is not hard to believe that they would vote overwhelmingly for a person who is like them. He is their "Jewish Presidential Candidate". Even Liebermann would be rejected by them because he is an observant Jew, although he waffled on his beliefs during his campaign for the democrat candidacy for POTUS. I think, however, if more and more hypocracies are revealed about his statements, then many Jews may abandon him because he will be unreliable to keep his promises to Israel, and his promises to them for supporting him.
OK, so the title should be "bush making inroads with jewish voters"
jewish democratic loyalties are all about what america looked like more than half a century ago. that world disappeared in the 1960's but not the jewish memory of it.
alas much of jewish opinion from the old days was shaped by communist lies.
Wretched over at belmont has a good write up of Podhoretz's piece in one of the NYC rags in which Podhoretz wrestles with old and new demons. Wretched's quote of line from TS Eliot get's it right.
I fear this discussion may be leading some individuals expressing their 'anti-semitic' views towards jews.
Before we get too carried away, ask: Who did the poll? Once you know the answer and understand the answer, then please make your comments.
Also please don't throw all Jews into one basket. It's not as simple as religeous affiliation, and it's also not as simple as love for Israel V.S. love for oneself.
I will say this, as I have already state: Bush can rely on most of Orthodox Jews/Ultra Orthodox Jews.
They will support a leader who has a moral foundation. Someone who believes there is a greater being. A leader who strives to guide his country on a path of truth, justic and morality, no matter if it offends the those with 'more interesting lifestyles". A person who himself live to the moral standards of the bible.
Fools.
ping
They polled their own members. Duh. And even 25% of those are going over to the Bush side.
FRmail me to be added or removed from this Judaic/pro-Israel ping list.
WARNING: This is a high volume ping list
A footnote in history: What Head of State was the most frequent visitor to the Clinton White House? Answer: Yassir Arafat
Republican strongholds include white evangelicals, Mormons, and to a lesser extent, white mainline Protestants and German-Americans (both Catholic and Protestant). The battle ground for 2004 is the white, non-German, Catholic voter. These voters are about evenly split between the Republicans and the Democrats.
Kevin Phillips' strategy in The Emerging Republican Majority, written in 1969, was for the GOP to capture white, mostly evangelical, Southerners and Irish, Italian, and Slavic, mostly Catholic, Northeasterners and Midwesterners into the Republican fold, ensuring a permanent majority for what was then his party. Except for Reagan, the GOP has succeeded only with its Southern strategy.
Bush and Cheney need to spend lots of time in places like western Pennsylvania and northern Ohio to cultivate this voting group. It would be useful to have high profile white Catholic Republicans, such as Rudy Giuliani and Rick Santorum, campaign vigorously for Bush's re-election.
I have my doubts about this one.