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Nate Silver: Clinton one state away from losing Electoral College
The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jessie Hellman

Posted on 11/06/2016 11:14:34 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said Sunday.

While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position," the pollster said on ABC's "This Week." "The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago," Silver said.

Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama's victories in 2008 and 2012.

Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio....

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Michigan; New Mexico; Virginia; Wisconsin; Campaign News; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: electoralcollege; hillary; polls; trump
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To: Windflier

I ran over this troll last night.

Don’t waste your time.


81 posted on 11/06/2016 1:34:37 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Flavious_Maximus

Yeah. So if it has reached that level of visibility, all I am saying is that why should it not be given the next step, which is to fold vote fraud into all of the poll analyses.

(Sigh.)

I don’t know about the rest of you but I am leaving the big city to stay with good friends in the countryside, and watch the outcome of the election from there. I already voted early. I’m packed light because I do not really expect trouble, but I will take at least passport. I will continue to hope for the best. I probably won’t get a chance to check back in for several hours...

(Is it time to start considering those wild conspiracies about Obama indefinitely cancelling the election seriously yet?)


82 posted on 11/06/2016 1:35:16 PM PST by SteveH
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To: eyedigress

That troll has been lurking under Mr Robinson’s bridge for sixteen years. I’m surprised he’s lasted so long, with his behavior.


83 posted on 11/06/2016 1:43:49 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: edh

I’m pretty sure that’s what BLM would say about George Zimmerman.


84 posted on 11/06/2016 1:58:54 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“I’m pretty sure that’s what BLM would say about George Zimmerman.”

Apples and oranges when it comes to those two cases.

Feel free to leave her pic up, but she is trash. You can read about the entire case online if you want. You’re linking trash to Trump.


85 posted on 11/06/2016 2:37:32 PM PST by edh (I need a better tagline)
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To: Windflier

Because you can’t be bothered to take 10 seconds - literally - and type the words “Casey Anthony” + cigar into Google to find it yourself?

And can’t spend the 10 seconds to see it’s an incredibly highly used meme thing?

No wonder so many don’t bother w/ FR any longer and newer people don’t stay.

Old time Freepers getting lazy and accusatory toward others and expect everything to be handed to them.

You could have found all the answers yourself in less time than it took you to write one snippy / snarky reply on this thread, let alone all the other argumentative ones on this thread.

Congrats.

https://www.google.com/search?q=casey+anthony+smoking+cigar&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiL3LfXl5XQAhXlgFQKHc-ECA4Q_AUICCgB&biw=1138&bih=508&dpr=1.2

http://knowyourmeme.com/photos/144879-casey-anthony-trial

And heck, another 10 seconds found me the original date the photo was taken too.

Can you find the original photo date faster than that? Probably not...


86 posted on 11/06/2016 2:40:49 PM PST by mfccinsd
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To: stuck_in_new_orleans; Windflier
Windflier has no obligation to disprove your assertions. You raised your view and put it into controversy. The burden of proof is on YOU as it should be. If you know what you are talking about, PROVE IT! What is pathetic is imagining that you can make any old preposterous claim and then insist that those who disagree prove YOU wrong. Come up with a prima facie case for what you stated and the burden may shift but not until.

You are apparently quite prepared to stubbornly insist that anyone disagreeing with you PROVE you wrong. That is not the way it works.

87 posted on 11/06/2016 2:55:15 PM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Rack 'em, Danno!)
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To: Windflier

Stop being lazy and stop drooling over the mother who killed her child. Pathetic.


88 posted on 11/06/2016 2:58:14 PM PST by stuck_in_new_orleans
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To: BlackElk

Stop crying


89 posted on 11/06/2016 2:58:35 PM PST by stuck_in_new_orleans
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To: stuck_in_new_orleans; Windflier
Crying???? Is that what you hallucinate I am doing? I am calling you out and doing so on the basis of customary traditions of argument.

Let's see if I can penetrate your self-serving fog.

You are charged with murder. You file as a defense that you could not have committed the murder because it happened in your hometown at a time when you were actually attending a convention on the planet Uranus with others of your ilk. While you might be assumed to want to be at such convention, that sort of alibi defense is going to require EVIDENCE from YOU to show that you had the means to travel to Uranus from earth and back. Evidence of a claim that your residence is Uranus, though plausible depending on spelling, will not suffice to explain how you got there and back. Your defense would be an "affirmative defense" raised by you ad requiring proof from you, unlike most defenses in criminal matters.

If that does not suffice to penetrate your fog, don't bother responding. I know what I am talking about and YOU clearly don't. No surprise on either count.

90 posted on 11/06/2016 3:11:38 PM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Rack 'em, Danno!)
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To: mfccinsd; Windflier
You think Windflier is being "snarky?" See #90. If you like, I can round up a posse. And, BTW, I think no more of Casey Anthony than any other civilized human being does, BUT she is free because the Florida prosecutors apparently failed to meet THEIR burden of proof.

If the prosecutors were more competent or the jurors more observant, the defiant little witch (sp.?) should have been put to death.

91 posted on 11/06/2016 3:19:08 PM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Rack 'em, Danno!)
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To: mfccinsd
Because you can’t be bothered to take 10 seconds - literally - and type the words “Casey Anthony” + cigar into Google to find it yourself?

No, because it's not my job to fact check every off-hand comment made by anonymous posters on the internet.

You make an unsubstantiated claim on a public forum, you'd better be prepared to back it up yourself. Dude could have answered my question in ten seconds if he'd done the search, but no. He'd rather get into a stupid pissing match and waste everyone's time.

The Freeper in New Orleans should thank you for doing his homework for him.

92 posted on 11/06/2016 3:47:41 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: stuck_in_new_orleans
Stop being lazy

You're just wasting my time now. Go climb back into whatever bottle you crawled out of.

93 posted on 11/06/2016 3:49:15 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: BlackElk

Thanks, Black Elk. Pretty hard to believe this guy has been posting here for sixteen years and still doesn’t understand the most basic rules of debate.

Funny thing - in my first post to him, I only asked, “are you sure?” It was an honest question, and I even followed with the admission that I don’t have a good recollection of her face.

It would have been all too easy for him to simply look it up, or just assure me that his recall was very good, and that yes, that is her in the photo.


94 posted on 11/06/2016 3:55:47 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: BlackElk

All this crying. It’s embarrassing.


95 posted on 11/06/2016 4:50:54 PM PST by stuck_in_new_orleans
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To: stuck_in_new_orleans
Crying your ass**** or is that your mouth? Embarrassing????? Yes, you should ALWAYS be embarrassed as the coward that you are. You expect to throw out just any claim of "fact" and expect that because it is advanced by the almighty imperial YOU, the burden of proof shifts from you, the asserter of alleged "fact," to anyone with the temerity (and wisdom) to disagree with your nonsense.

"The moon is made of green cheese," you say. Others respond by saying, "no, the moon is made of extraterrestrial rock and dust." You again: "I said green cheese and if you disagree then the burden is on you." No it is not and it will never be.

You making a persistent fool of yourself is what is embarrassing not only for you but for others subjected to your inanities.

If you insist on continuing to humiliate yourself, direct your stupidity to others. I have wasted all the time on you that I am going to.

You will note that this entire "argument" has nothing whatsoever to do with the long-forgotten whatever you were asserting and EVERYTHING to do with your boorish violations of normal standards of argument.

96 posted on 11/08/2016 5:15:54 AM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Rack 'em, Danno!)
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To: Windflier
See #96.

What he claimed becomes utterly irrelevant until he observes ordinary customs of engagement.

97 posted on 11/08/2016 5:18:01 AM PST by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Rack 'em, Danno!)
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To: BlackElk

“You will note that this entire “argument” has nothing whatsoever to do with the long-forgotten whatever you were asserting and EVERYTHING to do with your boorish violations of normal standards of argument.”

Pearls before swine, my friend. That one doesn’t seem to have the intelligence, class, or character to ever come ‘round.

You’ve helped him all you could.


98 posted on 11/08/2016 8:37:38 AM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: BlackElk

More crying! Hush little baby! Instead of all this you should be doing something more productive I think. Go drive some senior trump supporters to the polls. I drove 2 today!


99 posted on 11/08/2016 10:09:30 AM PST by stuck_in_new_orleans
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