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2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/10/2004
TradeSports.com ^
| Monday, May 10, 2004
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 05/10/2004 9:56:19 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon
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To: jdege
excellent, thanks
To: jdege
this is not a good trend
To: DM1
Bill Weld was a liberal though, and Massachusetts is not representative of the country.
Then again, don't take my word on the debates though. I thought Gore wiped the floor with Bush in the first debate, and most of the country thought otherwise, so go figure.
To: Straight Vermonter
"I don't think that is right. undecideds will almost always go to who they think will win. This is why Reagan in 80 won by far more than anyone expected (although they were voting against an incumbent)."
undecideds vote about 2:1 agains hte incumbent/ If Bush is polling under 48%, he'll lose regardless of where Kerry is.
To: DM1
Kerry believe it or not is a shrewd debater. I saw those Weld debates, and concur. However, the Kerry of 2004 competing nationally doesn't appear nearly as formidable as Kerry '96 trying to keep a MA Senate seat. He certainly didn't distinguish himself in the Dem debates.
65
posted on
05/10/2004 4:00:37 PM PDT
by
Plutarch
To: So Cal Rocket
You would think, in a presidential race, that the undecideds wouldn't swing that much against the incumbent, simply because the challenger is so well-known, unlike most races.
To: Dan from Michigan
i know weld was a lib but he was better than kerry
heck my pet rock is better than kerry my point was that kerry should not be underestimated
67
posted on
05/10/2004 4:17:07 PM PDT
by
DM1
To: Liz; Grampa Dave; Red Badger
Although some felons have been legally disenfranchised, others have not. Specifically, while only four states allow felons to vote while they are in prison, 18 allow felons to vote while they are on parole and 21 allow them to vote while on probation. Only 10 states permanently disenfranchise all felons and another handful do so to some ex-offenders or restore the ability to vote after a time limit:
http://www.straightdope.com/mailbag/mfelonvote.html
To: LindaSOG
FASCINATING! I wish I understood it!!!! The political futures traders believe that John Kerry has a 96.6% chance of being the Democratic nominee for President.
They believe that President Bush has a 58.3% chance of winning the Presidential Election on November 2, 2004.
69
posted on
05/10/2004 4:47:00 PM PDT
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon; Straight Vermonter; Darth Reagan
To: Krodg
Not suggesting you should argue unions.
71
posted on
05/11/2004 6:03:18 AM PDT
by
Badeye
To: jdege
I think Bush is actually ahead in all three of these states right now, but there hasn't been much polling there (especially by pollsters that aren't Dem friendly), so that's not evident. But it's logical, given that Bush is a little ahead nationally, to expect he would be ahead in these states that were so close last time.
72
posted on
05/11/2004 12:47:37 PM PDT
by
TomEwall
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