Posted on 03/01/2004 12:37:38 PM PST by xsysmgr
With a five-day opening weekend gross of well over $100 million, Mel Gibsons The Passion of the Christ is shocking Hollywood in becoming a certified blockbuster. Even as recently as this past week, the experts were predicting a total opening weekend take of $30 millionslightly more than it made on just the first day.Thus continues the strange odyssey of The Passion.
Easily one of the most bankable stars in Hollywood was planning to write and direct a movie about the most famous and revered figure in history. And the budget would be nothing: $25 million. The average movienot the average blockbuster, mind youhas a <I>marketing</I> budget north of $25 million.
No one bit.
Gibson had to personally finance The Passion, and then he had to contract with relatively obscure arthouse indie Newmarket Films to handle the distribution.
Sure, Gibson was behind the camera and not in front of it. But it was clear that the devout Catholic was pouring his heart and soul into the film, and any contract could have required Gibson to plug on the usual array of TV and print media outlets.
And how could you not get media attention about a movie showing the death of Jesus? Controversy sells tickets, certainly enough to cover a skimpy $25 million budget.
Taking a broader view, The Passion was not just a smart business bet because of the specifics of the filmGibson, the low cost, the inevitable controversybut because religious films make money.
Not that Hollywood has first-hand experience with religious movies. Without the truly deep pockets of the major studios, the only overtly Christian movies to come out in the past few years have been low-budget cheapies with minimal star wattage.
The flicks may not have won critics hearts, but deprived Christian audiences made both The Omega Code and Left Behind: The Movie profitable. The $8 million-budgeted Omega raked in $13 million at theaters (plus a bundle more in video rentals and sales), and though it was a dud at theaters, the $17-million Left Behind sold more than 3 million copies on DVD and VHSa threshold even many hit films dont reach.
Another interesting case study comes from early 2002 with two non-religious movies, though one did explicitly keep it clean. One starred PG-rated pop singer Mandy Moore, the other was the debut of Madonnas protégé, Britney Spears. Most industry analysts predicted Crossroads, boasting a scene where negligee-clad Spears jumps in excitement, would out-gross Moores family-friendly A Walk to Remember. The experts were wrong.
To see that there is an audience for entertainment that wears its Christianity on its sleeve, network television probably provides better examples. Not that there are many, though.
It seems only CBS has been willing to take the risk of airing overtly religious-themed programs.
In a world where roughly 80 percent of new shows dont get renewed to a second season, CBS scored a long-running success with Touched by an Angel and this season has an unlikely hit with Joan of Arcadia.
Touched, which outlasted even most hit shows by staying on for nine years, was CBSs highest-rated drama for much of that time. And Joan, a quirky show that most critics predicted would flop, has thrived despite being dumped into what is normally a deadly timeslot, Fridays at 8pm EST.
Religion is such a fringe element in entertainment that its easy to forget that Hollywood wasnt always afraid to embrace faith.
Consider that two of the greatest Tinseltown classics are big-budget religious epics, one of which was ripped from the Bible. The Ten Commandments raked in a then-staggering $65.5 million back in 1956and nearly a half-century later, it still garners heavenly ratings for ABC every year on Easter Sunday. Making slightly more at the box office was Ben-Hur, which grossed $74 million in 1959.
In todays dollars, ticket sales like that would translate to roughly $400 million apiece. Given the graphic violence making it unsuitable for children (or even for repeat viewing for most adults), The Passion faces an uphill climb to reach such lofty heights.
Already, though, Gibsons gamble has been vindicated. The $25 million budget was covered in the first-day gross of $26.6 million.
Only the experts should be surprised.
What's even better is that The Passion also nuked any interest in Dreamwork's Eurotrip which is only in its second week.
Mel's not out of the woods yet, unfortunately. There will be knives out for Gibson for many years to come. And if the number of anti-Gibson stories in the major media is any indication, the people who write the history of the culture war will invariably depict Gibson as an anti-Semite and his audience as hayseeds.
Someone recently made an interesting distinction between "religion" and "theology" - The study of religion is the study of the activities of man; the study of theology is the study of God.
What's controversial? He stuck pretty much to the Gospel accounts.
That's true and for that I'm very glad. But his enemies are not without options. Gibson's production company wants to do a TV series. They can squelch him on that easily enough. Also, it's apparent from what has already appeared in the meainstream media that the history of this whole episode will be largely written by Mel's enemies. They'll do to him what they did to Charles Lindbergh. Everytime his name is mentioned there in effect will be an asterisk next to it: "Yes, he did these great things and he was a great American hero, but... " It's that ubiquitous "but" that I'm worried about.
I've heard the gross is about $125 million thus far. If he has to split half of it with the theaters, that leaves him with $62 million. Then another $15 million goes for prints and advertising and he spent $30 million to make the film in the first place. That leaves him with $17 million profit so far (and an increasing share of the theatrical gross the longer the picture plays).
I'll bet when he first proposed the film his finance people ran the numbers (worst case, most likely, and best case). I'd love to see what those initial projections were.
Mel Gibson was certainly a lot more "faithful" to the Bible (even Genesis 3:15 is embodied in the first minutes of the film) than Cecil B. DeMille was to the Book of Exodus.
The LA Times Calendar section ran a story about it three days ago. The link is below. Gibson recently proposed it to ABC. The series was to be called "Savages" and was about a divorced firefighter singlehandedly raising five sons.
Gibson won't be in the series himself but he told execs in his pitch that it was based on his own family's experience raising seven sons. ABC liked it enough to order a pilot. Apparently he pitched several others as well and they are under consideration.
http://www.calendarlive.com/tv/cl-et-collins27feb27,2,1369126.story?coll=cl-home-more-channels
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