SurveyUSA Michigan Poll 8/5/04: Bush 41% Kerry 52%

SurveyUSA ^ | 8/5/04 | SurveyUSA

[Ed_in_LA]

President, MI 8/5/2004

Kerry (D) 52% Bush (R) 41% Other/Undecided 8% Data Collected 8/2/04 - 8/4/04 Geography State of Michigan Sample Population 608 Likely Voters Margin of Error 4.0% Client WZZM-TV Grand Rapids WDIV-TV Detroit

[Ed_in_LA]

Internals can be found here:

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/MI040805president.pdf

Looks like a 31% Rep. 39% Dem 28% Ind. likely voter sample

[Soundman4x4]

Holy s.....

What the.......??

[leadpencil1]

Relax......

[The_Victor]

Looks like a 31% Rep. 39% Dem 28% Ind. likely voter sample

Is that an accurate breakdown for Michigan? Seems high on the democRats IMHO.

[NeoCaveman]

I heard the state marraige ammendment is on the ballot in MI in November. That could be very good for our turnout.

[Recovering Hermit]

I'm ashamed that my state is so chock full of complete and utter morons.

[Puppage]

Michigan

=

Detroit

=

muslims

IMHO

[Recovering Hermit]

Myself NOT included!

[Arkinsaw]

I think its because they love that Buckeye football in Michigan.

[Owen]

That may in fact be the correct sample mix. Did they choose that from 2000 turnout? Or state registration records?

[Jewels1091]

I have had such a BAD feeling lately about this election...I think we are proving that we DON'T have what it takes anymore to face the enemy down, we are just an instant society, we want everything yesterday.

[zarf]

I notice alot of confident Freepers yet I keep seeing Bush getting swamped in the state by state polls.

This election will be about leg work. Kerry's got lots of boots on the ground.

[sergeantdave]

Kerry (D) 52% + Bush (R) 41% = Major BS

And here's the reason why - GB is spending time and money in MI because the internal polls are showing that either Kerry the Poodle is behind or GB is within the margin of error.

Remember, published polls are done by big city democrats for big city democrat newspapers.

[Dolphy]

And here's the reason why - GB is spending time and money in MI because the internal polls are showing that either Kerry the Poodle is behind or GB is within the margin of error.

I agree with you, every poll I have seen here has had the race much closer, at least pre-convention. From what I hear, most say it will come down to turnout.

[P-Marlowe]

Is this a poll of the Michigan Buckeyes?

[grellis]

I was phone-polled yesterday, coincidentally. I did not catch the name of the pollster but it was NOT Epic/MRA, which polls me monthly.

The man polling said he had three questions for me.

Some HMOs which include prescription drug coverage will cover Viagra for men but not birth control for women. Do you think that HMOs should cover both?

(me)I don't think either should be covered because they are essentially lifestyle drugs (I'm a girl, okay? Don't flame me!)

Abortion is a safe and legal choice available to women in our country. Do you believe that there should be any restrictions on a woman's right to have an abortion?

(me)I think abortion should be criminalized.

I thank you for your time, Miss Ellis, you have a pleasant evening.

What do you suppose the third question was? Do you see how easily a poll can be skewed?

[Cableguy]

sounds like push-polling where they are trying to push you to a position

[lockeliberty]

That's pretty funny... especially coming from Ar-Kansas.

Has Blue had the opportunity to kick the Hawgs a$$?

[Dan from Michigan]

Looks like a 31% Rep. 39% Dem 28% Ind. likely voter sample
That's why it's off. There is no 8% dem lean here, and there's no way in hell Kerry will win by 11%(Klinton won by about that in 96, 7% in 92 - with Perot factored in). I'd say 3-4% Dem lean here is about accurate. Gore won by 5%, and that's with a MASSIVE black turnout.

Kerry will not win by 11% here. No one does at the top of the ticket unless the other guy is a joke or is abandoned(or both).

2002
Granholm(D) by 4% over Posthumus
Cox (R) by 5500 votes over Peters
Land(R) by 10% over a somewhat abandoned dem, Hollowell.
Lenin by 21% over an abandoned GOP, Rocky

2000
Gore by 5%
Stabmenow by 1%

1998
Engler (R) by about 30% over Fieger
Miller (R) routed an abandoned Dem by over 30%
Granholm(D) by 4% over Smetainka.

[FITZ]

So many people don't answer their phone anymore --- or only answer their cell phones, or especially they don't answer their phones when they are gone at work or if they think it might be a telemarketer calling. How could you get a decent poll even if you wanted to? How do you possibly find a good cross section of voters? I can't think of any way that isn't going to get skewed results one way or another.