Posted on 06/14/2016 6:36:29 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential race has narrowed since late last week, according to the results of the first Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted since the Orlando shooting rampage on Sunday.
Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 election, has blamed Democratic policies for the worst mass shooting in U.S. history and doubled-down on his pledge to ban Muslim immigration, while Clinton has warned against demonizing Muslim-Americans.
The poll, conducted from Friday to Tuesday, showed Clinton with an 11.6-point lead - 44.6 percent to 33.0 percent - over Trump, down from the 13-point lead she had in the five days that ended Saturday....
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
You are the one who gave the three examples of OK, LA, and IA where Trump underperformed. He performed as predicted in NE. If you think he is suddenly going to outperform the polls now, then I welcome you to enjoy your stay in the fantasy white house with president romney. Trump will have to be up > +5% to win.
With two exceptions, going all the way back to 1952, the poll leader in June not only lost, but the polls were quite often off by a shocking 100%-—that is, more often than not, the one trailing in June won by AT LEAST that amount in Nov.
You’re the one in fantasyland if you think polls are accurate, ESP June polls.
“Clinton is ahead of Trump nationally.”
You’re nuts.
“These are major, major errors. No, they are not accurage, and they have been wrong on both sides in both directions.”
Not to mention in this race the liberals are just tossing away any and all credibility they had left. They no longer even try to pretend to be fair. No poll has been accurate, not even the eGOP polls. Everyone is lying their tails off.
Reality is best addressed straight on. Pray without ceasing.
I’m not saying Trump will lose in November because he is behind in June, I’m saying he would lose if the elections were today, and he will lose in in November if he is behind in the polls in November. So instead being in denial about the polls, use them a measure of how much work needs to be done in order to win.
No false bravado. Just false propaganda. Clinton's not ahead.
That’s the point you keep missing. They are NOT a measure that “he would lose today” because the election isn’t today so people don’t treat “today” like an election.
Let me put it another way: ever notice how many football games are decided in the final minutes, if not seconds? Doesn’t the whole 60-minute game count? Sure it does, but regardless of what athletes say, no one can focus with that intensity for 60 minutes. Decisions made to punt when the game is not on the line suddenly turn into “four down” decisions to go for it. I maintain (and that is what this evidence shows) that the polls are always wrong about what “would” happen because it isn’t happening NOW, therefore polling opinions with nothing at stake are always different than when things “get real.”
To use your analogy, our team is losing by three touchdowns at halftime, and you are claiming we are winning. Polls aren’t predictive of teh future, they are snapshots of the present. But the present matters, you don’t just magically go from losing to winning.
Uh-huh. Like I said, false propaganda.
I never thought Romney would win.
Trump will win. Big time. That will work out for me just fine.
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