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2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/16/2004
TradeSports.com ^
| Monday, February 16, 2004
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 02/16/2004 9:45:16 AM PST by Momaw Nadon
State |
% Chance of Bush Winning |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Dem Electoral Votes |
Alabama |
95.0 |
9 |
0 |
Alaska |
94.0 |
3 |
0 |
Arizona |
75.0 |
10 |
0 |
Arkansas |
70.0 |
6 |
0 |
California |
17.0 |
0 |
55 |
Colorado |
80.0 |
9 |
0 |
Connecticut |
20.0 |
0 |
7 |
Delaware |
40.0 |
0 |
3 |
District of Columbia |
2.0 |
0 |
3 |
Florida |
68.0 |
27 |
0 |
Georgia |
90.0 |
15 |
0 |
Hawaii |
13.0 |
0 |
4 |
Idaho |
95.0 |
4 |
0 |
Illinois |
34.0 |
0 |
21 |
Indiana |
87.0 |
11 |
0 |
Iowa |
42.0 |
0 |
7 |
Kansas |
91.5 |
6 |
0 |
Kentucky |
88.0 |
8 |
0 |
Louisiana |
83.0 |
9 |
0 |
Maine |
43.0 |
0 |
4 |
Maryland |
17.5 |
0 |
10 |
Massachusetts |
4.0 |
0 |
12 |
Michigan |
51.0 |
17 |
0 |
Minnesota |
37.0 |
0 |
10 |
Mississippi |
94.0 |
6 |
0 |
Missouri |
65.0 |
11 |
0 |
Montana |
88.0 |
3 |
0 |
Nebraska |
95.0 |
5 |
0 |
Nevada |
70.0 |
5 |
0 |
New Hampshire |
58.0 |
4 |
0 |
New Jersey |
16.0 |
0 |
15 |
New Mexico |
58.0 |
5 |
0 |
New York |
15.0 |
0 |
31 |
North Carolina |
88.0 |
15 |
0 |
North Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Ohio |
65.0 |
20 |
0 |
Oklahoma |
93.0 |
7 |
0 |
Oregon |
43.0 |
0 |
7 |
Pennsylvania |
51.0 |
21 |
0 |
Rhode Island |
5.0 |
0 |
4 |
South Carolina |
82.0 |
8 |
0 |
South Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Tennessee |
85.0 |
11 |
0 |
Texas |
93.0 |
34 |
0 |
Utah |
95.0 |
5 |
0 |
Vermont |
7.0 |
0 |
3 |
Virginia |
85.0 |
13 |
0 |
Washington |
35.0 |
0 |
11 |
West Virginia |
52.0 |
5 |
0 |
Wisconsin |
49.0 |
0 |
10 |
Wyoming |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Totals |
|
321 |
217 |
TOPICS: Extended News; Front Page News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Unclassified; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; electionpresident; electoral; electoralvote; electoralvotes; georgebush; georgewbush; gwb2004; president; presidentbush; presidential; vote; votes
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I went to
TradeSports.com which is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things.
According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2004 Presidential Election.
If the traders are correct, President Bush would receive 321 Electoral Votes and the Democratic candidate would receive 217 Electoral Votes.
Opinions and commentary are welcome.
To: Momaw Nadon
2
posted on
02/16/2004 9:45:52 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
District of Columbia 2.0 Jee, what a surprise. /sarcasm
To: Momaw Nadon
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pensylvannia, leaning GOP? This is where the battle will be.
4
posted on
02/16/2004 9:50:33 AM PST
by
11th_VA
(Obstetrician Doesn't Recall Delivering Bush!!!)
To: Momaw Nadon
Hmm, putting all the key battleground states in Bush's column is a bit optimistic (Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan).
To: Momaw Nadon
Same as last week.
6
posted on
02/16/2004 9:52:32 AM PST
by
Recovering_Democrat
(I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
To: Momaw Nadon
How is their track record in past elections?
7
posted on
02/16/2004 9:53:02 AM PST
by
Dead Dog
To: 11th_VA
Unfortunately, The Columbus Dispatch is apparnelty not going to endorse Bush this year... Ohio is going to ber a battleground as well.
You have the Dispatch (formerly conservative but they brough in some Plain Dealer boobs) and the Cleveland Plain Dealer trying to manipulate voter opinion...
8
posted on
02/16/2004 9:53:49 AM PST
by
smith288
(http://www.ejsmithweb.com/FR/JohnKerry/)
To: smith288
And I need to learn how to press "SPELL" before posting.
9
posted on
02/16/2004 9:54:46 AM PST
by
smith288
(http://www.ejsmithweb.com/FR/JohnKerry/)
To: 11th_VA
Michigan (51%) and Pennsylvania (51%) are barely leaning GOP.
Wisconsin (49%) is barely leaning Democrat.
10
posted on
02/16/2004 9:54:54 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
How anyone in their right mind would not vote for Bush is beyond me.
11
posted on
02/16/2004 9:55:38 AM PST
by
tkathy
(The nihilistic islamofascists and the nihilistic liberals are trying to destroy this country)
To: 11th_VA
I am extremely doubtful that MI will go for Bush. Jenny from the bloc is working hard to kill the state and Dems will be able to scream the "it's Bush's fault" loud. The non thinkers will believe it!
12
posted on
02/16/2004 9:58:22 AM PST
by
CSM
(My Senator is so stupid he'd have to get naked to count to 21 and my Governor wouldn't be able to!)
To: CSM
I think we have a shot if it's a Masshole(apology to Freeps from Massachusetts) Liberal.
To: Dead Dog
How is their track record in past elections? I believe TradeSports.com got started in 2002.
14
posted on
02/16/2004 9:59:58 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Dan from Michigan
How close was it in 2000?
15
posted on
02/16/2004 10:00:21 AM PST
by
CSM
(My Senator is so stupid he'd have to get naked to count to 21 and my Governor wouldn't be able to!)
To: tkathy
Its amazing isnt it. A non political friend told me no offense but Bush has got to go. I said why and she said, " he is bad on us middle-classers." I said what are you talking about your not middle class...you make over 100K. She got confused, and I said I will be giving her an economy lesson for the rest of the year. It amazed me that she was more concerned about finance then security. There lies our problem..we must convince those who dont care but vote in presidential elections every 4 years that SECURITY IS THE ISSUE ....
16
posted on
02/16/2004 10:01:12 AM PST
by
alisasny
(John Kerry is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I've ever known in my life.)
To: Momaw Nadon
I WISH! I'm afraid however, that you are wrong on Michigan, New Hampshire and Ohio. Not this year.
17
posted on
02/16/2004 10:04:55 AM PST
by
no dems
To: CSM
To: Momaw Nadon
What if illegal and legal aliens find a way to vote with a little help or no help at all.... say 5% to 10% of them of 10 to 20 'illions of them... all they would needed is a drivers license and some fake documencation and say an address.. who would challege them.?. in Mexifornia it must already be a common occurance..
19
posted on
02/16/2004 10:11:35 AM PST
by
hosepipe
To: CSM
I disagre. Bush has a good shot at Michigan. His approval rating is good here. He has gained more support here in Michigan then he had in 2000. It will be close but I believe Bush will take Michigan this time around.
20
posted on
02/16/2004 10:11:36 AM PST
by
Kath
(Luvya Dubya)
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