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Gallup: Democratic Convention Generally Well Received (But no bounce for Kerry)
Gallup News Service ^ | August 3, 2004 | Lydia Saad

Posted on 08/02/2004 10:16:15 PM PDT by RWR8189

PRINCETON, NJ -- Other than failing to produce a bounce in voter support for Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, the Democratic convention looks, on paper, to have been generally well received. According to a post-convention CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, TV viewership was fairly high, Kerry's speech was at least as well received as other recent convention speeches, and the net effect of the convention on Americans' stated willingness to vote for Kerry was positive. Kerry's choice of North Carolina Sen. John Edwards as his running mate has also proved popular: 58% of Americans say the selection of Edwards makes them more likely to vote for Kerry.

Other than the bounce, in all of these respects, the 2004 Democratic convention generally matches or exceeds the impact of former Vice President Al Gore's convention in 2000, George W. Bush's in 2000, and former Kansas Sen. Bob Dole's in 1996. The gold standard, however, remains the 1992 Democratic convention in New York City at which former President Bill Clinton was nominated for his first term.

Despite positive convention reviews from the general public, Kerry exited Boston no further ahead in the race against Bush than when he arrived. CNN/USA Today/Gallup's latest poll shows the election a dead heat at 48% among registered voters. Among likely voters, Bush enjoys a 51% to 47% lead. These amount to negative bounces for Kerry who had led Bush by four points among registered voters and by two points among likely voters in the July 19-21 survey conducted before the convention.

 

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush43; bushbounce; bushcheney; cheney; edwards; gallup; kerry; kerrybounce; kerryedwards; leadballoon; poll; polls

1 posted on 08/02/2004 10:16:19 PM PDT by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

Impact of Conventions on Voter Willingness to Support Nominee for President

More likely

Less likely

Net More Likely

Candidate "Bounce"*

%

%

2004 Dem Convention (Kerry)

44

30

+14

-1

2000 Dem Convention (Gore)

43

28

+15

+9

2000 GOP Convention
(G.W. Bush)

44

27

+17

+8

1996 GOP Convention (Dole)

45

34

+11

+3

1992 Dem Convention (Clinton)

60

15

+45

+16

1988 GOP Convention (Bush)

43

27

+16

+6

1988 Dem Convention (Dukakis)

56

21

+35

+8

1984 Dem Convention (Mondale)

45

29

+16

+9

Average for all candidates
(1964-2000)

--

--

--

+6.3

* Candidate Bounce statistics are based on trial heats of registered voters immediately pre-convention and post-convention for each election.

 

Impact of VP Selection on Voter Support for Ticket

More likely

Less likely

Net More Likely

%

%

%

2004 Dem (Edwards)

58

23

+35

2000 Dem (Lieberman)

54

22

+32

2000 GOP (Cheney)

49

30

+19

1996 GOP (Kemp)

60

23

+37

1992 Dem (Gore)

73

10

+63

1988 GOP (Quayle)

36

33

+3

1988 Dem (Bentsen)

48

28

+20

1984 Dem (Ferraro)

26

18

+8

Average from 1984-2000

49

23

+26


2 posted on 08/02/2004 10:17:08 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: Salvation; redlipstick; texasflower; seamole; Doctor Stochastic; MegaSilver; BlueAngel; ...

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.


3 posted on 08/02/2004 10:17:48 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: KQQL; ambrose

ping


4 posted on 08/02/2004 10:18:08 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189

Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?


5 posted on 08/02/2004 10:19:10 PM PDT by ultima ratio
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To: RWR8189
.... TV viewership was fairly high...

Viewership on the Big 3 networks was the lowest ever. I don't think cable watchers boosted overall ratings much. Fox and CNN had good numbers. Political junkies always tune in for a look see.

PresBush came out ahead with likely voters, 51% to 47%. A good indicator.

6 posted on 08/02/2004 10:24:30 PM PDT by Reagan Man (.....................................................The Choice is Clear....... Re-elect BUSH-CHENEY)
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To: RWR8189

First poll I've seen in a long time with the President over 50%. I love how the liberals are going on and on about how "well received" the convention was. Sure, it was well-received - by the liberal media. The proof is in the pudding, dears. The country was unimpressed. Deal.


7 posted on 08/02/2004 10:27:58 PM PDT by KellyAdmirer
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Comment #8 Removed by Moderator

To: ultima ratio
Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?

hahahahaha!! exactly!

9 posted on 08/02/2004 10:32:11 PM PDT by latina4dubya
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To: RWR8189

Suuuuuuuuuure it was well received... if you can call a flatlined campaign "well received." No bias there. <sarcasm


10 posted on 08/02/2004 10:35:27 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: ultima ratio
Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?

Ding ding ding!!!! We have a winnuh!

11 posted on 08/02/2004 11:01:25 PM PDT by ambrose (Kerry is endorsed by the Communist Party USA)
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To: RWR8189

12 posted on 08/02/2004 11:03:42 PM PDT by MrFred
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To: goldstategop
The way I take it is that people thought it was a nice and well put together convention, something even I don't take issue with, hell, a lot of people might even say Kerry gave a good speech, but that doesn't mean they agreed with him or that they liked what they heard in the speech. 

I think the fact that this poll says that people basically thought it was a good convention, and yet the same people still break toward Bush shows the underlying strength of the President.

13 posted on 08/02/2004 11:04:40 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: KellyAdmirer

LMAO, that was funny, thanks for the post. Yea, somebody needs to tell 'em to just deal with it and move on.


14 posted on 08/02/2004 11:08:54 PM PDT by ableChair
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