Posted on 07/16/2004 9:15:47 AM PDT by Owen
The 4% lead for Kerry erodes. Rasmussen's absolute numbers don't matter, but trends may. Edwards' bump appears to be fading, and the Senate report is getting more and more play as "Bush didn't lie about Iraq."
Yep. It also seems to indicate the President gains positive ground when he attacks Kerry's ongoing lunacies directly. I think the term "liberal" can't be used enough between now and November.
Kerry is Jimmy Carter, Part Du......(grin)
I didn't like the electoral college breakout -- Kerry 254, Bush 197
For a time folks used to say things like "I don't care what these national popularity polls say because the EC elects the prez." That has changed a bit of late because the truth is the EC is very very unlikely to yield a different result than the popular vote if the difference in popular vote is > 1%.
Here is what was said about that 2 days ago:
"If the Senator lost a single percentage point in just four states (Florida, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Ohio), President Bush would hold the lead."
Kerry must have lost more than a point in MO if he is cutting back on his advertising.
If we were to refer to them as Hanoi John and Counselor John all of the time we would drive home their negatives that much more.
Kerry needs a new gimmick. He ought to consider nominating Ted Kennedy as vice vice-president. You know: kind of a Miss Runner Up, in case the real Miss America gets sick or something.
My wife laughed out loud the first time she heard them described as the "John-John Ticket".
Liberals are childlike in their beliefs, so I kinda like that one myself. Convey's disdain while not using over the top rhetoric.
There is a series of very effective Kerry commercial running here in Fla., with Edwards narrating Kerry's military record in a southern drawl. Of course, most us Floridians are transplanted Northerners, so I'm hoping it does not help.
Good point. Wish I could get several members of local media I've contacted to respond re:Kerry suspention of advertising in MO. Nothing yet...
Also announced he was cutting his ads in Arkansas today. Anyone understand this? Doesn't he have enough money and doesn't most of it have to be spent before he is nominated?
Could this be the ad created to target the black community? It began to run and they got feedback from black leaders who said to pull it and redo it. It basically said that it you want to know more about Kerry, go out and learn more about him on your own.
This is not necessarily to disagree with you but I would like to know your reasoning here.
It seems to me, from looking at the red and blue maps that the Dims have very strong majorities in significantly more populace states like NY, CA and IL. The reps have majorities in less populace areas which have a disproportionately large number of EC votes. For example, Kerry may win NY by nearly 2 million votes and get the 50ish EC votes, Bush could get a bunch of states equaling more that 50 EC votes but have a cumulative majority of far less than 2 million.
BUT BUT... Clinton just said Bush won't win the election! OH NOOOOOOOOOO What are we going to do? /sarcasm
No, the announcement was he was cutting his ad campaign in Arkansas and it was on the radio.
Hmmm... Interesting. He doesn't seem to lack for money, though. He's raised a lot of it. I wonder what gives.
More and more, I'm seeing signs that Bush is going to win this election, and by more than a tight race. I see Bush as winning by a close to 60 - 40 margin.
He is cutting back in AZ, too.Maybe his Hispanic outreach flopped?
The EC is way too close to call except for the solid red or blue states.
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