Posted on 07/06/2004 12:05:53 PM PDT by RWR8189
July 6, 2004--North Carolina is now home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee. However, John Edwards has a lot of work to do if he wants to deliver that state to his party in this year's Presidential election.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with a seven point lead over Senator John F. Kerry, 49% to 42%. The survey was completed in June, before Kerry named Edwards as his running mate.
Four years ago, Bush won North Carolina by a very comfortable 13-point margin, 56% to 43%. A month ago, Bush led Kerry by a mere four points. Our mid-month update, available to Premium Members, found Bush leading 49-43.
Based upon that mid-month result, we moved North Carolina to the "Leans Bush" category in our Electoral College projections.
In North Carolina, Bush holds a commanding lead among white voters while Kerry leads among minority voters. Bush does best among voters in their 30s and 40s, while Kerry is strongest among those under 30.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of North Carolina voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's unchanged from a month ago... and several points above his national Job Approval rating.
Data for North Carolina will updated again early next month. Earlier this month, we updated our polling results for California. Results for 20 states will be released this week.
ping
That ticket could win the election but they won't win one southern state. These guys need to really be painted as the extreme liberals they are.
Edwards has an approval rating of 35% in his home state. Unless he and his running mate ditch their liberalism, they'll carry North Carolina on a cold day in hell.
Edwards will win North Carolina for Kerry the way Gore won Tennessee for himself in 2000.
But but but.. the ambulence chaser Edwards emptomizes the American dream.... came from a mill town in SC, moved to NC, chased some ambulences, made some money, ran for the Senate.... you'd think the people of North Carolina would love the liberal clymer.. whoops... he never showed up to vote either, just like Kerry... Nice move John, picking another unqualified John to be President..
Flush the Johns in '04.
Think Zel Miller would be of any help here?
Or... how about a write in campaign of NC citizens to the national media
"I have lived in NC for xxx years and I can tell you about John Edwards, he ...."
that sort of thing.
bttt
Only 7 points? Ouch. Edwards could conceivably switch the Mo in NC.
So before Edwards Kerry was 7 points ahead of Gore in NC? This is pretty disturbing news. How on earth can Kerry be doing better than Gore in a place like North Carolina? Edwards might give him enough of a bounce to make the state competitive.
ONly numbers that matter in NC -- Bush approval 55%, Edwards approval 35% -- The Johns are toast in NC.
I think Edwards can get NC close, but I can't see him putting into Kerry's column. However, if this tempts JFnK to divert time and resources to NC and away from other potentially more vulnerable states, it could be a big plus for W.
How could you confuse Bush and Gore twice in a single post?
Edwards will not deliver -- he's never here, so why should we expect him to suddenly start spending time in NC?
If Edwards gets the numbers close up through the Democratic Convention, they will merely drop back down when the GOP finally kicks into campaign mode. Right now, the Republicans are just maintaining. When they start to get aggressive, we may hear more dirt on Edwards than we ever hoped for.
In NC a SINate seat is a big deal, you gotta bring home the bacon which gooberboy didn't. But VP is more of a prestige thing, sort of like being named pres. of the kiwanis club.
If lurch and gooberboy get the nod in Boston I fear they could put NC in the dim column.
I'll believe it when I see it.
I think you've misread North Carolina about a bad as anyone could. Pretty boy ain't bringing it home for Kerry.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.