Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
I'd think they are built to sustain that kind of wind but some damage is likely. I'm sure some areas near landfall were completely wiped out.
Looks like he's cruising through Deltona.
bump
LONG DISTANCE MELBOURNE REPORT
Folks, want to know the definition of strange? Call someone on the phone who is sitting in the midst of the edges of a hurricane like I just did.
I was just on the phone talking with my good friend Bob Toth and he stuck his phone up to the door and I heard the most chilling high winds.
Imagine if you will, what is sounds like to drive down the interstate at a high rate of speed, rolling down the window and sticking your head out. The howling winds you might hear are what I heard not ten minutes ago.
He was standing at the door and said, "crap, there goes my cactus. There goes two garbage cans and some shingles from down the street." The cactus was not in a pot, rather it was a tall one growing in the ground. I know it exists, I've seen it. The big tree in his front yard was bent over like a question mark. He said the city of Melbourne was experiencing 110MPH winds.
As of 21:00 EST he still had power.
I guess since I live on a hilltop in West Virginia, safe from hurricanes, never heard of a tornado here and safe from flooding, I have forgotten what it's like to be at the mercy of nature's fury.
I will be offering prayers for my buddy Bob, his wife Maria, and their dogs tonight.
Where are you? It is reassuring to hear good news. I have a nephew that lives on a sailboat at Punta Gorda. Good news is welcome from anyone down that. Glad you are safe!
And we have Tropical Depression 5....moving in....my children are getting their orders to get their butts back to Georgia... no more sun and fun for them!!!
Good. We got about 1/4 inch of rain here, and a few sticks fell out of the trees.
We dodged this one bigtime! We're thankful too, and waiting to see what we can do for the people in Charlotte Co.
just now??? that is more than Orlando experienced with the eye passing through. Sounds a bit high since we're getting nothing of that sort just 5 miles south. local weather statement says we can expect 60 mph gusts with the last band of t-storms we're getting now.
Here on Marco Island we had a great time. Rain......great waves....and all that wind! That wind.....man oh, man. I haven't felt that much wind since Kerry spoke at the DNC.
No, I missed that one. Sounds like they played chicken with God and got what they deserved.
Thank you so much. I am feeling a tad bet better. Not knowing where all the reports were coming from was a bit (alot) unnerving was giving me the willies. She stopped instant messaging me. I feel better knowing that she is just being obstinant and not in harms way. I will deal with her when Charley is long gone. Thanks!
"Lots of expensive real estate in the path of the storm."
I'm coming in late to this thread but yes, talk about expensive real estate...
My grandfather bought a patch of sand on Sarasota Bay in 1962, the year I was born. He had a house built there, and I have many happy childhood memories of that place. We went there every year.
Sadly, thanks to mis-understandings related to my grandfather's will, and my father's second wife, that house is gone to my sister and me.
But I will never forget that place. How I loved it. I don't even care how much it was worth on paper.
I guess I'm rambling, but I hope that the people who now occupy that place love it as much as my family did.
Every time there was a hurricane on the Gulf coast, we chatted with my family; my grandparents always put the blinds down and went inland to a hotel in Sarasota.
My prayers go out to those of you in the storm.
Yes, I sure do. *Shudder* It came through Greensboro with 60 mile an hour winds!
I guess Western Palm Beach County is in some danger, as I just had a minute long "Hurricane Warning in Palm Beach County" spot on my television.
These guys have really dropped the ball. Either that, or this was a particularly tricky hurricane.
Boy do we need John Hope. This current crop isn't getting the job done.
Thanks. They are on base in housing. My son finally called and he's home with my DIL and the baby and they are in for the night.
(Looks like the jetstream is pulling moisture from the Arizona/New Mexico area into this storm?)
This is a very puzzling picture because it what appears to be water vapor from the desert areas of in Arizona and New Mexico towards the East coast.
I hope I am very wrong that this storm could be pulling moisture from that far away.
AND I AM NOT AN EXPERT ON THIS. BUT PLEASE STAY ALERT WITH THIS STORM.
Thanks..thanks a lot.....
Got to agree!
Looks to me like that's where it's going to be as it goes past GA.
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