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2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/9/2004
TradeSports.com ^
| Monday, February 9, 2004
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 02/09/2004 6:54:46 AM PST by Momaw Nadon
State |
% Chance of Bush Winning |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Dem Electoral Votes |
Alabama |
95.0 |
9 |
0 |
Alaska |
94.0 |
3 |
0 |
Arizona |
78.0 |
10 |
0 |
Arkansas |
68.0 |
6 |
0 |
California |
20.0 |
0 |
55 |
Colorado |
80.0 |
9 |
0 |
Connecticut |
20.0 |
0 |
7 |
Delaware |
39.0 |
0 |
3 |
District of Columbia |
2.0 |
0 |
3 |
Florida |
70.0 |
27 |
0 |
Georgia |
90.0 |
15 |
0 |
Hawaii |
13.0 |
0 |
4 |
Idaho |
95.0 |
4 |
0 |
Illinois |
38.0 |
0 |
21 |
Indiana |
89.0 |
11 |
0 |
Iowa |
41.0 |
0 |
7 |
Kansas |
91.5 |
6 |
0 |
Kentucky |
88.0 |
8 |
0 |
Louisiana |
83.0 |
9 |
0 |
Maine |
43.0 |
0 |
4 |
Maryland |
20.0 |
0 |
10 |
Massachusetts |
4.0 |
0 |
12 |
Michigan |
51.0 |
17 |
0 |
Minnesota |
40.0 |
0 |
10 |
Mississippi |
96.0 |
6 |
0 |
Missouri |
65.0 |
11 |
0 |
Montana |
89.0 |
3 |
0 |
Nebraska |
95.0 |
5 |
0 |
Nevada |
70.0 |
5 |
0 |
New Hampshire |
58.0 |
4 |
0 |
New Jersey |
20.0 |
0 |
15 |
New Mexico |
58.0 |
5 |
0 |
New York |
21.0 |
0 |
31 |
North Carolina |
88.0 |
15 |
0 |
North Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Ohio |
65.0 |
20 |
0 |
Oklahoma |
93.0 |
7 |
0 |
Oregon |
43.0 |
0 |
7 |
Pennsylvania |
51.0 |
21 |
0 |
Rhode Island |
5.0 |
0 |
4 |
South Carolina |
85.0 |
8 |
0 |
South Dakota |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Tennessee |
86.0 |
11 |
0 |
Texas |
95.0 |
34 |
0 |
Utah |
95.0 |
5 |
0 |
Vermont |
7.0 |
0 |
3 |
Virginia |
85.0 |
13 |
0 |
Washington |
36.0 |
0 |
11 |
West Virginia |
52.0 |
5 |
0 |
Wisconsin |
46.0 |
0 |
10 |
Wyoming |
95.0 |
3 |
0 |
Totals |
|
321 |
217 |
TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Unclassified; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; electionpresident; electoral; electoralvote; electoralvotes; georgebush; georgewbush; gwb2004; president; presidentbush; presidential; vote; votes
I went to
TradeSports.com which is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things.
According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2004 Presidential Election.
If the traders are correct, President Bush would receive 321 Electoral Votes and the Democratic candidate would receive 217 Electoral Votes.
Opinions and commentary are welcome.
To: Momaw Nadon
2
posted on
02/09/2004 6:55:07 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
Pennsylvania - 51% chance, where'd they get that? I'm from Pittsburgh, and these two big cities, Pitts. and Philly suck, all big time Democrat voter fraud, and it will be worse in November. And Bush lost PA in 2000. The whole damn state was red for Bush and only the two sick Democrat/fraud-ridden cities voted for Gore.
That's one thing that pisses me off about that red/blue state map.
The Map is much more illustrative of how much of the country was for Bush in 2000 by showing the precinct by precinct voting!
We'll see about 2004.
3
posted on
02/09/2004 7:06:55 AM PST
by
thesummerwind
(Like painted kites, those days and nights, they went flyin' by)
To: Momaw Nadon
That's a drop of 34 votes in one week. . .what happened ???
4
posted on
02/09/2004 7:15:42 AM PST
by
Salgak
(don't mind me: the orbital mind control lasers are making me write this. . .)
To: Salgak
Iowa (7), Minnesota (10), Oregon (7), and Wisconsin (10) all went below 50% in the past week.
5
posted on
02/09/2004 7:20:17 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
*Interesting* post bump.
6
posted on
02/09/2004 7:23:30 AM PST
by
FreedomPoster
(This space intentionally blank)
To: thesummerwind
West Alexander, here.
...and that's the problem in Pennsylvania ... the two, well ensconced political machines a-la Daley in the state control the 'votes'.
We have an excellent chance to bring about change by getting Pat Toomey elected and ousting the sphincter.
7
posted on
02/09/2004 7:40:27 AM PST
by
knarf
(A place where anyone can learn anything ... especially that which promotes clear thinking.)
To: Momaw Nadon
This is closer than it was in previous weeks. It appears that Michigan, Florida, New Mexico West Virginia and Pennyslivania are in play. That is enough to tip the election to Kerry.
What would change everything is if Osama is captured. That would give Bush the election. He would have been proven correct in his policy. And he needs to get the Iraq thing wrapped up. Lost another two men today. Death by a thousand cuts.
8
posted on
02/09/2004 8:27:20 AM PST
by
RichardW
To: thesummerwind
Baltimore and D.C. suberbs do the same thing to Maryland.
9
posted on
02/09/2004 9:06:13 AM PST
by
zygoat
To: RichardW
Osama capture will change everything
but "think like a contrarian" -
The discovery a small amounts, not matter how small - evena vial of antrax, botox, sarin gas in Iraq -
will change everything as well.
The key is timing, we don't want either events to happen before September.
Ideal timing is between late Sept and late Oct.
If Osama is captured in July, people will forget about that in Nov.
Same with the discovery of small amts of WMDs in Iraq.
The other event is Terrorist attack on US soil -
IF we don't have anything by the end of March, any attacks on US soil will NOT hurt Bush in the polls.
In times of crisis, people will look at who has the steady hands, who can they trust. Only after the crisis is over, they would ask all the what if[s] and why not[s]..and if God forbid that we get hit again on US soil, and if the event is after end of March, there simply not enough time to deal with the what if[s] and why not[s]//
I believe the Osama or WMD in Iraq situation as the ELE event for the dims this fall - ELE = Extinction Level Event
Timing is everything and I sure hope our guys will grab Osama or WMD just in the nick of time.
10
posted on
02/09/2004 9:44:20 AM PST
by
FRgal4u
To: zygoat
I hear you...........that's why
ALL OF US must get our local friends to do some precinct watches.
It only takes one or two concerned (Republican) folks in one or the other area (precinct) to make a "stink" when wrong is being done.
11
posted on
02/09/2004 11:50:52 AM PST
by
thesummerwind
(Like painted kites, those days and nights, they went flyin' by)
To: knarf
Scottish Law Eats It!
12
posted on
02/09/2004 11:56:16 AM PST
by
thesummerwind
(Like painted kites, those days and nights, they went flyin' by)
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