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Melting Ice 'Will Swamp Capitals' (Global Warming)
Independent (UK) ^ | 12-7-2003 | Geoffrey Lean

Posted on 12/06/2003 4:05:59 PM PST by blam

Melting ice 'will swamp capitals'

By Geoffrey Lean Environment Editor
07 December 2003

Measures to fight global warming will have to be at least four times stronger than the Kyoto Protocol if they are to avoid the melting of the polar ice caps, inundating central London and many of the world's biggest cities, concludes a new official report.

The report, by a German government body, says that even if it is fully implemented, the protocol will only have a "marginal attenuating effect" on the climate change. But last week even this was thrown into doubt amid contradictory signals from the Russian government as to whether it will allow the treaty to come into effect.

Global warming already kills 150,000 people a year worldwide and the rate of climate change is soon likely to exceed anything the planet has seen "in the last million years" says the report, produced by the German Advisory Council on Global Change for a meeting of the world's environment ministers to consider the future of the treaty in Milan this week.

It concludes that the protocol must urgently be brought into force, but only as a first step, insisting that "catastrophic" climate change "can now only be prevented if climate protection targets are set at substantially higher levels than those agreed internationally until now".

The report, written by eight leading German professors, says that "dangerous climatic changes" will become "highly probable" if the world's average temperature is allowed to increase to more than 2 degrees centigrade above what it was before the start of the Industrial Revolution.

Beyond that level the West Antarctic ice sheet and the Greenland ice cap would begin gradually to melt away, eventually raising sea levels world wide by up to 30 feet, submerging vast areas of land and key cities worldwide. London, New York, Miami, Bombay, Calcutta, Sydney, Shanghai, Lagos and Tokyo would be among those largely submerged by such a rise.

Above this mark too, other "devastating" and "irreversible" changes would be likely to take place. These include a cessation of the Indian monsoon and the ending of the Gulf Stream, which would dramatically worsen the climate in Britain and western Europe, even as the world warms. Another risk is the so-called "runaway greenhouse" where rising temperatures lead to the release of huge reservoirs methane stored in permafrost and the oceans, adding to global warming and starting a self-reinforcing cycle that would eventually make the earth uninhabitable.

To avoid such catastrophe, the report says that industrialised countries will have to cut emissions of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide by at least 20 per cent by 2020, and by up to 60 per cent by 2050. The Kyoto Protocol would at best cut them by 5 per cent by 2012, and probably less, even if it were brought into force and fully implemented.

In the meantime the world looks as if it will greatly exceed the targets. Writing in The Independent on Sunday today, Michael Meacher, the former environment minister, calculates that global emissions of greenhouse gases could increase by 75 per cent by 2020, "putting the world well on the way to doomsday".


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Germany; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: capitals; climatechange; doomsday; endoftheworld; ice; inoftheworld; junkscience; leftistmedia; melting; swamp; theskyisfalling; weredoomed
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"climate change is soon likely to exceed anything the planet has seen "in the last million years"

Did they forget that the worlds oceans rose from 300-500 feet only 15,000 years ago.

1 posted on 12/06/2003 4:06:00 PM PST by blam
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To: farmfriend
Don't you have a 'global warming' ping list?
2 posted on 12/06/2003 4:07:26 PM PST by blam
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To: blam
Melting Ice 'Will Swamp Capitals'

And this is a bad thing?

3 posted on 12/06/2003 4:07:45 PM PST by Mulder (Fight the future)
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To: Mulder
Um, help me out here...ICE displaces water and raises the level. When it melts, the level subsides. What am I missing?
4 posted on 12/06/2003 4:11:40 PM PST by redhead (Les Français sont des singes de capitulation qui mangent du fromage.)
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To: blam
Or course they fail to recognize that with the Gulf Stream 'polluted' with cold water, there will no longer be any warm water to keep western Europe warm. All that ice that melts in Greenland and Antartica will be deposited in western Europe as snow. That, or western Europe will become one big ice skating rink.
5 posted on 12/06/2003 4:12:19 PM PST by MarkeyD
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To: blam
Golly! We'd better give Hillary dictatorial powers immediately. For the children.
6 posted on 12/06/2003 4:12:40 PM PST by PatrickHenry (Felix, qui potuit rerum cognoscere causas.)
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To: redhead
That's the Arctic you are thinking about. The ice the are talking about sits on land in Greenland and in Antarctica.
7 posted on 12/06/2003 4:13:16 PM PST by MarkeyD
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To: MarkeyD
Antarctica
8 posted on 12/06/2003 4:13:38 PM PST by MarkeyD
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To: blam
"putting the world well on the way to doomsday".

Well, I'll be!

All this time I thought is would be the "mindful" actions of SUV's that would bring about this demise.

I just don't know what to think anymore.

9 posted on 12/06/2003 4:16:34 PM PST by EGPWS
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To: Howlin; Ed_NYC; MonroeDNA; widgysoft; Springman; Timesink; dubyaismypresident; Grani; coug97; ...
Even Hollywood is getting into the act....

Just damn.

If you want on the new list, FReepmail me. This IS a high-volume PING list...

10 posted on 12/06/2003 4:17:17 PM PST by mhking
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To: blam
Give us a date when this will happen.

Then when it doesn't happen we will shoot you.

11 posted on 12/06/2003 4:17:46 PM PST by keithtoo (DEAN - He's Dukaki-riffic!!!! - He's McGovern-ous!!! - He's Mondale-agorical!!!)
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To: blam
...the world well on the way to doomsday...

Time to stock up on 20 year-old single malt Scotch. Could these people be more stupid?

12 posted on 12/06/2003 4:19:18 PM PST by Faraday
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To: mhking
Oh dear... someone's tinfoil hat is on too tight over there. Does this mean I should buy shares of in cloud city? Or should I invest in a houseboat?
13 posted on 12/06/2003 4:19:22 PM PST by cyborg (mutt-american)
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To: Mulder
Man, you stole my line!!!!!!!
14 posted on 12/06/2003 4:19:52 PM PST by pctech
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To: blam
...eventually raising sea levels world wide by up to 30 feet...

Cool!!! Then I can fish for flounder off my back porch!

15 posted on 12/06/2003 4:21:11 PM PST by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: blam
I laugh with derisive jocularity, while constructing my tin foil helmet.

We are still recovering from the "little ice age" of the dark ages.
We have not yet reached the global temperatures extant at the time Eric the Red discovered Newfoundland's shores.

Let me say that again, (paraphrased) for effect.
It's still colder globally, than it was 1,000 years ago.

16 posted on 12/06/2003 4:21:51 PM PST by Drammach
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To: blam
We're doomed.
17 posted on 12/06/2003 4:22:20 PM PST by Prodigal Son
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To: mhking
I can't trust a movie that considers the UN building to be the biggest landmark in Manhattan.
18 posted on 12/06/2003 4:23:47 PM PST by Timesink (I'm not a big fan of electronic stuff, you know? Beeps ... beeps freak me out. They're bad.)
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To: blam
I guess I'd better move my car.
19 posted on 12/06/2003 4:23:52 PM PST by GreenHornet
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To: blam
London, New York, Miami, Bombay, Calcutta, Sydney, Shanghai, Lagos and Tokyo would be among those largely submerged by such a rise.

I'll miss Sydney and Tokyo.....

20 posted on 12/06/2003 4:23:54 PM PST by Leroy S. Mort
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