Posted on 08/06/2004 11:08:58 AM PDT by KQQL
John Kerry has taken the lead over George W. Bush among likely voters in Florida according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 50% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 43% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 2% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 5% of likely voters are undecided.
In a ballot question without Nader, 52% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry and 44% say they would vote for Bush, with 4% of likely voters undecided.
These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Florida.
Of the 600 likely voters, 39% are Republicans, 45% are Democrats, and 16% are not affiliated with any party or affiliated with a minor party.
The interviews were conducted August 3 through 5, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...
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Not good. That is a big difference. But then again, the Dems may be oversampled it looks like.
I guess that is why the GOP controls the state, because they are the minority party....
ARG has been notoriously pro-Kerry by +5 in most of their polls compared to other polling firms.
Yea but the 2 senators are rats
I guess that is why the GOP controls the state, because they are the minority party....
Maybe it’s the butterfly ballots.
If not for those confusing things, Pat Buchanan would be governor.
This poll looks like it was taken at a Kerry rally there.
Hopefully both of those will change in the next 2.5 years.
Even though Kerry only had a small bounce, it was enough to get him into the lead. While he is probably not leading in FL by this margin, it would not surprise me if Kerry were ahead by 2-4 points here.
Is it just me or do the polls seem to be favoring Kerry more and more?
that's probably a florida bounce, folks.
I think we are polled out. Most of this stuff is making about as much sense as the economy.
And the sad part is, it was a Dem who designed it, but it was Katherine Harris's doing somehow.
They use their cooked up numbers as a reason to oversample 'Rats and get the outcome they desire.
"Is it just me or do the polls seem to be favoring Kerry more and more?"
Note the %'s of people polled by party affil...
Yeah, WTHeck do they expect when you poll MORE DEMORATS than Repubbies in a POLL????
Why not do it "the other way, reverse the sample allocations" and see what numberz they come up wif huh???
G
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