Posted on 03/10/2016 5:19:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
The good news for the Republican "establishment" is that there's a man who might be able to stop Donald Trump. The bad news is that it's Ted Cruz, someone they may dislike almost as much.
Cruz, who won Idaho on Tuesday while finishing second to Trump in Michigan, Mississippi and Hawaii, is within striking distance of Trump. So far, 29 percent of Republican primary voters have voted for Cruz as compared with 35 percent for Trump. Meanwhile, Cruz trails Trump by 100 delegates: not a trivial gap, although only one more than the 99 at stake in winner-take-all Florida next Tuesday.
The problem for Cruz is that Florida and the rest of the calendar probably aren't as favorable to him as the states that have voted so far. (Florida looks like a Trump state as Marco Rubio loses ground.) But Cruz does have a few things going for him. He's tended to outperform his polling almost everywhere. He's won states in all four major regions of the country. And he potentially stands to gain if Rubio and perhaps John Kasich drop out.
The exit polls in Michigan and Mississippi asked voters who they'd pick in a two-way race between Trump and Cruz, also giving them the option to say they'd sit out the race. Among Rubio voters, on average between the two states, about 75 percent said they'd still vote in a Trump-Cruz race, and of those, 80 percent would prefer Cruz to Trump. Kasich voters were somewhat more equivocal; 55 percent said they'd still vote, and of those, two-thirds would go to Cruz over Trump. Although this is the first time the exit polls have asked about one-on-one matchups, the results are consistent with national polls showing Trump losing ground as the field winnows....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
A strategy so advanced, it'd take a Harvard Lawyer (with Bush family help) to carry it out...
Nice
Full Headline with by-line:
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump...All he needs is for Rubio to drop out three weeks ago.
Let’s see; Two days ago Neil Bush and Eight of his money men joined the Cruz campaign, and tonight Cruz meets with Jeb Bush. You’re the one living a fantasy...
By saying that you are insinuating you don’t understand the difference betwen intelligence (as in “smart”) and information (as in “low information”, what Cruz actually said).
Did you mean to insult yourself?
A Courtesy. Figured the quote was germane to the thread.
Cruz can only stop Trump from getting enough delegates. Problem is that Cruz also wont get enough nominational delegates, then we’ll have a contested convention and neither Trump or Cruz will win and we’ll end up with an establishment chosen candidate of Romney type and we get screwed again, just like always.
That’s what primaries are all about my FRiend.
Now what State is a Cruz haven? Arizona oh jes down by 21 in today Poll
True but he gave Clinton a 99% chance of winning Michigan.
I’m too dumb for Cruz too! Deeerrrrrhhhhppp
As far as I’m concerned there is no difference in having Hillary in the White House or Cruz when the same old bunch of frauds run congress.
Really? You interviewed all of those 45,000 people and they all said “Yeah, we switched for Trump!” or you’re assuming?
“He’s considered the best pollster/statistician in the country, believe it or not.”
And he was so accurate in Michigan, right??
Nate Silver is a Democrat hack, all the way, and will get the “Results” whoever happens t be paying him wants.
No vision for the country. Just running around telling everyone the other guy is worst. Pretty pathetic if you ask me. Unsupportable
Thank you very much for not voting your heart.
Duh. In my 74 years I have yet to see a political campaign that was not about winning.
His campaign is all about don’t vote for them, they should step down and vote for me as I can beat or stop Trump.
it’s all he ever states now.
If Rubio and Kasich drop, what happens to their delegates accrued to this point?
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