If the source is CNN, Reuters, AP, MSNBC, CBS, NBC, or ABC, its SUSPECT!
Right now W's average approval ratings is 46.0% from last 7 polls (Rasmussen and Dem or GOP polls don't count) and the max W can get over his average approval rating in a 2 way race is 1%.
So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.
Kerry 51.0%
W 46.6%
Nader 1.6
Others 0.8
W/O Nader
Kerry 51.9%
Bush 47.0%
Others 1.1%