Good news! Teenagers are also saying no to sex.

Good news, Just another thing to make the democratic party shrivel up and die!

The goofballs, I mean experts, on NPR were trying to explain why teen pregnancy was declining. Funny, they didn't mention the possibility that kids are becoming more conservative, or, heaven forbid, more religious. Now this news. The rats must be very troubled.

The goofballs, I mean experts, on NPR were trying to explain why teen pregnancy was declining. Funny, they didn't mention the possibility that kids are becoming more conservative, or, heaven forbid, more religious. Now this news. The rats must be very troubled.

As a teacher, from personal experience, it seems crystal clear to me that young people today are becoming more and more conservative. There is no question in my mind. Surveys I've seen appear to support this trend.

Very good news indeed, and against all the brainwashing in the media and the academy (no offense intended)!

If you believe that drug use is declining, you are very naive. What is happening is that teenagers are becoming wise to the stupid polls. One of the high schools in my county (a rural area of WA State) numbered in the highest percentage of drug use in the country and the public school where I live (a border town, where almost 95% of the kids really do use drugs) was recorded as one of the lowest. Kids have just wised up to the stupid polls.

If you believe that drug use is declining, you are very naive. What is happening is that teenagers are becoming wise to the stupid polls. One of the high schools in my county (a rural area of WA State) numbered in the highest percentage of drug use in the country and the public school where I live (a border town, where almost 95% of the kids really do use drugs) was recorded as one of the lowest. Kids have just wised up to the stupid polls.

That's your anecdotal evidence against actual, empirical evidence. Certainly, demand characteristics are always an issue with surveys, and therefore always a potential confounding variable. But, even if the kids are 'wising up to the polls,' as you claim, why didn't kids 'wise up' to them in the past? What these surveys claim is that there is a difference between survey data today compared to the past -- but kids in the past, I would assume, were just as likely to be subject to the same kinds of demand characreristics in these polls. That in itself would eliminate the confound, acting as a control mechanism, that validates these findings -- if not the actual numbers, at least the difference between cohorts. In short, there is more reason to believe the meaning of the results (that there is a real difference) than there is to doubt them. So, no, I'm not naive.

Yes, you are naive. Drug use is still rising, not declining. The drugs are changing, but not declining. My youngest is a junior in college and I have friends who teach in the schools and have kids who are still in high school. Even the local Christian school that my son attended is getting worse because they are accepting kids who were kicked out of the public school to raise funds for expansion.

Yes, you are naive. Drug use is still rising, not declining. The drugs are changing, but not declining. My youngest is a junior in college and I have friends who teach in the schools and have kids who are still in high school. Even the local Christian school that my son attended is getting worse because they are accepting kids who were kicked out of the public school to raise funds for expansion.

Again, Eva, this is anecdotal evidence -- that is, your subjective experience -- rather than empirical evidence. Still, you may be right about your particular area of the country. But you must remember that the survey described above is a description of adolescents across the entire country. The survey is merely saying that, on the whole (in general, on average), drug use among teenagers is declining. Almost certainly, there are areas of the country that have increased in drug use, and perhaps yours is one of them (it probably is). At the same time, more areas of the country have decreased drug use than have increased drug use. For example, perhaps your neighborhood is increasing, but another neighborhood in another part of the country decreased more than yours increased. On the whole, accounting for teenagers all across the country, there is less drug use among teens now than there was in the past. That's what the survey says. It is not a survey of your town.

Basic statistics. Average or mean = Sum of X/N. Translated to this research study: Sum of all teenagers' drug use divided by the total number of teenagers. Some teenagers in some parts of the country are using more, yes, but most teenagers, on average, are using less. Capice?

Well it's good news through drug use always seems to have it's small ups and downs with apparently no reason. Until we see something like a greater than 33% decline then we can get excited.

Though as the parents start to be more and more Gen-Xers instead of the selfish, Divorce Prone, Could give a Rats A§§ about their children baby boomers I would expect drug use and all other problems with many kids have had in the past 20 years to decline.

The following is the original press release from the United States Department of Health & Human Services, which includes more information about the methods and results:

News Release

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Friday, Dec. 19, 2003

Media Contacts:
ONDCP: Tom Riley, 202-395-6618
NIDA: Blair Gately, 301-443-6245

Teen Drug Abuse Declines Across Wide Front

Eleven Percent Reduction Exceeds President's Two-Year Goal

HHS Secretary Tommy G. Thompson and John P. Walters, director of the White House Office of National Drug Control Policy, today released results of the 2003 Monitoring the Future survey, showing an 11 percent decline in drug use by 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students over the past two years. The finding translates into 400,000 fewer teen drug users over two years.

When President Bush released his first National Drug Control Strategy in February 2002, he set aggressive national goals to reduce youth drug use by 10 percent in two years and 25 percent in five years. Today's release of the 2003 Monitoring the Future Study confirms that President Bush's two-year goal has been exceeded. Current use (past 30 days) of any illicit drug between 2001 and 2003 among students declined 11 percent, from 19.4 percent to 17.3 percent. Similar declines were seen for past year use (11 percent, from 31.8 percent to 28.3 percent) and lifetime use (9 percent, from 41 percent to 37.4 percent).

"Teen drug use has reached a level that we haven't seen in nearly a decade," Director Walters said. "This survey shows that when we push back against the drug problem, it gets smaller. Fewer teens are using drugs because of the deliberate and serious messages they have received about the dangers of drugs from their parents, leaders, and prevention efforts like our National Youth Anti-Drug Media Campaign. Having fewer youth use drugs is important because we know that if young people can abstain from drugs before they graduate from high school, they are much less likely to use and have problems with them later."

"This survey offers promising signs that more children and young adults are steering clear of illegal drugs," Secretary Thompson said. "Monitoring the Future confirms that prevention efforts by federal agencies, states, communities and our many partners in the private and volunteer sectors are having the desired effect. We are pleased to have exceeded the President's two-year goal and look forward to a continued and needed reduction in drug use in the coming years. We must now lengthen our stride as we seek to reach the young people who are still putting their health and futures at risk."

Use of marijuana, the most commonly used illicit drug among youth, declined significantly. Current use declined 11 percent, from 16.6 percent to 14.8 percent; past year use also declined 11 percent, from 27.5 percent to 24.5 percent; and lifetime use declined 8.2 percent, from 35.3 to 32.4 percent. The National Youth Anti-Drug Media Campaign, a comprehensive federal effort to provide drug prevention messages to America's children, was reworked in 2002 to produce harder-hitting ads that have focused on the harms of marijuana.

Of the 7.1 million Americans that need drug treatment -- 19 percent of which are teenagers -- over 60 percent need treatment for marijuana. The Media Campaign has been a powerful tool in this effort to educate Americans, particularly teens, on the serious threat marijuana poses.

In addition to measuring usage rates, Monitoring the Future also measures student attitudes about drugs. Among all three grades, the perceived risk of using marijuana increased markedly. Exposure to anti-drug advertising (of which, the Media Campaign is the major contributor) has had an effect on improving youth anti-drug attitudes and intentions, Director Walters said. In the Monitoring survey, youth attitudes among all three grades are found to be to a "great extent" or "very great extent" less favorable toward drugs, and students say the ads they have seen make them less likely to use drugs in the future. The increase in negative attitudes toward drug use corresponds with the course of the Media Campaign, launched in 1998. More than half of the increase in these outcomes among all three grades has occurred in the past two years. This is particularly striking among 10th graders, the primary target audience of the Media Campaign.

Monitoring the Future also showed significant declines in the use of other drugs. The use of LSD and ecstasy among youth has plummeted. Lifetime use of LSD fell 43 percent between 2001 and 2003 (from 6.6 percent to 3.7 percent) and past year and current use each dropped by nearly two-thirds (from 4.1 percent to 1.6 percent and 1.5 percent to 0.6 percent, respectively). Lifetime use of ecstasy dropped 32 percent, from 8.0 percent to 5.5 percent. Past year and current use were each cut in half (from 6.1 percent to 3.1 percent and 2.4 percent to 1.1 percent).

"The overall reduction in drug use by America's young people is heartening," said National Institute of Drug Abuse Director, Dr. Nora Volkow. "We are confident that our concerted effort to provide students and teachers with informative, accurate information about addiction and drug abuse will contribute to further reductions in drug use."

"Monitoring the Future has been tracking substance use and related attitudes among American teenagers for nearly 30 years," states Lloyd Johnston, the study's lead researcher. "Because its methods have been scientifically rigorous, and intentionally held constant across time, its results have proven to be quite accurate and reliable."

In addition, lifetime and current use of cigarettes declined among 8th, 10th, and 12th graders between 2001 and 2003. Lifetime alcohol use by all three grades also declined over the past two years, suggesting that teens do not trade one intoxicating substance for another.

The Monitoring the Future survey is designed to measure drug, alcohol, and cigarette use and related attitudes among adolescent students nationwide. Survey participants report their drug use behaviors across three time periods: lifetime, past year, and past month. Overall, 48,467 students from 392 public and private schools in the 8th, 10th, and 12th grades participated in this year's survey. The survey is funded by the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), a component of HHS' National Institutes of Health, and conducted since its inception by the University of Michigan. Information from this survey helps the nation to identify potential drug problem areas and ensure that resources are targeted to areas of greatest need.

Monitoring the Future is one of three major HHS-sponsored surveys that provide data on substance use among youth. The Web site is http://monitoringthefuture.org.

The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), sponsored by HHS' Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, is the primary source of statistical information on illicit drug use in the U.S. population 12 years of age and older. Formerly known as the National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, the survey collects data in household interviews, currently using computer-assisted self-administration for drug-related items. More information is available at http://www.drugabusestatistics.samhsa.gov.

The Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS), part of HHS' Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System, is a school survey that collects data from students in grades 9-12. The survey includes questions on a wide variety of health-related risk behaviors, not simply drug abuse. More information is available at http://www.cdc.gov/nccdphp/dash/yrbs/index.htm.

More information on Monitoring the Future can be found at http://www.whitehousedrugpolicy.gov.

###

it seems crystal clear to me that young people today are becoming more and more conservative.

I couldn't agree more. I am a single dad with 2 teenage boys, and very involved in my kids lives. I have 3 older children so I have a generational perspective as well.

Unequivocally, the children of today are increasingly more conservative, suspicious of most of the contemporary dogma, and dismissive of attitudes and conclusions being taught by adults. In short, many more children of today just don't trust their parents or their teachers.

My observations of the parents that I interact with, and these are the active, mostly stay-at-home-types, and the teachers that I observe up close and personal, is that the kids have a point!

What is the point.

Here is the purpose and design of the Monitoring the Future study on teen drug use:

Purposes of Monitoring the Future

The Monitoring the Future (MTF) project, begun in 1975, has many purposes. Among them is to study changes in the beliefs, attitudes, and behavior of young people in the United States. In recent years, the U.S. has experienced tremendous changes in public opinion toward such diverse issues as government and politics, alcohol and other drug use, gender roles, and protection of the environment. Much of our current upheaval in attitudes is especially concentrated, and often first seen, in today's youth. This study focuses on youth because of their significant involvement in today's social changes and, most important, because youth in a very literal sense will constitute our future society.

The results of the study are useful to policymakers at all levels of government, for example, to monitor progress toward national health goals. Study results are also used to monitor trends in substance use and abuse among adolescents and young adults and are used routinely in the White House Strategy on Drug Abuse.

Design of Monitoring the Future

The Monitoring the Future (MTF) project, also widely known for some years as the National High School Senior Survey, is a repeated series of surveys in which the same segments of the population (8th, 10th, and 12th graders; college students; and young adults) are presented with the same set of questions over a period of years to see how answers change over time.

The project has been conducted under a series of research grants from the National Institute on Drug Abuse, a part of the National Institutes of Health. Surveys have been carried out each year since 1975 by the University of Michigan Survey Research Center. MTF respondents are 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students who participate by completing self-administered, machine-readable questionnaires in their normal classrooms, administered by University personnel.

The survey began with senior classes in 1975, and each year about 16,000 students in approximately 133 public and private high schools nationwide participate. Beginning in 1991, similar surveys of nationally representative samples of 8th and 10th graders have been conducted annually; the 8th-grade samples contain about 18,000 students in about 150 schools, and the 10th-grade samples contain about 17,000 students in about 140 schools. In all, approximately 50,000 students in about 420 public and private secondary schools are surveyed annually.

Beginning with the class of 1976, a randomly selected sample from each senior class has been followed up biannually after high school on a continuing basis. These respondents receive a mail questionnaire at their home, which they complete and return to MTF.

The study's design permits the investigators to examine four kinds of change:

Changes in particular years reflected across all age groups (secular trends or "period effects").
Developmental changes that show up consistently for all panels ("age effects").
Consistent differences among class cohorts through the life cycle ("cohort effects").
Changes linked to different types of environments (high school, college, employment) or role transitions (leaving the parental home, marriage, parenthood, etc.).

Sampling Procedures

The data from students are collected during the spring of each year. Each year's data collection takes place in approximately 420 public and private high schools and middle schools selected to provide an accurate representative cross section of students throughout the coterminous United States at each grade level.

A multi-stage random sampling procedure is used for securing the nationwide sample of students each year at each grade level.

The selection of particular geographic areas.

Stage 2:
The selection (with probability proportionate to size) of one or more schools in each area.

Stage 3:
The selection of classes within each school.

Within each school, up to 350 students may be included. In schools with fewer students, the usual procedure is to include all of them in the data collection. In larger schools, a subset of students is selected either by randomly sampling entire classrooms or by some other random method that is judged to be unbaised. Sampling weights are used when the data are analyzed to correct for unequal probabilities of selection that occurred at any stage of sampling.

Administration

About 10 days before the in-school administration, the students are given flyers explaining the study. Also, advance letters to parents inform them about the study and provide them a handy means for declining their child's participation if they so desire. The actual questionnaire administrations are conducted by the local Institute for Social Research representatives and their assistants, following standardized procedures detailed in a project instruction manual. The questionnaires are group administered in classrooms during a normal class period whenever possible; however, circumstances in some schools require the use of larger group administrations.

The follow-up questionnaires are mailed to respondents with a return, self-addressed, stamped envelope and a small monetary gift of $10 from the University of Michigan as a token of appreciation.

All the data for the Monitoring the Future study is here. If you click on a link for a table, you'll open a PDF file. Pretty impressive data. Lifetime prevalence is the lowest among teens since 1993! Check it out.

Drug and Alcohol Press Release and Tables

Press Release (Text Only)

Ecstasy use falls for second year in a row, overall teen drug use drops. (Press Release, 12/19/03)
The suggested citation for use of data from this press release is as follows:: Johnston, L. D., O'Malley, P. M., & Bachman, J. G. (December 19, 2003). Ecstasy use falls for second year in a row, overall teen drug use drops. University of Michigan News and Information Services: Ann Arbor, MI. [On-line]. Available: www.monitoringthefuture.org; accessed MM/DD/YY.

Data Tables

Trends in Use of Various Drugs - Tables 1(a-c) - 7

Table 1 - Trends in Lifetime Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Table 2 - Trends in Annual and 30-Day Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Table 3 - Trends in 30-Day Prevalence of Daily Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Footnotes for Tables 1 - 3
Table 4 - Long-Term Trends in Lifetime Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Twelfth Graders
Table 5 - Long-Term Trends in Annual Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Twelfth Graders
Table 6 - Long-Term Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Twelfth Graders
Table 7 - Long-Term Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Daily Use of Various Drugs for Twelfth Graders
Footnotes for Tables 4 - 7

Trends in Attitudes - Tables 8 - 11

Table 8 - Trends in Harmfulness of Drugs as Perceived by Eighth and Tenth Graders, 1991-2003
Table 9 - Long-Term Trends in Harmfulness of Drugs as Perceived by Twelfth Graders
Table 10 - Trends in Disapproval of Drug Use by Eighth and Tenth Graders, 1991-2003
Table 11 - Long-Term Trends in Disapproval of Drug Use by Twelfth Graders

Trends in Availability - Tables 12 & 13

Table 12 - Trends in Perceived Availability of Drugs by Eighth and Tenth Graders, 1992-2003
Table 13 - Long-Term Trends in Perceived Availability of Drugs by Twelfth Graders

Figures

MDMA (Ecstasy) - Figure 1

Figure 1: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

Various Illicit Drugs - Figure 2

Figure 2: Trends in Annual Prevalence of an Illicit Drug Use Index for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

Specific Drugs - Figures 3 - 13

Figure 3: LSD: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 4: Amphetamines: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 5: Methamphetamine: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 6: Tranquilizers: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 7: Sedatives (Barbiturates): Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 8: Hallucinogens Other than LSD: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 9: Heroin: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 10: Inhalants: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, and Disapproval for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 11: Marijuana: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 12: Crack: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 13: Cocaine Powder: Trends in Annual Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

Cigarette Smoking Press Release and Tables

Teen smoking continues to decline in 2003, but declines are slowing. (Press Release, 12/19/03)
The suggested citation for use of data from this press release is as follows:: Johnston, L. D., O'Malley, P. M., & Bachman, J. G. (December 19, 2003). Teen smoking continues to decline in 2003, but declines are slowing. University of Michigan News and Information Services: Ann Arbor, MI.[On-line]. Available: www.monitoringthefuture.org; accessed MM/DD/YY.

Data Tables

Trends on Cigarette Smoking - Tables 1 - 4

Table 1 - Long-Term Trends in Prevalence of Use of Cigarettes for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Table 2 - Cigarettes: Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Use by Subgroups for Eighth and Tenth Graders
Table 3 - Cigarettes: Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Use by Subgroups for Twelfth Graders
Table 4 - Trends in Availability and Attitudes about Smoking One or More Packs of Cigarettes per Day, for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

Trends on Use of Smokeless Tobacco - Tables 5 - 8

Table 5 - Long-Term Trends in Prevalence of Use of Smokeless Tobacco for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Table 6 - Smokeless Tobacco: Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Use by Subgroups for Eighth and Tenth Graders
Table 7 - Smokeless Tobacco: Trends in Thirty-Day Prevalence of Use by Subgroups for Twelfth Graders
Table 8 - Trends in Attitudes about Regular Smokeless Tobacco Use for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

Figures

Trends in Prevalence, Attitudes, and Availability

Figure 1: Cigarettes: Trends in 30-Day Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders
Figure 2: Smokeless Tobacco: Trends in 30-Day Use, Risk, Disapproval, and Availability for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders

What is the point.

Most of the middle class parents and teachers in todays society are socially liberal, and former 60's hippies. They have selfish, noncustodial attitudes toward the kids. The children are mostly on their own, and have observed the adults in their lives and decided they are at least as smart as their parents and teachers.. Sadly many of them are.

Thank you so much for these wonderful links and data. There is indeed a lot to be upbeat about, but there is a long way to go for far too many kids.

Good news! More for me! ;-)

It's Bush's fault! Oops, I mean, what Saddam? Err, how about the economy? Ahh...never mind. Vote for Bush in 2004

Drug use by teenagers declines, continues its decline

News Release

Teen Drug Abuse Declines Across Wide Front