Posted on 05/14/2004 2:00:26 PM PDT by KQQL
That development appears to be helping Sen. John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. He wins the support of 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Bush. In February, Bush was ahead of Kerry by two percentage points.
If Independent Ralph Nader is among the choices, Kerry gets 49 percent, Bush 44 percent and Nader 6 percent.
Bush's overall job approval rating fell from 49 percent to 46 percent since the last CNN/Time poll on April 8, while his disapproval rating rose from 47 percent to 49 percent -- the first time that more people disapproved of Bush's job performance than approved.
The poll was conducted by telephone Wednesday and Thursday.
The margin of error for the total sample of 1,001 adult Americans is 3.1 percentage points
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
thanks for the ping
@
Still a dead heat statistical tie, race hasn't move from margin for error territory.
None of this matters, since we use an electoral, not popular vote system.
Bush is still ahead in the electoral arena.
President Bush would be wise to start talking about the decade's old links between OBL and Saddam. Support for the war would increase greatly.
no he 's not. If kerry wins the popular vote by more than 1.0% in 2004 he wins both/
not good. this is getting scary.
'Tis only a flesh wound.
If this scares you, maybe you've forgotten those CNN polls from Feb. showing Bush down by 12% to Kerry.
Wow.. He is doing good despite the poll being from CNN/Time!
A gangrenous one, maybe...
There's no way Bush would win the Electoral College if Kerry beat him by five or six points, as this poll suggests. It's not impossible, but the probability is vanishingly small.
That lead was expected. The trend for bush has been negative especially his approval ratings.
You are thinking the 2/16-17 Gallup Poll.
If the source is CNN, Reuters, AP, MSNBC, CBS, NBC, or ABC, its SUSPECT!
He never had. Most of his cabinet says it ain't so. Except for Cheney who keeps alluding to the tie.
Right now W's average approval ratings is 46.0% from last 7 polls (Rasmussen and Dem or GOP polls don't count) and the max W can get over his average approval rating in a 2 way race is 1%.
So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.
Kerry 51.0%
W 46.6%
Nader 1.6
Others 0.8
W/O Nader
Kerry 51.9%
Bush 47.0%
Others 1.1%
True about the trend except maybe with Rasmussen which has shown the race and W. approval numbers to essentially be static since January.
It is the "premise" on the economy that the GWB camp needs to hit. If they fail to do this, GWB will be a one-termer. They need to come up with creative ways of getting good economic news out (Creative ways that the partisan media can't gloss over or ignore).
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.