Posted on 08/02/2004 10:16:15 PM PDT by RWR8189
PRINCETON, NJ -- Other than failing to produce a bounce in voter support for Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, the Democratic convention looks, on paper, to have been generally well received. According to a post-convention CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, TV viewership was fairly high, Kerry's speech was at least as well received as other recent convention speeches, and the net effect of the convention on Americans' stated willingness to vote for Kerry was positive. Kerry's choice of North Carolina Sen. John Edwards as his running mate has also proved popular: 58% of Americans say the selection of Edwards makes them more likely to vote for Kerry.
Other than the bounce, in all of these respects, the 2004 Democratic convention generally matches or exceeds the impact of former Vice President Al Gore's convention in 2000, George W. Bush's in 2000, and former Kansas Sen. Bob Dole's in 1996. The gold standard, however, remains the 1992 Democratic convention in New York City at which former President Bill Clinton was nominated for his first term.
Despite positive convention reviews from the general public, Kerry exited Boston no further ahead in the race against Bush than when he arrived. CNN/USA Today/Gallup's latest poll shows the election a dead heat at 48% among registered voters. Among likely voters, Bush enjoys a 51% to 47% lead. These amount to negative bounces for Kerry who had led Bush by four points among registered voters and by two points among likely voters in the July 19-21 survey conducted before the convention.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
|
Impact of Conventions on Voter Willingness to Support Nominee for President |
||||
|
More likely |
Less likely |
Net More Likely |
Candidate "Bounce"* |
|
|
% |
% |
|||
|
2004 Dem Convention (Kerry) |
44 |
30 |
+14 |
-1 |
|
2000 Dem Convention (Gore) |
43 |
28 |
+15 |
+9 |
|
2000 GOP Convention |
44 |
27 |
+17 |
+8 |
|
1996 GOP Convention (Dole) |
45 |
34 |
+11 |
+3 |
|
1992 Dem Convention (Clinton) |
60 |
15 |
+45 |
+16 |
|
1988 GOP Convention (Bush) |
43 |
27 |
+16 |
+6 |
|
1988 Dem Convention (Dukakis) |
56 |
21 |
+35 |
+8 |
|
1984 Dem Convention (Mondale) |
45 |
29 |
+16 |
+9 |
|
Average for all candidates |
-- |
-- |
-- |
+6.3 |
|
* Candidate Bounce statistics are based on trial heats of registered voters immediately pre-convention and post-convention for each election. |
||||
|
Impact of VP Selection on Voter Support for Ticket |
|||
|
More likely |
Less likely |
Net More Likely |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2004 Dem (Edwards) |
58 |
23 |
+35 |
|
2000 Dem (Lieberman) |
54 |
22 |
+32 |
|
2000 GOP (Cheney) |
49 |
30 |
+19 |
|
1996 GOP (Kemp) |
60 |
23 |
+37 |
|
1992 Dem (Gore) |
73 |
10 |
+63 |
|
1988 GOP (Quayle) |
36 |
33 |
+3 |
|
1988 Dem (Bentsen) |
48 |
28 |
+20 |
|
1984 Dem (Ferraro) |
26 |
18 |
+8 |
|
Average from 1984-2000 |
49 |
23 |
+26 |
Gallup Ping
FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.
ping
Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?
Viewership on the Big 3 networks was the lowest ever. I don't think cable watchers boosted overall ratings much. Fox and CNN had good numbers. Political junkies always tune in for a look see.
PresBush came out ahead with likely voters, 51% to 47%. A good indicator.
First poll I've seen in a long time with the President over 50%. I love how the liberals are going on and on about how "well received" the convention was. Sure, it was well-received - by the liberal media. The proof is in the pudding, dears. The country was unimpressed. Deal.
hahahahaha!! exactly!
Suuuuuuuuuure it was well received... if you can call a flatlined campaign "well received." No bias there. <sarcasm
Ding ding ding!!!! We have a winnuh!
I think the fact that this poll says that people basically thought it was a good convention, and yet the same people still break toward Bush shows the underlying strength of the President.
LMAO, that was funny, thanks for the post. Yea, somebody needs to tell 'em to just deal with it and move on.
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