Bush 47% Kerry 45%. Election 2004 Presidential Ballot

Rasmussen Reports.com ^ | February 27, 2004 | Rasmussen Reports

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Bush 47% Kerry 45% Other 3% Not Sure 5% RasmussenReports.com

--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows George W. Bush with 47% of the vote while John F. Kerry attracts support from 45% of the nation's likely voters.

Kerry has been steady at 45% of 46% of the vote for the last seven days. Support for Bush has generally been at 46% or 47% during this period, but it did go above that level on two days in the last week.

The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Survey is updated daily by noon Eastern.

After the President declared his support for an Amendment defining marriage as a union between a man and a woman, 52% of Americans now say they trust Bush more than Kerry on the issue of gay marriage. Twenty-six percent (26%) prefer Kerry.

Additionally, 51% now believe their own taxes will go up if Kerry wins. That represents a 6-point jump from a month ago. Other data on shifting perceptions of Kerry will be released later in the week.

At the national level, on the key issue of managing the economy, the candidates are practically even. Forty-six percent (46%) of voters prefer Bush on the economy while 43% prefer Kerry. Rasmussen Reports updates this issue comparison on a weekly basis.

Rasmussen Reports measures the nation's economic confidence on a daily basis. Perceptions of the President's economic management and overall approval ratings often move up and down in synch with the confidence of Consumers and Investors.

A separate survey finds that 55% of American voters believe the U.S. should make sure that Iraq becomes a peaceful nation enjoying freedom and democracy. Thirty-eight percent (38%) want troops brought home as soon as possible.

The national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Methodology

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40 DAY MOVING AVERAGE

Bush 46.125 Kerry 43.675

[JeeperFreeper]

This is interesting and postive news. The campaign ads haven't yet seriously started on the Repub side. Kerry scares me. He's either delusional or a stone cold liar with no morals, no standards, no beliefs but for those of personal power. In a time of war, Kerry is exceptionally dangerous.

[concerned about politics]

And the polls are Democrat slanted (because they're always home).
This is great news for Bush.
Heck, Kerry has had the press for weeks, and Bush has had none. Bush still beats Kerry!

Bush landslide in 2004.

[.cnI redruM]

Interestingly enough, about twice as mant people are undecided now as were about 6 months ago (I wish I remembered the link and firm).....

[.cnI redruM]

Interestingly enough, about twice as mant people are undecided now as were about 6 months ago (I wish I remembered the link and firm).....

[My2Cents]

Thanks for posting this. We will not hear this reported on ABC/CBS/NBC/MSNBC/CNN/NPR.

[commish]

Actually Rasmussun (Portrait of America in 2000 I think) was the one poll that consistently showed Bush with a decent lead ofver gore, he also failed to catch the movement to Gore in the final days (after the DUI charge).

So, historically this poll is not slanted Dem, but is also not accurate.

That said, Rasmussen CHANGED the way he polls, and has been VERY ACCURATE so far this primary season. He caught the Dean fade in Iowa, and was the first to catch the Edwards swell in Wisconsin.

[malia]

Heck, Kerry has had the press for weeks, and Bush has had none----

And that will continue on thru Nov.

Last weeks polls were funded by Heinz supported foundations - who paying the bills here?

[cake_crumb]

"He's either delusional or a stone cold liar with no morals, no standards, no beliefs but for those of personal power. In a time of war, Kerry is exceptionally dangerous."

He's a stone cold liar with no morals, no standards, no beliefs but for those of personal power. He might be even worse than Clinton. Unlike Algore, he's been getting away with lying constantly. He scares me too.

[onyx]

I want to see a poll that reflects public sentiment post-marriage amendment announcement.

[Dog]

52% of Americans now say they trust Bush more than Kerry on the issue of gay marriage. Twenty-six percent (26%) prefer Kerry.

There goes that issue for the RATS...

Additionally, 51% now believe their own taxes will go up if Kerry wins. That represents a 6-point jump from a month ago. Other data on shifting perceptions of Kerry will be released later in the week.

Keep defining Kerry as a tax and spend liberal..

[Dog]

Here it is...

After the President declared his support for an Amendment defining marriage as a union between a man and a woman, 52% of Americans now say they trust Bush more than Kerry on the issue of gay marriage. Twenty-six percent (26%) prefer Kerry.

[Califelephant]

...51% now believe their own taxes will go up if Kerry wins...

As the campaign progresses, I'll bet Karl Rove will be able to push this number into the high 50's or low 60's and that may be a mortal wound for Kerry.

[Blood of Tyrants]

Bush will be the first president elected with greater than 50% of the popular vote since 1988.

[oyez]

Kerry's percentage are going to drop in double digits as more people realize a Kerry America is a naked America.

[HitmanLV]

I gotta say, daily interest in polls is something for Rove & The Gang, but it will prove maddening for us bystanders. Check em out every week, I say, no more than that. Also, don't read too much into them.

Bush is well positioned to win in 2004. Think positive, campaign in small ways (or big ways), and do our part, I say.

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Rasmussen's numbers have moved up about 0.5% for Bush in the last 14 days.

[ShandaLear]

Last night in the debate, Kerry claimed that under Bush there's been a 7 million swing in job losses. No one challenged it. I was stunned.

[Dog]

I can't believe the RATS would try to fight the 60's over again.....Kerry is nothing but a late 60's... early 70's radical.

[sanjacjake]

I am a Veteran. I support Bush....If you or anyone you
know is a Vet and supports our President..go to: