Unless the Gabby gambit of her naming Trump and some minor Democrats as child predators sticks. She’s lying of course, but that doesn’t matter.
Trump’s 130000 in New Hampshire beat Obama’s 2012 40,000 by quite a bit.
“his model has correctly predicted 24 out of 26 of the past presidential elections.”
I doubt that the model is over 104 years old. Perhaps the model produces results consistent with those of 24 out of 26 elections. Not at all the same thing.
Okay pearl clutches, time to start screeching “Oh no! Please don’t say Trump is a big favorite to win. That will cause Trump supporters to stay home saying “I don’t have to vote he will win anyway!” I know you’re out there start clutching your pearls.
As the gal in Zero Dark Thirty said, “I know you guys don’t like absolutes, but it’s 100%.”
all polls taken during the lockdown are not to be trusted. Think of who is most likely to be home ? those who are most scared.. ie. liberals.
Model projects 91% win for Trump
Thnx Melania!
I don’t see any pictures of models. This thread sucks, I want a refund.
“Model projects 91% chance Trump will get re-elected”
unlikely given that biden is eleventy-ninetenth percent ahead in 1,200 polls in all 57 states ...
Democrats will soon be protesting against that ‘model’. Can’t have anything get in the way of their models and polls.
Ping
“Today we will set history and history’s record straight.” With this line the lines are drawn.
They’re out there as I knew they would be. One obviously believes the House was legitimately won back by the Democrats without the use of voter fraud. I guess he thinks vote harvesting has something to do with agriculture and not cheating. The pearl clutches have a leader.
Good news, but let’s face it...any of these models that say XX% chance of winning for any candidate are just numbers pulled from their a$$es.
Send “Orange Man Bad” federal and state government desperate Democrats and RINOs home in November!
Supporting PDJT with a new patriot Congress and state government leaders that will promise to fully support his already excellent work for MAGA and stopping SARS-CoV-2 will effectively give fast-working Trump a “third term” in office imo.
100% by Election Day.
This guy is wrong. Hillary, I mean Biden will win 90 to 10. There. Fixed it. I learned it in the NYT.
Forget polls and predictions and get out the vote in November for President Trump.
JoMa
1. That is almost exactly the probability that my model gives Trump.
2. Despite my own model agreeing, I have very little confidence in any model this year.
To put numbers on a probability, you have to have comparable data. We have no reason to believe that our previous data are relevant to 2020. We have the “plague”, and, regardless of how real it is, it’s done exceptionally grave damage to our economy. We’ve got 90% of the news media and 50% of politicians openly supporting riots, arson, and domestic terrorism. This is a very strange year. I’m optimistic, but I just tripled my planned ammo orders for the rest of the year. [Purely for sporting purposes, because the Second Amendment is about duck hunting.]
I saw him interviewed last week and it was pretty funny. The interviewer (Bartiromo maybe? Can’t recall) asked him how many pollsters contact him for consultation, etc., considering his record of prediction. “None.” He just had this sh!t-eating grin, confident in the knowledge that he beats the pollsters every time.