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Housing Starts Post Best Year Since '78
Reuters ^ | Wed January 21, 2004 02:38 PM ET | Jonathan Nicholson

Posted on 01/21/2004 2:38:31 PM PST by Smogger

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. builders broke ground on new homes at a faster-than-expected pace in December, closing out the best year for housing since 1978 on an upbeat note, a government report showed on Wednesday.

The Commerce Department said December housing starts rose 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted 2.088 million annual rate, the quickest pace since February 1984.

The gain defied Wall Street analysts' expectations for a decline in starts and was led by a gain in multi-family dwellings. Single-family housing starts actually dipped slightly from the November rate.

November starts were revised slightly lower, to a 2.054 million rate from the initially reported 2.070 million pace.

However, in a sign the market is not yet ready to retreat, building permits -- a gauge of future residential construction plans -- also posted a gain in December, rising 3.3 percent to a 1.924 million rate.

"Very low interest rates, improving economy, improving labor market and that bodes well for housing," said Rick Egelton, deputy chief economist with BMO Financial Group in Toronto.

Financial markets showed little initial reaction.

The housing market was one of the U.S. economy's strong spots in 2003, as bargain-basement mortgage rates lured buyers into the market and led many home owners to refinance their loans and free up cash. The 1.848 million homes started in 2003 were the most since 1978, the Commerce Department said.

The record for housing starts was set in 1972, when they totaled 2.357 million, according to the Commerce Department.

Other reports have shown the housing market remains in good shape. On Tuesday, the National Association of Home Builders said its monthly index tracking sentiment on sales and buyer traffic fell to 68 from in January from 70 in December, well above the break-even level of 50.

Even as the U.S. economy has shown signs of picking up speed, long-term interest rates have yet to rise sharply. The Mortgage Bankers Association on Wednesday said its monthly index of applications for home mortgages hit a record last week, after the average rate on a 30-year mortgage fell to 5.55 percent, the lowest since July.

The Federal Reserve will meet next week to mull rate policy. Most analysts expect the U.S. central bank to remain on the sidelines, leaving short-term borrowing costs untouched at 45-year lows until it is convinced the recovery has become self-sustaining.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bush; bushrecovery; economy; election; housing; housingstarts; interestrates
More bad news for Democrats.
1 posted on 01/21/2004 2:38:33 PM PST by Smogger
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To: Smogger
improving labor market Improving for whom?
2 posted on 01/21/2004 2:55:38 PM PST by snopercod (You know something is going on here, but you don't know what it is, do you Mr. Jones?)
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To: snopercod
Being in the lumber industry for 15 years a 1.6 mil is considered robust. 2.05 is a fantastic year!! I think I better go look at new houses myself if this pans out!! This is a monster economy coming at us!!

Pray for W and The Truth

3 posted on 01/21/2004 2:58:57 PM PST by bray (The Wicked Witch of NY and Her (9-5) Flying Monkeys are In Flames!)
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To: snopercod
Speaking from here in New York, I can tell you that although we do not have the space for much new construction, the retail and other service industries have picked up hiring. Wall Streeters just got their first big bonus in years and firms are picking up hiring, albeit modestly.
4 posted on 01/21/2004 3:01:13 PM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: snopercod
BTW: I understand Nawth Carolina is in a Depression right now.
5 posted on 01/21/2004 3:01:43 PM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: bray
Being in the lumber industry for 15 years a 1.6 mil is considered robust. 2.05 is a fantastic year!! I think I better go look at new houses myself if this pans out!!

I sell gas fireplaces to builders and my numbers are doing great. What's scary/exciting is that all my builders have a lot more houses slated for 2004 than they did for 2003.

Thank you GWB and Alan Greenspan!

6 posted on 01/21/2004 3:08:37 PM PST by antienvironmentalist
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To: Clemenza
Yes. Construction around these parts has tanked.
7 posted on 01/21/2004 3:10:42 PM PST by snopercod (You know something is going on here, but you don't know what it is, do you Mr. Jones?)
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To: Smogger
Anyone know the overall demographics of the housing market? Who's buying, where, how large, average price, distribution of new construction in the various areas, resale of used homes, apartments/commercial vs. single family, etc.?
8 posted on 01/21/2004 3:32:44 PM PST by templar
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To: Smogger

I'm still not so sure this is such a good idea.

9 posted on 01/21/2004 5:02:19 PM PST by AdamSelene235 (I always shoot for the moon......sometimes I hit London.- Von Braun)
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