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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: xzins

The Atlantic, yes. It could start strengthening tomorrow morning pretty good...


2,041 posted on 08/13/2004 5:53:37 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: xzins

Yes. They do that sometimes, if memory serves.


2,042 posted on 08/13/2004 5:53:38 PM PDT by don-o (Stop Freeploading. Do the right thing and sign up for a monthly donation.)
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To: xzins

"CAN" it go out to sea an reform?

Yes.

"WILL" it go out to sea and reform?

We don't know.

We do know we can't start it, stop it, restart it, nor change it.

That's why God is often being brought up.


2,043 posted on 08/13/2004 5:53:40 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: CJ Wolf
Here's some recent pics of Orlando:

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/weather/orl-loc-charley-canegallery,0,3362399.photogallery?coll=orl-home-headlines&index=1

2,044 posted on 08/13/2004 5:54:48 PM PDT by bikepacker67 (Sandy wasn't stuffing his socks, he was stuffing A sock.)
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To: oceanview

I'm in Lake Mary - starting to feel it a little. Downtown looks like it's getting the real stuff now.


2,045 posted on 08/13/2004 5:55:01 PM PDT by al_again
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To: CJ Wolf

yes, overall its large, but the hurricane force zone around the eye is quite small actually.


2,046 posted on 08/13/2004 5:55:07 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Aren't the odds of Charley heading back to the NWW or W remote to nill?


2,047 posted on 08/13/2004 5:55:41 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: Howlin

Thank you, she is in her 80's and has MS. My cousin is in the area, I would trust they have evacuated. My mom was going to call this afternoon.
I am concerned as a lot of news reports say the storm "snuck up" on a lot of people, and the evacustions started belatedly. Also got concerned when I read the last paragraph of the account of one mans storm experience on the Fox News webpage lead story. Sounded very nasty.


2,048 posted on 08/13/2004 5:55:58 PM PDT by L`enn
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To: Howlin

Thank you, she is in her 80's and has MS. My cousin is in the area, I would trust they have evacuated. My mom was going to call this afternoon.
I am concerned as a lot of news reports say the storm "snuck up" on a lot of people, and the evacustions started belatedly. Also got concerned when I read the last paragraph of the account of one mans storm experience on the Fox News webpage lead story. Sounded very nasty.


2,049 posted on 08/13/2004 5:56:08 PM PDT by L`enn
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To: jayef

I put the eye about at the Falcon's Fire Golf Course, maybe at Hawk Landing Golf Course.

Could be over Lake Bryan now near Hwy 536.


2,050 posted on 08/13/2004 5:56:14 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: al_again

TWC:

"160 homes destroyed in Lee County"


2,051 posted on 08/13/2004 5:56:14 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: bikepacker67

Ominous...


2,052 posted on 08/13/2004 5:56:48 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: ilgipper; Dont_Tread_On_Me_888

Yep. Just went outside. Gusts are easily overe 40mph now. No defined direction the rain is coming from.

Still have power.

In Winter Springs.


2,053 posted on 08/13/2004 5:56:48 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Designate - Infiltrate - Annihilate // Read my lips: More new taxes - John Kerry)
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To: Howlin

Remember Hugo?


2,054 posted on 08/13/2004 5:57:12 PM PDT by dixie sass (Texas - South Carolina on Steroids)
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To: ApesForEvolution

Best I can say is that "No prediction (by anybody) has it moving that way."


2,055 posted on 08/13/2004 5:57:15 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: CFW

Amen. I'm praying with you.


2,056 posted on 08/13/2004 5:57:21 PM PDT by CJ Wolf
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To: oceanview

Not good - my prayers are with them.


2,057 posted on 08/13/2004 5:57:51 PM PDT by al_again
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Hi Robert !!! Long time no see since war thereads..

Late arrival here. but believe me this has been on my mind/prayers all day. Is there a tracking site you are all using. I tried a few & have no good results


2,058 posted on 08/13/2004 5:58:23 PM PDT by DollyCali (First one to notice new tag line gets $10,000 when I win the lottery ~~winner GabZ .)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

That would be way too freaky...if it not only turned back over land away from the trough but maintained strength without drawing from the Atlantic or Gulf substantially.


2,059 posted on 08/13/2004 5:58:38 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: dixie sass

Hi dixie, hope Charley doesn't pay us a visit!

Dee


2,060 posted on 08/13/2004 5:59:05 PM PDT by SCDee
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