[Recovering_Democrat]

Here is hoping Zogby is wrong.

[KellyAdmirer]

Zogby is going off the deep end in his shilling for Kerry. No VP candidate yet, conventions not over, all summer for things to happen - but apparently God speaks to Zogby, and he tells us the truth.

[CWOJackson]

The only way Kerry will win is if the conservative vote is surpress or fractured. We need to keep that in mind when the third party types ratchet up their campaigning for Kerry.

[eureka!]

"Second, there are very few undecided voters for this early in a campaign," Zogby says. "Historically, the majority of undecideds break to the challenger against an incumbent..."

Not in 2000, John. 'Member? The DUI hit piece and 'late trend' that you caught? Some say look for the same this season, from the 'Toon camp against Kerry....

[boxsmith13]

I basically agree with this. Bush poll numbers are awful for an incumbent. I do think that the economy issue will begin to slowly turn Bush's way.

A Kerry Presidency could spell the death knell for the GOP. IT is very possible they would lose two ofthe biggest sticks theyve used to hot DEMS before. One: you cant trust a NE liberal and two: you cant trust the DEMS with national defense. If the GOP losses thesetwo issues, they could eventallu fade away as a political force, mush like Britan's Torrie party.

[SoCal Pubbie]

"His most recent survey found Kerry leading, 47 to 44 percent in a two-man race."

And in a three way race? Will Ralph Nader be running?

[Smartass]

Isn't Zogby an Arab!!!

[bayourod]

"opinion is so polarized and, I believe, frozen in place"

So there's no reason to do any future polls.

[harrym]

If Iraq continues to "go south" on us, a new scenario for a Republican victory in November would be thus: Bush declines running for reelection, the convention becomes open, McCain is nominated, all the wind goes out of the Dems sails McCain wins, we continue with sane policies in government instead of unleashing another Demo reign of decay. This would take a lot of guts and sacrifice on the part of the present administration, but it would save us from the Kennedy-Clinton mobsters.

[TomEwall]

There's only 1 reason that matters, "I don't like Bush. So I'll go out on a limb and predict Kerry to win."

[Cold Heat]

Now I am absolutely sure that Bush will win by a landslide!

Zogby's predictions have always been faulty. His polls are just a bit better.

He is letting his hatred for Bush shine through brightly. I hope all democrats read this! they must believe it to be true.

Then they will stay home on election day, knowing the election is in the bag.

We, on the other hand, cannot afford to do that.

Note to self!..............Even if there is the slightest possibility that I may not be in town on election day, be sure to send absentee ballot and don't forget to sign it!

[AlbionGirl]

"Something happens to him in the closing weeks of campaigns (that obviously is not happening now!). We have clearly seen that pattern in his 1996 victory over Gov. Bill Weld for the Senate in Massachusetts and more recently in the 2004 Democratic primaries."

Does he really think this represents a stat?

[TomGuy]

Both GWB and Kerry seem to be maintaining an equal level, moving a couple of points only.

It will be as close as 2000 unless something spectacular happens.

I still see Hillary ending up on the Dem ticket and that could heat things up.

Kerry, other than the 'smooth' ads, seems to avoid TV. He doesn't show well in the snippets of his speeches. He is boring, rambling, empty rhetoric. The more he would be on TV, the more his numbers would decline. Kerry is even less TV-genic than Al Gore was.

[isthisnickcool]

My uncle was all over the Middle East when I was a kid. He said a lot of things about Arabs when he would come home. He said "One day we will regret we ever did business with those people". He also said "Most of the Arab men are queers".

What he stressed more than anything was the Arab concept of "truth". He said "To an Arab whatever he can convience you is the truth is the truth".

Zogby is an Arab.

[My2Cents]

Prediction: On Nov. 3, Zogby will come out with an article explaining four ways in which Kerry blew it.

[Viking2002]

Kerry couldn't get a bump in the polls if it were made public that Bush was ordering detainees to be stuffed into wood chippers. And this putz thinks it's 'Kerry's election to lose'? Looks like Zogby has joined Chris Matthews, Aaron Brown, Dan Blather, and the rest, as an alumni of the Walter Cronkite 'Non-Partisan Partisan' School of Media Punditry.

[VRWC For Truth]

Zogby is doing us a favor. Spit polishing a turd.

[hershey]

Zogby hopes Botoxboy will win, and this analysis of his is nothing but wishful thinking.

[Not A Snowbird]

Zogby is increasingly off his meds.

[CharacterCounts]

There is only one way Bush could lose to Kerry in this election: If the media convinces the public war in Iraq has turned into a meaningless quagmire, Bush will lose. Hence we are seeing the Nightline type of propaganda right now.