New Poll of Ohio: Bush 49%, Kerry 44%, Nader 2%

Strategic Vision ^ | 8/5/04

[ambrose]

Back to polls

Below are the results of a four-day poll of likely voters in the critical battleground state of Ohio for the presidential race. Results are based on telephone interviews with 801 likely voters in Ohio, aged 18+, and conducted July 31-August 3, 2004. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney or Kerry—Edwards?

Bush—Cheney	49%
Kerry—Edwards	45%
Undecided	6%

2. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney, Kerry—Edwards, or Nader—Camejo?

Bush—Cheney	49%
Kerry—Edwards	44%
Nader—Camejo	2%
Undecided	5%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling his job?

Approve	49%
Disapprove	39%
Undecided	12%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling the economy?

Approve	44%
Disapprove	38%
Undecided	18%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling the war in Iraq?

Approve	51%
Disapprove	42%
Undecided	7%

6. Do you think the country is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?

Right	47%
Wrong	44%
Undecided	9%

7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kerry?

Favorable	41%
Unfavorable	34%
Undecided	25%

8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Edwards?

Favorable	45%
Unfavorable	19%
Undecided	36%

9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vice President Dick Cheney?

Favorable	47%
Unfavorable	42%
Undecided	11%

10.Who do you think is better qualified to be President, Dick Cheney or John Edwards?

Cheney	46%
Edwards	38%
Undecided	16%

[ambrose]

So far, the only Bush 2000 states that appear to be in real danger of flipping are NH and WV.

On the other hand, Bush may pick up Iowa, NM, WI, MN...

[SoggyBottomBoy]

I think Kerry and the DNC should throw another convention.

[Republic Rocker]

Bwahahahahaaaaaaa! Another Repubbie look alike convention!

[CROSSHIGHWAYMAN]

I can't wait to see the new polls after this Swiftboat ad hits the fan!!

[Richard Kimball]

This is the first poll that I've seen that makes sense in terms of approval ratings, percentage of vote, and showing that Nader votes take from Kerry as opposed to Bush. It seems unbelievable to me that Bush loses support to Nader in a 3way.

[End_Clintonism_Now]

[Owen]

Given the explosion of focus on the swiftboat vets controversy today, who spent the proper time out registering GOP voters today? It is that effort that will win. Not the claim and counterclaim that is about to define the entire swiftboat vet thing.

[Citizen of the Savage Nation]

Unless this poll was something like 46% D 34% R 20% everyone else, it can't be right. Can it?

[Citizen of the Savage Nation]

If NH and WV flip and nothing else changes, it goes to the House...

[ambrose]

Bush would likely win in the House. Republicans currently control 31 state delegations, and only 26 votes is needed.

[cripplecreek]

I think Mi. may end up being in play for Bush as well.

[RagingBull]

If this poll is accurate, Cheney (47%) has better favorables than Kerry (41%) or Edwards (45%). That's interesting since Cheney was supposed to be a liability dragging GWB down.

[HitmanLV]

I don't expect Dubya winning more than 325-350 EVs, which is great because it is a strong (if not terribly lopsided) win.

I really hope that he wins 50.01% or more of the popular vote, though. We don't need to give the other side any more ammo, and this would be a great issue to take away from them once and for all (not that it would stop them of course).

[zencat]

Cheney was supposed to be a liability dragging GWB down

I think that's mostly fantasy among the Halliburton conspiracy types and wishful thinkers in the liberal media. Most reasonable Americans recognize his outstanding career as a public servant.

[RoseofTexas]

NM...ahhhhh, don't think so, seems unlikely! Conservatism in NM want out the window quite sometime ago. I really believe Richardson will win NM for LURCH...UGHHHHHHH! NM is a haven for the loony left and wacko greenies! :(

[Chuzzlewit]

HOWWWWW sweet it is !!!!

(Jackie Gleason)

[Torie]

I think you may have forgotton about Florida. :)

[ambrose]

I'm not worried about Flor-i-duh.

Florida's economy is actually doing a lot better than the national averages.

Plus, this time there won't be a Lieberman running to get the Palm Beach crowd excited. On the other hand, Buchanan won't be running either. LOL.

[agincourt1415]

swiftvets.com