Posted on 04/21/2004 2:04:02 AM PDT by goldstategop
Why Kerry will win
Joseph Farah
I have bad news for Bush supporters gloating at the latest polls showing the president expanding his lead over John Kerry.
I hate to rain on your parade, but this race is far from over.
Bush partisans are giddy over the fact that Kerry's campaign seems to be sputtering that he can't seem to capture much attention nor generate much excitement.
It's true that Kerry is a colorless, humorless, unlikable patrician.
Nevertheless, despite those characteristics, he's within the margin-of-error range in most polls. It's astounding, really. And that's why Bush is going to lose.
I want to take you back to 1992.
Bill Clinton was in John Kerry's position. He was running considerably further behind George H.W. Bush in the polls. Then came the Democratic convention.
The Democrats are very good at putting on these shows, and Hollywood pulled out all the stops for Clinton.
Much to my amazement at the time, Clinton got a huge bounce from the show and he never looked back.
Again in 1996, Clinton was running behind Bob Dole in the polls leading up to the Democratic convention. History repeated itself. The Clinton-Gore ticket bounced right back into a second term.
You can look at 2000 and see the same trend, and, while it's true Al Gore didn't win the White House, he did win the popular vote.
Is Bush planning to lose the popular vote again and win re-election in the electoral college? Is he planning to make it that close?
This is my prediction. Mark it down. Remember where you heard it. The day after the Democratic convention, Kerry will be a front-runner.
It gives me no pleasure to make this prediction. While I believe Bush has been a failure as a president in many ways and cannot support him for re-election, I know Kerry will prove disastrous for the country.
Many people tell me I should support Bush for this reason alone.
I can't do that. I won't do that. I won't cast a vote for a candidate who doesn't really support the Constitution of the United States, even though he takes an oath to uphold it. I will not vote for a candidate for president who increased spending not just defense spending, but all spending so dramatically. I don't believe we'll ever get real political choices as Americans if we keep making the mistake of supporting the lesser of two evils.
Kerry is a dangerous man and I think he's going to be the next president.
I even believe he will weather the Ralph Nader storm.
The reason? Bush is more hated now than he was in 2000. The Nader crowd is going to go for Kerry. The Bush opposition will unite to defeat him this time.
It's bad news for America. And I'm stunned at how the Bush team is stumbling and bumbling into defeat.
These guys act like they are political geniuses. They seem to forget that Al Gore actually won more votes than Bush did in 2000.
The overconfidence is staggering.
They don't see this coming.
It's probably too late to do anything about it if they did.
Sure, things can change between now and November. Things can happen. But things can happen that will help or hurt either candidate.
Because I don't have a dog in this hunt, I think I can see it a little more objectively, a little more clearly.
It's going to be Kerry in 2004.
But, please, don't blame the messenger.
That statement alone makes the whole piece useless blather...
While I don't have the information in front of me and frankly can't remember, are you saying a Christian is telling a lie? Farah wears his faith on his sleeve.
Since when does "character" matter in a national election? The last time might actually have been back in 1960. I wish people who are overconfident were right. But, the fact I can't get over is that after eight years of Bill and Hil, Algore still won the popular vote. Have we converted so many of the ones who voted for Soreloserman that we will win in a landslide this time out?
Ross Perot
It is simple honesty to admit a looming danger and to prepare for it. It is blindness to ignore a potential danger.
The question becomes, therefore, how to gear every new media resource at our disposal for direct confrontation for a reasonable period Before, DURING, and after the Democrat Convention.
How do we do that?
How do we target independent and uncommitteds and weak Bush supporters?
It is true that Clinton rode a bounce from the convention to the White House.
However...as the Dems will get a bump from their convention in JULY...the GOP will get a bump from their convention in SEPTEMBER.
So, which bump will have a better effect? Of course, the GOP convention, being held later will have the better effect. Moreover, the money factor is huge here.
The Dems are required to start spending general campaign funds the minute the convention is over. The GOP is required to do the same. Therefore, in order to keep any bump from the convention, the Dems will need to spend general campaign funds well before the GOP convention. This spend will be a net advantage to the GOP.
No one is taking this election for granted. But, I cannot help but think the constant missteps by Kerry, as well as the strategic advantages of the GOP approach will result in a Bush win. Everytime Kerry speaks, his numbers drop. Everytime Bush speaks, his number rise. That's a good thing.
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 05/17/2000 8:50:04 PM CDT with 106 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States [as of September, 1999] is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush - Thread VI |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 05/14/2000 11:51:25 PM CDT with 210 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States [as of September, 1999] is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 04/04/2000 12:09:27 AM CDT with 152 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States [as of September, 1999] is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 04/03/2000 9:53:39 PM CDT with 45 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States [as of September, 1999] is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush (Thread III) |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 03/30/2000 2:16:12 AM CST with 171 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I cant' vote for Bush (Thread II) |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 02/29/2000 6:59:33 AM CST with 137 comments WorldNetDaily ^ | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Here are opening highlights of Joseph Farah's editorial, "Why I can't vote for Bush". the leading candidate for president of the United States is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by Rebel and a Patriot On News/Activism 09/15/1999 2:48:36 PM CDT World Net Daily | 9-10-99 | Joseph Farah America needs a radical change of direction. I feel certain the leading candidate for president of the United States is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. Balance of article is here. |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by The_Eaglet On News/Activism 09/15/1999 1:20:55 PM CDT with 192 comments WorldNetDaily.com | September 10, 1999 | Joseph Farah Click here for Joseph Farah's Editorial at http://www.worldnetdaily.com |
||||||
Why I Can't Vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by On News/Activism 09/10/1999 10:59:09 PM CDT with 82 comments WorldNetDaily.com | 9/10/99 | Joseph Farah Why I can't vote for Bush America needs a radical change of direction. I feel certain the leading candidate for president of the United States is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. The final straw for me came when the Republican presidential candidate ... |
||||||
Why I can't vote for Bush |
||||||
Posted by Born in a Rage On News/Activism 09/10/1999 3:33:49 AM CDT with 212 comments worldnetdaily.com | 9-10-99 | Joseph Farah America needs a radical change of direction. I feel certain the leading candidate for president of the United States is incapable of providing the leadership necessary to achieve an essential rededication to the constitutional principles of limited government and individual rights. That's why, under no circumstances, will I allow myself to vote for George W. Bush for president of the United States. He is not qualified because he, like so many other politicians today, does not believe in nor understand the Constitution. The final straw for me came when the Republican presidential candidate announced that he would not even try ... |
||||||
_____ |
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.