Posted on 08/02/2004 1:18:00 AM PDT by goldstategop
Backward Bounce By Joel Mowbray FrontPageMagazine.com | August 2, 2004
For very good reason, the rule of thumb is that a presidential candidate gains ground following his partys convention: It almost always happens.
It happened four years ago, despite Al Gores nearly incoherent rant. It happened in 1984, after Walter Mondale reaffirmed his pledge to raise taxes. It even happened for Jimmy Carter in 1980 after a brutal civil war with Ted Kennedy.
But it didnt happen for John Kerry.
According to the USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll, conducted Friday and Saturday, Kerry lost a total swing of 5 points from the week before head-to-head against Bush. Kerry declined 1 point, from 47 to 46%, and Bush bumped up 4 points, from 46 to 50%.
Heading into the convention, fully one-third of voters told pollsters that they didnt know enough about Kerry. After a week of exposure to him and the Democratic Party, voters clearly didnt like what they saw.
Despite the glittering pronouncements of greatness from the chattering class while the auditorium was still packed (Howard Kurtz covers this well), the poll results should hardly be surprising.
The speech stunk.
Any number of Democrats I chatted with Thursday night in Boston roughly held the same view: The speech was garbage, yet the delivery was decentfor Kerry. Not even the party faithful were revved by Kerrys address.
Who could blame them, though? What it lacked in subtlety and organization, it made up for with pomposity and bloviating.
Before the audience had even had time to sit down, Kerry had already reminded us how literate he is, never mind that he bastardized the very meaning of Thomas Wolfes classic. There was also the pearl of wisdom where he reminded folks, That flag up there. We call her Old Glory. Thank you, John Kerry.
Without any thematic structure to tie together many disparate points, Kerrys meandering 55-minute address felt impossibly longer. It veered from autobiography to targeted digs at Bush to a detailed recitation of policy prescriptions.
Weirdest was his at attempt at humanizing himself. Never has someone recounting personal details felt so impersonal. The entire section was overtly mechanical, an offensively obvious ploy to portray himself as just another American. He was a Cub Scout, his mother a Girl Scout, and his father a State Department diplomat. Yep, John Kerry, average Joe.
His mother, he told us, [W]as the rock of our family, as so many mothers are. His father, as it happens, did the things that a boy remembers. And for good measure, the young diplomats son, like all children, found the world full of wonders and mysteries.
That normal kid, we soon learned, grew up to become a young prosecutor who made prosecuting violence against women a priority. And as a Senator, he fought to put 100,000 police officers on the streets of America.
And lest we forget he served in Vietnam. Then again, how could we with well over a dozen references to it?
Toward the end of his marathon speech, Kerry mixed Clinton-style biographies of suffering Americans with an insufferable laundry list of specific policy priorities.
Recalling McGovern and LBJ, rather than Clinton or JFK, Kerrys policy agenda consisted of making America respected in the world, curtailing free trade, nationalizing health care, raising taxes, building fewer prisons, spending more on Head Start, and two separate calls for shelling out more for after-school programs.
Somehow absent was any reference to the liberation of Iraqis or Afghans, the prospect of freedom in the Arab world, or even a coherent vision for executing the war on terror.
It was all too much to bear. Im not speaking of ordinary people or curious voters. Im talking about Democrats at the Fleet Center who were kept out of the auditorium for crowd control reasons.
Sitting in radio row during Kerrys speechI was doing running commentary on WABC during the long applauses, which got fewer and fewer as the speech wore onI witnessed a group crowded around a television about thirty feet away.
At the speechs start, the group of 20 or so party activists were hooping and hollering. They were ecstatic. Thirty minutes in, at least one-third of them had wandered off and the excitement level had waned to the occasional smattering of applause. Moments before the pundits were instantly hailing Kerrys supposedly brilliant speech, more than half of the hard-core Democrats had vanished.
That Kerry thinks he can keep a non-captive audience at attention for 55 dreary minutes is indicative of his incredible self-worth and provides more than a glimpse of his immense unlikeability.
One wonders if his dreadful post-convention poll numbers will be enough to pierce Kerrys arrogance. If the numbers alone dont, maybe he should consider this: the last Democrat to get no bounce from a convention was George McGovern in 1972.
b
In the film on his life, his brother cameron (the watergate style thief) stated that hanoi john prosecuted WHITE-COLLAR crime. The above statement leads you to believe he prosecuted violent crimes. And in a 2 year stint he couldn't have had to many cases considering how long each one takes.
But he saved the HAMSTER! That alone qualifies him to be president, doesn't it?
I can't wait for November.
Oh, you said SHOUTING at the TV; when I first read it, I though you said SHOOTING at the TV. And just for a second there, I thought, "see Ken, you're not the only one"...
Does anyone else think that sKerry was trying to match Pres. Reagan's goldfish death/funeral story with the hamster CPR story? He missed that mark, too.
If he was so insufferable, why did you tap him for Skull & Bones?
Those two positions are Chairman of the Yale Daily News and President of the Yale Political Union. My impression of Kerry was that he choose to join the Liberal Party in the Union because it was the largest, giving him the best change of becoming President, giving him the best chance of being tapped by S&B. In planning his social climbing, Kerry did think that far ahead.
But rest assured that at no time did a majority of Kerry's peers at Yale support him in any substantive way for any position of any importance.
John / Billybob
Pray for W and Our Troops
bump 4 later
I think this article put to much of the blame on Kerry. I think a good portion of it goes to Edwards the dreamer, and Tereza the prozac queen. Especially Tereza. The idea that she is going to connect with middle america is just plain silly. The truth is that she is a substantial negative.
It gives you a clue as to how long ago that was that Joe was still a candidate, rather than his current status as a voice whining in the wilderness. LOL.
John / Billybob
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